China Galaxy Securities Co Ltd (6881) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · HK · Market cap HK$80.8B (≈ $10.3B) · ISIN CNE100001NT6
What is China Galaxy Securities Co Ltd really worth?
A solid business, trading 12% below our fair value of HK$9.02.
As of Sep 3, 2026, the fair value of China Galaxy Securities Co Ltd is HK$9.02 per share against a price of HK$7.98, so the fair value sits 13% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price +1.9% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
- The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety.
- Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$2.48 – HK$12.61 · fair‑value band HK$6.76 – HK$11.27 · the HK$7.98 price screens below the HK$9.02 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
Analysis
China Galaxy Securities Co Ltd (6881) currently trades at HK$7.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$9.02, implying the stock looks roughly 11.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 25 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, China Galaxy Securities Co Ltd generated revenue of HK$30.1B at a net margin of 42.6%. Revenue grew 14.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.6%. Net debt stands at HK$215B. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$6.76 (bear case) to HK$11.27 (bull case); at HK$7.98, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at 13%, 6881 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly HK$0.4844 per share, which is 5.4 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$9.17) versus Asset-Based (HK$7.23). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
China Galaxy Securities Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides various financial services in China, Hong Kong, and internationally. The company operates through six segments: Wealth Management, Investment Banking, Institutional Business, International Business, Investment and Trading Business, and Parent-Subsidiary Integration Business.
Full company description
China Galaxy Securities Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides various financial services in China, Hong Kong, and internationally. The company operates through six segments: Wealth Management, Investment Banking, Institutional Business, International Business, Investment and Trading Business, and Parent-Subsidiary Integration Business. It offers agency trading of stocks, funds, bonds, and derivative financial instruments; financial services, including investment consulting, portfolio advice, financial product sale, and asset allocation, as well as securities trading, stock-pledged repurchase agreements, agreed repurchase transactions; and investment banking services, such as equity, bond, and structured financing, as well as financial advisory, asset securitization, and various financing solutions. The company also provides prime brokerage, seat leasing, custody and fund services, investment research, and sales and transactions; research and asset management services; and fixed-income securities, commodities, and derivatives, as well as comprehensive financial solutions for investment, financing, and risk management. In addition, it offers professional development, revenue generation, futures, and private equity, as well as equity investment management, alternative investment, and asset management. The company was founded in 2007 and is based in Beijing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Galaxy Securities Co Ltd reported revenue of 37.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 30.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound +4.7%/yr. Reported net income was 12.2B CNY in FY2025, compounding +4.0%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +5.0 % · buybacks/dilution −2.6 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Financial Conglomerates · 55 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Financial Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Financial Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORIX Corporation IX | $39.73 | $35.47 | −11% |
| Bajaj Finserv Ltd BAJAJFINSV | ₹2,029 | ₹796.96 | −61% |
| Guosen Securities Co 002736 | ¥10.24 | ¥10.84 | +6% |
| CNPC Capital Company 000617 | ¥6.96 | ¥6.99 | +0% |
| Aditya Birla Capital Limited ABCAPITAL | ₹404.90 | ₹119.98 | −70% |
| Freedom Holding FRHC | $171.87 | $31.31 | −82% |
| Voya Financial, Inc VOYA | $99.49 | $62.37 | −37% |
| Storebrand ASA STB | kr 200.40 | kr 46.42 | −77% |
| Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings 000987 | ¥7.65 | ¥5.62 | −27% |
| Bicecorp S.A BICE | 396.11 CLP | 261.70 CLP | −34% |
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