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WinWay Technology Co (6515) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · TW · Market cap 219B TWD

WT WinWay Technology Co 6515 · TW
Price6,760 TWD
Fair Value909.33 TWD
Upside-86.6%
Quality71/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 20.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.37% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Wide moat 83/100
Evidence: High Range 696.29 TWD – 1,627 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Share price −11.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 87% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 71/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1,627 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • A fairly wide model range (696.29 TWD to 1,627 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

10,716 TWD 194.56 TWD Fair Value 909.33 TWD Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 194.56 TWD – 10,716 TWD · fair‑value band 696.29 TWD – 1,627 TWD · the 6,760 TWD price screens above the 909.33 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

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Analysis

WinWay Technology Co (6515) currently trades at 6,760 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 909.33 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 86.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, WinWay Technology Co generated revenue of 8.5B TWD at a net margin of 20.6%. Revenue grew 29.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 29.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 2.5B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 696.29 TWD (bear case) to 1,627 TWD (bull case); at 6,760 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -62% fair-value upside, at -87%, 6515 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 783.18 TWD 1,448 TWD 2,849 TWD 80
Residual Income 312.59 TWD 394.81 TWD 1,824 TWD 76
Rev-Margin DCF 610.16 TWD 1,069 TWD 1,974 TWD 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 826.57 TWD 1,289 TWD 2,800 TWD 38
Owner Earnings 834.26 TWD 1,858 TWD 4,104 TWD 31
5Y Revenue Exit 585.09 TWD 943.43 TWD 1,692 TWD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 755.79 TWD 1,289 TWD 2,334 TWD 41
5Y P/E Exit 807.20 TWD 1,725 TWD 2,977 TWD 38
10Y Revenue Exit 645.43 TWD 1,295 TWD 1,697 TWD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 790.98 TWD 1,672 TWD 3,206 TWD 37
10Y P/E Exit 829.35 TWD 1,785 TWD 3,361 TWD 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 315.65 TWD 2,201 TWD 3,089 TWD 54
Lynch FV 944.59 TWD 1,349 TWD 1,754 TWD 50
PEG = 1.0 944.59 TWD 1,349 TWD 1,754 TWD 46
EPV 538.50 TWD 620.83 TWD 694.01 TWD 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 237.57 TWD 518.65 TWD 872.64 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 237.57 TWD 424.85 TWD 540.51 TWD 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 696.29 TWD 928.39 TWD 1,160 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 408.80 TWD 545.06 TWD 681.33 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 402.41 TWD 536.54 TWD 670.68 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 847.25 TWD 1,106 TWD 1,364 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 701.72 TWD 911.64 TWD 1,122 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 453.52 TWD 617.04 TWD 780.56 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 89.42 TWD 119.83 TWD 178.85 TWD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 783.18 TWD 1,448 TWD 2,849 TWD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 610.16 TWD 1,069 TWD 1,974 TWD 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 312.59 TWD 394.81 TWD 1,824 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 665.25 TWD 946.06 TWD 1,337 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 1,148 TWD 1,640 TWD 2,132 TWD 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (1,640 TWD) versus Asset-Based (119.83 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 8.5B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) +29.7%
Net margin 20.6%
Return on equity 29.8%
Free cash flow 1.5B TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 130.6
More key figures
Operating margin 26.1%
EPS (TTM) 46.62 TWD
Dividend yield 0.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +13.3%
Net cash 2.5B TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 71/100

Of which business quality 77 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57

Profitability 82
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 71
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 99
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 36
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 22
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 68
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 78
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 75
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

WinWay Technology Co., Ltd. designs, processes, and sells optoelectronic product test fixtures, integrated circuit test interfaces, and fixtures and their components in Taiwan, the Americas, China, Asia, Europe, and Canada.

Full company description

WinWay Technology Co., Ltd. designs, processes, and sells optoelectronic product test fixtures, integrated circuit test interfaces, and fixtures and their components in Taiwan, the Americas, China, Asia, Europe, and Canada. Its products include test sockets, HyperSocket, coaxial sockets, burn-in sockets, PoP sockets, and CRS sockets; heatsink and manual lid; vertical and WLCSP probe cards; i-Bump interposers; and thermal control products, including ATC, E-Flux 4.0, HEATCon Titan, and chiller, as well as changeover kit and plunger products. The company also provides mechanical, electrical, and thermal simulation services; and technical support and B2B services. The company serves the semiconductor, optical, information technology, and optoelectronics industries. WinWay Technology Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2001 and is based in Kaohsiung, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

WinWay Technology Co reported revenue of 7.9B TWD in FY2025 versus 2.9B TWD in FY2021, a compound +28.4%/yr. Reported net income was 1.7B TWD in FY2025, compounding +36.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 92/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
7.9B TWD
Latest YoY
+35.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+15.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+22.0%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y)
+19.9%
Revenue +28.4%/yr
FY21 2.9B TWD
FY22 5.1B TWD
FY23 3.7B TWD
FY24 5.8B TWD
FY25 7.9B TWD
Net income +36.2%/yr
FY21 487M TWD
FY22 1.1B TWD
FY23 464M TWD
FY24 1.2B TWD
FY25 1.7B TWD

6515 screens 87% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "WinWay Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/6515

Peer Group

Semiconductors · 319 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −87% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 30% · Top 25%
Return on assets 12% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 26% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 30% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.4% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 130.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 34.05× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 25.70× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 4.5× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 92.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 60
PAST 100 · sector 24
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 7 · sector 22

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NVIDIA Corporation NVDA $211.80 $96.91 -54%
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM $398.37 $207.49 -48%
Broadcom Inc 1AVGO €323.25 €121.25 -62%
Micron Technology, Inc ZMIC C$52.57 C$7.50 -86%
SK hynix Inc 000660 2,082,000 KRW 1,109,311 KRW -47%
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc 1AMD €464.70 €56.33 -88%
Intel Corporation INTC C$68.40 C$9.82 -86%
Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN $311.46 $59.75 -81%
MediaTek Inc 2454 3,740 TWD 1,163 TWD -69%
SK Square Co 402340 1,212,000 KRW 868,000 KRW -28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is WinWay Technology Co (6515) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 909.33 TWD versus a price of 6,760 TWD, about −87% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 6515?
Our model-based fair value for WinWay Technology Co is 909.33 TWD (as of Jul 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 6,760 TWD.
What is the quality score of 6515?
WinWay Technology Co has a Quality Score of 71/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of WinWay Technology Co (6515)?
WinWay Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 8.5B TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 6515?
The net profit margin of WinWay Technology Co is about 20.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 20.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does WinWay Technology Co pay a dividend?
WinWay Technology Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.29% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 20, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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