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IWS Group Holdings Ltd (6663) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of IWS Group Holdings Ltd HK$0.42, price HK$0.39, upside +7.7%, quality 64 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · HK · ISIN KYG499001066

IG Thin data Sep 27, 2026

IWS Group Holdings Ltd

6663 · HK

NeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value HK$0.4200 · Fairly valued (+7.7%)
✓Quality 64/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +5.0 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -1.6% net margin (TTM)
✓generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
!Narrow moat 18/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 15 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 18 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$1.14 HK$0.2152 Fair Value HK$0.4200 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2152 – HK$1.14 · fair‑value band HK$0.3100 – HK$0.4900 · the HK$0.3900 price screens below the HK$0.4200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

IWS Group Holdings Limited, a facility services company, provides security and facility management services to public and private sectors in Hong Kong.

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IWS Group Holdings Limited, a facility services company, provides security and facility management services to public and private sectors in Hong Kong. The company's security services include general manned guarding, event and crisis security, and manpower support services at railway stations and facilities; sea, land, and railway immigration control points; and public amenities, as well as crowd coordination and management services for events, and emergency and critical incidents. Its facility management services comprise property management, car parking rental and management, and cleaning services. The company offers its services under the IWS brand name. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Cheung Sha Wan, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

IWS Group Holdings Ltd (6663) currently trades at HK$0.3900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4200, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 7.1%).

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$0.4400 per share, and 4 of the 13 models we run sit above the HK$0.3900 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.1600, and 9 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.3100 (bear) to HK$0.4900 (bull), the price of HK$0.3900 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

IWS Group Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$467M in FY2026 versus HK$537M in FY2022, a compound −3.4%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$7.6M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap HK$312M (≈ $39.8M) · P/S ratio 0.62 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0100 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin −1.6% · Return on equity −5.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.2% · Operating margin 0.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 63% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at 8%, 6663 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.3100 Fair Value HK$0.4200 Bull HK$0.4900
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0050 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$0.3400 HK$0.5000 HK$0.7500 78
Growth DCF HK$0.3400 HK$0.4900 HK$0.7200 75
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.3100 HK$0.4500 HK$0.6100 73
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.3400 HK$0.5000 HK$0.7500 78
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.2500 HK$0.3200 HK$0.4200 71
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.3100 HK$0.4500 HK$0.6100 73
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.2700 HK$0.3600 HK$0.4700 65
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.3200 HK$0.4400 HK$0.6200 66
Earnings-Based
EPV HK$0.1500 HK$0.1600 HK$0.1700 70
Multiples
EV/EBIT HK$0.3000 HK$0.3700 HK$0.4400 63
EV/EBITDA HK$0.3100 HK$0.3800 HK$0.4500 64
EV/Revenue HK$0.2000 HK$0.2500 HK$0.2900 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1200 HK$0.1600 HK$0.2400 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.3400 HK$0.4900 HK$0.7200 75
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.2500 HK$0.3300 HK$0.4200 71
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder HK$0.1500 HK$0.1600 HK$0.1700 70

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 65
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 84
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 41/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.0%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
19.5% (2021) → 1.9% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+3.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +1.3% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Security & Protection Services · 111 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 64 · Above median
Fair Value upside +7.7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets 1.4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −1.6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 3.0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.9% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.21× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.09× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 2.4× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)44 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)15 · sector 40
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 99
DIVIDEND (yield)18 · sector 46

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Allegion plc ALLE $154.47 $129.15 −16%
Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 ¥15.54 ¥31.47 +103%
MSA Safety Incorporated MSA $182.32 $121.15 −34%
ADT Inc ADT $6.14 $19.40 +216%
The Brink's Company BCO $106.82 $121.18 +13%
The GEO Group GEO $31.22 $13.08 −58%
Brady Corporation BRC $84.02 $84.37 +0%
Loomis AB LOOMIS kr 562.00 kr 496.43 −12%
CoreCivic, Inc CXW $32.67 $18.76 −43%
S-1 Corporation 012750 83,300 KRW 99,629 KRW +20%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "IWS Group Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/6663

