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Baiwang Co Ltd (6657) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · HK · Market cap HK$3.2B (≈ $403M)

What is Baiwang Co Ltd really worth?

BC Baiwang Co Ltd 6657 · HK
PriceHK$14.46
Fair ValueHK$2.20
Upside−84.8%
Quality54/100

A solid business, but trading 557% above our fair value of HK$2.20.

As of Sep 5, 2026, the fair value of Baiwang Co Ltd is HK$2.20 per share against a price of HK$14.46, so the fair value sits 85% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +20.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -1.3% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
!Narrow moat 19/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 5 out of 100
Evidence: Low Range HK$2.12 – HK$2.33

Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Sep 5, 2026, revised from HK$2.19 to HK$2.20 (+0.5%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −0.3% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$2.33). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • The models converge in a tight band (HK$2.12 to HK$2.33), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.

Price vs Fair Value (2 years)

HK$51.50 HK$11.03 Fair Value HK$2.20 Jul 2024 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

26‑month range HK$11.03 – HK$51.50 · fair‑value band HK$2.12 – HK$2.33 · the HK$14.46 price screens above the HK$2.20 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

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Analysis

Baiwang Co Ltd (6657) currently trades at HK$14.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.20, implying the stock looks roughly 557.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 94/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Baiwang Co Ltd generated revenue of HK$729M at a net margin of −1.3%. Revenue grew 0.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −1.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$376M. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$2.12 (bear case) to HK$2.33 (bull case); at HK$14.46, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −85%, 6657 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly HK$0.0136 per share, which is 0.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings best evidence HK$1.98 HK$2.19 HK$2.55 78
NCAV (Graham) HK$2.08 HK$2.78 HK$4.15 54
All 2 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings best evidence HK$1.98 HK$2.19 HK$2.55 78
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$2.08 HK$2.78 HK$4.15 54

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$2.78) versus DCF Models (HK$2.19). Highest evidence: Owner Earnings (78).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 4.34 TTM
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0200
Net margin −1.3% FY2025
Return on equity −1.1% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −13.3% avg 5y
Operating margin −6.0% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) HK$729M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.9% 3y avg +11.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −HK$156M FY2025
Net cash HK$376M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 85
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 39
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Baiwang Co., Ltd. provides enterprise digitalization solutions through the Baiwang Cloud platform in China. It offers software as a service (SaaS) financial and tax digitalization, consists of tax invoice compliance management, financial and tax management, and supply chain collaboration solutions; and data-driven intelligence solutions, such as digital …

Full company description

Baiwang Co., Ltd. provides enterprise digitalization solutions through the Baiwang Cloud platform in China. It offers software as a service (SaaS) financial and tax digitalization, consists of tax invoice compliance management, financial and tax management, and supply chain collaboration solutions; and data-driven intelligence solutions, such as digital precision marketing and risk management services. The company also provides software and technology, and software maintenance services; and supply chain finance and financial technology cloud services. It serves banking, transportation, manufacturing, real estate, energy, and internet platform industries. Baiwang Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Baiwang Co Ltd reported revenue of 729M CNY in FY2025 versus 454M CNY in FY2021, a compound +12.6%/yr. Reported net income was −9.6M CNY in FY2025.

Growth Quality 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$729M
Latest YoY
+10.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+20.1%
EBIT margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−38.8% (2020) → −4.6% (2025)
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +12.6%/yr
FY21 454M CNY
FY22 526M CNY
FY23 713M CNY
FY24 659M CNY
FY25 729M CNY
Net income
FY21 −447M CNY
FY22 −154M CNY
FY23 −358M CNY
FY24 −501M CNY
FY25 −9.6M CNY

6657 screens 557% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Baiwang Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/6657.HK

Peer Group

Software - Application · 691 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −85% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets −1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −6% · Below median
Revenue growth 1% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.43× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.55× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE5 · sector 36
PAST0 · sector 12
HEALTH100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND0 · sector 28

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SAP SE SAP €191.32 €169.59 −11%
Shopify Inc SHOP C$209.78 C$28.76 −86%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $78.82 $43.66 −45%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $259.23 $249.28 −4%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $138.43 $43.73 −68%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $340.39 $112.57 −67%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $329.11 $42.27 −87%
Adobe Inc ADBE $266.51 $454.04 +70%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $277.62 $177.51 −36%
Intuit Inc INTU $332.70 $363.46 +9%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Baiwang Co Ltd (6657) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$2.20 versus a price of HK$14.46, about −85% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 6657?
Our model-based fair value for Baiwang Co Ltd is HK$2.20 (as of Sep 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$14.46.
What is the quality score of 6657?
Baiwang Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Baiwang Co Ltd (6657)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$2.20 (as of Sep 5, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$2.12, optimistic scenario HK$2.33. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Baiwang Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$2.20, about −85% upside versus a price of HK$14.46 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$2.12, optimistic scenario HK$2.33. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Baiwang Co Ltd (6657)?
Baiwang Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$729M (latest available figure, as of Sep 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 6657?
The net profit margin of Baiwang Co Ltd is about −1.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
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