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Chang Wah Technology Co (6548) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · TW · Market cap 67.8B TWD

CW Chang Wah Technology Co 6548 · TWO
Price72.40 TWD
Fair Value30.63 TWD
Upside-57.7%
Quality61/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 11.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.32% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Moderate moat 53/100
Evidence: High Range 22.44 TWD – 38.81 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price −13.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 58% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (38.81 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

98.10 TWD 19.27 TWD Fair Value 30.63 TWD Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 19.27 TWD – 98.10 TWD · fair‑value band 22.44 TWD – 38.81 TWD · the 72.40 TWD price screens above the 30.63 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Chang Wah Technology Co (6548) currently trades at 72.40 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 30.63 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 57.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Chang Wah Technology Co generated revenue of 13.9B TWD at a net margin of 11.2%. Revenue grew 15.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.8%. Net debt stands at 2.0B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 22.44 TWD (bear case) to 38.81 TWD (bull case); at 72.40 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 141% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -58%, 6548 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 16.07 TWD 31.95 TWD 57.96 TWD 80
Residual Income 11.57 TWD 13.93 TWD 26.07 TWD 76
Rev-Margin DCF 20.01 TWD 37.24 TWD 73.21 TWD 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 17.09 TWD 26.92 TWD 58.22 TWD 38
Owner Earnings 21.63 TWD 49.29 TWD 107.35 TWD 31
5Y Revenue Exit 18.04 TWD 32.57 TWD 63.10 TWD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 23.71 TWD 44.03 TWD 83.97 TWD 41
5Y P/E Exit 23.09 TWD 53.78 TWD 95.96 TWD 38
10Y Revenue Exit 17.36 TWD 41.19 TWD 57.29 TWD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 22.24 TWD 53.39 TWD 108.91 TWD 37
10Y P/E Exit 21.79 TWD 52.06 TWD 102.67 TWD 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 11.07 TWD 77.23 TWD 108.38 TWD 54
Lynch FV 39.90 TWD 57.00 TWD 74.10 TWD 50
PEG = 1.0 39.90 TWD 57.00 TWD 74.10 TWD 46
EPV 13.43 TWD 15.68 TWD 17.65 TWD 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 12.38 TWD 25.74 TWD 40.83 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 12.38 TWD 21.70 TWD 27.01 TWD 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 24.43 TWD 32.57 TWD 40.71 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 20.76 TWD 27.69 TWD 34.61 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 20.76 TWD 27.69 TWD 34.61 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 24.52 TWD 32.71 TWD 40.89 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 25.20 TWD 33.61 TWD 42.03 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 16.51 TWD 23.61 TWD 30.70 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 5.97 TWD 8.00 TWD 11.94 TWD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 16.07 TWD 31.95 TWD 57.96 TWD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 20.01 TWD 37.24 TWD 73.21 TWD 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 11.57 TWD 13.93 TWD 26.07 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 15.47 TWD 21.73 TWD 27.91 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 51.41 TWD 73.45 TWD 95.48 TWD 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (73.45 TWD) versus Asset-Based (8.00 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 13.9B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.5%
Net margin 11.2%
Return on equity 13.8%
Free cash flow 940M TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 45.4
More key figures
Operating margin 13.8%
EPS (TTM) 1.62 TWD
Dividend yield 2.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +15.9%
Net debt 2.0B TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 42
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 83
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 42
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 96
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 79
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 94
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Chang Wah Technology Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and sells LED lead frame and molding compound materials in Taiwan, Asia, and internationally. The company offers industrial plastic products and electronic components; IC-leaded and IC-non-lead lead frames; EMC and pre-mold lead frames; roughen; and oxide surface plating treatment.

Full company description

Chang Wah Technology Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and sells LED lead frame and molding compound materials in Taiwan, Asia, and internationally. The company offers industrial plastic products and electronic components; IC-leaded and IC-non-lead lead frames; EMC and pre-mold lead frames; roughen; and oxide surface plating treatment. It also sells machinery and tools; lighting materials and equipment; communication devices; semiconductor materials and equipment; and electronic products. In addition, the company engages in investment activities; trades in electronic components and electronics; and acts as an agent for IC packaging materials and equipment. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Kaohsiung, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Chang Wah Technology Co reported revenue of 13.4B TWD in FY2025 versus 12.8B TWD in FY2021, a compound +1.2%/yr. Reported net income was 1.5B TWD in FY2025, compounding −3.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 78/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
13.4B TWD
Latest YoY
+12.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−2.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.8%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y)
+41.2%
Revenue +1.2%/yr
FY21 12.8B TWD
FY22 14.4B TWD
FY23 11.6B TWD
FY24 12.0B TWD
FY25 13.4B TWD
Net income −3.2%/yr
FY21 1.7B TWD
FY22 2.8B TWD
FY23 1.6B TWD
FY24 1.9B TWD
FY25 1.5B TWD

6548 screens 58% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chang Wah Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/6548

Peer Group

Semiconductors · 319 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside −58% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 14% · Above median
Revenue growth 16% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.3% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.49× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 45.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 6.15× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 4.87× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 2.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 28.0× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 78 · sector 60
PAST 55 · sector 24
HEALTH 75 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 46 · sector 22

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NVIDIA Corporation NVDA $211.80 $96.91 -54%
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM $398.37 $207.49 -48%
Broadcom Inc 1AVGO €367.75 €121.25 -67%
Micron Technology, Inc 1MU €784.90 €185.67 -76%
SK hynix Inc 000660 2,082,000 KRW 1,109,311 KRW -47%
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc 1AMD €425.20 €56.33 -87%
Intel Corporation INTC C$68.40 C$9.82 -86%
Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN $311.46 $59.75 -81%
MediaTek Inc 2454 3,740 TWD 1,163 TWD -69%
SK Square Co 402340 1,212,000 KRW 868,000 KRW -28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Chang Wah Technology Co (6548) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 30.63 TWD versus a price of 72.40 TWD, about −58% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 6548?
Our model-based fair value for Chang Wah Technology Co is 30.63 TWD (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 72.40 TWD.
What is the quality score of 6548?
Chang Wah Technology Co has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Chang Wah Technology Co (6548)?
Chang Wah Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 13.9B TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 6548?
The net profit margin of Chang Wah Technology Co is about 11.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Chang Wah Technology Co pay a dividend?
Chang Wah Technology Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.83% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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