Frequently asked questions

Is IWS Group Holdings Ltd (6663) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.4200 versus a price of HK$0.3900, about +8% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 6663?
Our model-based fair value for IWS Group Holdings Ltd is HK$0.4200 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.3900.
What is the quality score of 6663?
IWS Group Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for IWS Group Holdings Ltd (6663)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.4200 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.3100, optimistic scenario HK$0.4900. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the IWS Group Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.4200, about +8% upside versus a price of HK$0.3900 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario HK$0.3100, optimistic scenario HK$0.4900. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of IWS Group Holdings Ltd (6663)?
IWS Group Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$467M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does IWS Group Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
IWS Group Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.92% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into IWS Group Holdings Ltd (6663)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, IWS Group Holdings Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +3.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.0 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 6663 use?
Our models discount IWS Group Holdings Ltd at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.40, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For IWS Group Holdings Ltd that is +3.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has IWS Group Holdings Ltd (6663) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at IWS Group Holdings Ltd grew +5.0 % a year. The price currently implies +3.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of IWS Group Holdings Ltd (6663) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into IWS Group Holdings Ltd (+3.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of IWS Group Holdings Ltd (6663)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.22 %: that much free cash flow IWS Group Holdings Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of IWS Group Holdings Ltd (6663)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For IWS Group Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.4200 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.3900. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is IWS Group Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 6663 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.3900, fair value HK$0.4200, a gap of about +8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 6663?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.3900); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.4200). For IWS Group Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.0300 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is IWS Group Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values IWS Group Holdings Ltd at about HK$312M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.3900; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.4200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 6663?
Our models span a range for IWS Group Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.3100, base HK$0.4200, optimistic HK$0.4900 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.3900). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of IWS Group Holdings Ltd (6663)?
Balance-sheet figures for IWS Group Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −5.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 64/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 6663 from its 52-week high?
IWS Group Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.3900, about 4% below its 52-week high of HK$0.4050 and 63% above the low of HK$0.2400 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.4200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to IWS Group Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Allegion plc, Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co, MSA Safety Incorporated, ADT Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is IWS Group Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.3900, calculated fair value HK$0.4200 (+8%), Quality Score 64/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 6663 calculated?
We run IWS Group Holdings Ltd through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.4200, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. IWS Group Holdings Ltd currently trades 7 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of IWS Group Holdings Ltd (6663)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.3900. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.4200, about +8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with IWS Group Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of IWS Group Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of IWS Group Holdings Ltd (6663)?
The market capitalisation of IWS Group Holdings Ltd is HK$312M (≈ $39.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of IWS Group Holdings Ltd (6663)?
The price-to-sales ratio of IWS Group Holdings Ltd is 0.62 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of IWS Group Holdings Ltd (6663)?
Earnings per share at IWS Group Holdings Ltd are HK$0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of IWS Group Holdings Ltd (6663)?
The dividend yield of IWS Group Holdings Ltd is 0.9% (payout 36.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of IWS Group Holdings Ltd (6663)?
The net margin of IWS Group Holdings Ltd is −1.6% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of IWS Group Holdings Ltd (6663)?
The return on equity (ROE) of IWS Group Holdings Ltd is −5.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of IWS Group Holdings Ltd (6663)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of IWS Group Holdings Ltd is 9.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of IWS Group Holdings Ltd (6663)?
The operating margin of IWS Group Holdings Ltd is 0.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at IWS Group Holdings Ltd (6663)?
Revenue at IWS Group Holdings Ltd is growing +3.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at IWS Group Holdings Ltd (6663)?
Earnings per share at IWS Group Holdings Ltd are growing −14.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does IWS Group Holdings Ltd (6663) hold?
IWS Group Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$123M net (fiscal year 2021). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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