IWS Group Holdings Ltd (6663) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$264M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.1000 to HK$0.1500 (+50.0%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price −9.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 50% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 71/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.1800). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2152 – HK$1.14 · fair‑value band HK$0.1100 – HK$0.1800 · the HK$0.3000 price screens above the HK$0.1500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
IWS Group Holdings Ltd (6663) currently trades at HK$0.3000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1500, implying the stock looks roughly 50.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, IWS Group Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$460M at a net margin of 0.7%. Revenue grew 12.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$123M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1100 (bear case) to HK$0.1800 (bull case); at HK$0.3000, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at -50%, 6663 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$0.2400) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.0500). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
IWS Group Holdings Limited, a facility services company, provides security and facility management services to public and private sectors in Hong Kong.
Full company description
IWS Group Holdings Limited, a facility services company, provides security and facility management services to public and private sectors in Hong Kong. The company's security services include general manned guarding, event and crisis security, and manpower support services at railway stations and facilities; sea, land, and railway immigration control points; and public amenities, as well as crowd coordination and management services for events, and emergency and critical incidents. Its facility management services comprise property management, car parking rental and management, and cleaning services. The company offers its services under the IWS brand name. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Cheung Sha Wan, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
IWS Group Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$435M in FY2025 versus HK$366M in FY2021, a compound +4.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$4.1M in FY2025, compounding −50.0%/yr from FY2021.
6663 screens 50% overvalued. Compare with ASSA ABLOY AB →
Peer Group
Security & Protection Services · 112 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASSA ABLOY AB ASSAB | kr 360.50 | kr 269.97 | -25% |
| Verisure plc VSURE | €9.33 | €12.40 | +33% |
| Allegion plc ALLE | $166.11 | $127.80 | -23% |
| Securitas AB SECUB | kr 147.90 | kr 186.34 | +26% |
| Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 | ¥16.46 | ¥31.47 | +91% |
| MSA Safety Incorporated MSA | $192.04 | $116.42 | -39% |
| ADT Inc ADT | $7.31 | $16.68 | +128% |
| The Brink's Company BCO | $113.96 | $121.18 | +6% |
| Brady Corporation BRC | $95.12 | $72.32 | -24% |
| The GEO Group GEO | $31.45 | $25.50 | -19% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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