Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. (6428) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. TWD 14.99, price TWD 32.95, upside -54.5%, quality 79 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 8.64 TWD – 48.00 TWD · fair‑value band 11.68 TWD – 19.14 TWD · the 32.95 TWD price screens above the 14.99 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Taiwan Taomee Co., Ltd. provides online game services in Taiwan. The company offers virtual goods for online games. It also sells game points on online games and mobile game platforms for consumers to redeem virtual goods. Taiwan Taomee Co., Ltd. was founded in 2009 and is based in Taipei, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. (6428) currently trades at 32.95 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 14.99 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 119.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 15.05 TWD per share, and 0 of the 22 models we run sit above the 32.95 TWD price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 5.56 TWD, and 22 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 11.68 TWD (bear) to 19.14 TWD (bull), the price of 32.95 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 79/100 (high quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. reported revenue of 63.7M TWD in FY2025 versus 54.0M TWD in FY2021, a compound +4.2%/yr. Reported net income was 15.6M TWD in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 583M TWD (≈ $18.3M) · P/E ratio 31.4 · P/S ratio 7.69 · EPS (TTM) 1.05 TWD · Net margin 24.5% · Return on equity 12.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.1% · Operating margin 23.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 192% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 50% fair-value upside, at −55%, 6428 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 11.68 TWDFair Value 14.99 TWDBull 19.14 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.7710 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.1%
’19
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’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in TWD (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+35.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+35.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−13% → 21%
2025 sits 144% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 3 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+14.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +12.8% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 149 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. (6428) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 14.99 TWD versus a price of 32.95 TWD, about −55% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 6428?
Our model-based fair value for Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. is 14.99 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 32.95 TWD.
What is the quality score of 6428?
Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. has a Quality Score of 79/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. (6428)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 14.99 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario 11.68 TWD, optimistic scenario 19.14 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 14.99 TWD, about −55% upside versus a price of 32.95 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 11.68 TWD, optimistic scenario 19.14 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. (6428)?
Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 70.5M TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. (6428)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. would have to grow free cash flow by +14.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 6428 use?
Our models discount Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.19, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. that is +14.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. (6428) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. grew +1.6 % a year. The price currently implies +14.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. (6428) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. (+14.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. (6428)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.09 %: that much free cash flow Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. (6428)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. it is 14.99 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 32.95 TWD. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 6428 trades above its calculated fair value: price 32.95 TWD, fair value 14.99 TWD, a gap of about −55% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 6428?
No. The price is what the market pays today (32.95 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (14.99 TWD). For Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. the two are 17.96 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. worth?
The market values Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. at about 583M TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 32.95 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 14.99 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 6428?
Our models span a range for Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd.: cautious scenario 11.68 TWD, base 14.99 TWD, optimistic 19.14 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 32.95 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 6428?
Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 31.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 14.99 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.9, P/S 8.0, EV/EBITDA 30.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. (6428)?
Balance-sheet figures for Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 12.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 79/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 6428 from its 52-week high?
Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. trades at 32.95 TWD, about 31% below its 52-week high of 48.00 TWD and 192% above the low of 11.30 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 14.99 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd.?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Konami Group, NetEase, Inc, Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc, Roblox Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 32.95 TWD, calculated fair value 14.99 TWD (−55%), Quality Score 79/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 6428 calculated?
We run Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 14.99 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. (6428)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 32.95 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 14.99 TWD, about −55% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. right now?
A high-quality business (quality 79/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (19.14 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Key figures of Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. (6428)?
The market capitalisation of Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. is 583M TWD (≈ $18.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. (6428)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. is 7.69 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. (6428)?
Earnings per share at Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. are 1.05 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 31.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. (6428)?
The net margin of Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. is 24.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. (6428)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. is 12.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. (6428)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. is 2.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. (6428)?
The operating margin of Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. is 23.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. (6428)?
Revenue at Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. is growing +22.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. (6428)?
Earnings per share at Taiwan Taomee Co. Ltd. are growing +40.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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