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Pinming Technology Co (688109) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 5.9B CNY

PT Pinming Technology Co 688109 · SHG
Price¥77.42
Fair Value¥15.71
Upside-79.7%
Quality76/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 7.6% net margin
generates free cash flow
0.69% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 31/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥12.52 – ¥18.89 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥12.00 to ¥15.71 (+30.9%) since Aug 12, 2026. Share price +7.2% over the past month.

A strong business, but screening 80% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 76/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥18.89). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥179.41 ¥13.54 Fair Value ¥15.71 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥13.54 – ¥179.41 · fair‑value band ¥12.52 – ¥18.89 · the ¥77.42 price screens above the ¥15.71 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Pinming Technology Co (688109) currently trades at ¥77.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥15.71, implying the stock looks roughly 79.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 76/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Pinming Technology Co generated revenue of 417M CNY at a net margin of 7.6%. Revenue declined 31.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 235M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥12.52 (bear case) to ¥18.89 (bull case); at ¥77.42, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high and 176% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at -80%, 688109 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥7.92 ¥8.20 ¥8.22 76
Growth DCF ¥16.90 ¥27.55 ¥44.75 72
Gordon GGM ¥5.90 ¥11.75 ¥17.79 70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥17.06 ¥28.87 ¥48.74 38
Owner Earnings ¥10.24 ¥16.74 ¥27.68 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥10.60 ¥15.48 ¥21.82 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥12.80 ¥20.02 ¥28.91 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥14.67 ¥23.90 ¥34.39 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥12.54 ¥17.87 ¥25.57 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥14.14 ¥21.13 ¥31.39 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥15.36 ¥23.91 ¥35.89 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥4.08 ¥19.17 ¥26.35 54
Lynch FV ¥5.08 ¥7.25 ¥9.43 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥5.08 ¥7.25 ¥9.43 46
EPV ¥6.90 ¥7.69 ¥8.37 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥5.90 ¥11.75 ¥17.79 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥5.90 ¥10.15 ¥12.40 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥12.60 ¥16.80 ¥20.99 63
P/S Multiple ¥7.65 ¥10.20 ¥12.75 58
P/B Multiple ¥7.65 ¥10.20 ¥12.75 55
EV/EBIT ¥12.92 ¥16.59 ¥20.27 53
EV/EBITDA ¥11.43 ¥14.61 ¥17.79 54
EV/Revenue ¥7.46 ¥9.85 ¥12.24 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥5.05 ¥6.76 ¥10.10 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥16.90 ¥27.55 ¥44.75 72
Rev-Margin DCF ¥10.60 ¥15.52 ¥21.93 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥7.92 ¥8.20 ¥8.22 76
ROIC Compounder ¥6.90 ¥7.69 ¥8.37 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥9.49 ¥13.56 ¥17.63 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥20.02) versus Asset-Based (¥6.76). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 417M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -31.8%
Net margin 7.6%
Return on equity 4.0%
Free cash flow 97.4M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 193.6
More key figures
Operating margin -40.5%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.4000
Dividend yield 0.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +250%
Net cash 235M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 76/100

Of which business quality 77 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 46
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 61
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 92
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 88
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 45
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 63
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Pinming Technology Co., Ltd. engages in research and development, sale, and technical service of Internet of Things software and hardware systems, and related products. It develops calculation software, formwork design software, construction planning software, HiBIM software, and building information software.

Full company description

Pinming Technology Co., Ltd. engages in research and development, sale, and technical service of Internet of Things software and hardware systems, and related products. It develops calculation software, formwork design software, construction planning software, HiBIM software, and building information software. The company is also involved in the research and development, and sale of network equipment and security monitoring products, as well as provision of information system integration and technical services. Pinming Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2011 and is based in Hangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Pinming Technology Co reported revenue of ¥437M in FY2025 versus ¥475M in FY2021, a compound −2.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥47.3M in FY2025, compounding −6.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 58/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
437M CNY
Latest YoY
−2.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.9%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+26.1%
Revenue −2.1%/yr
FY21 ¥475M
FY22 ¥435M
FY23 ¥436M
FY24 ¥447M
FY25 ¥437M
Net income −6.8%/yr
FY21 ¥62.7M
FY22 −¥56.0M
FY23 ¥12.4M
FY24 ¥31.5M
FY25 ¥47.3M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2025) −7.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share +9.5 pp

of which total revenue +23.3 pp · buybacks/dilution −13.8 pp

EBIT margin −12.4 pp
Tax rate +1.2 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −5.7 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

688109 screens 80% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Pinming Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688109

Peer Group

Software - Application · 713 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 76 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −80% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) -41% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -32% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 193.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 7.45× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 14.24× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 9.0× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 4
FUTURE 0 · sector 38
PAST 16 · sector 13
HEALTH 0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 14 · sector 27

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SAP SE SAPS C$12.46 C$16.26 +30%
Shopify Inc SHOP C$209.78 C$28.76 -86%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $75.36 $43.66 -42%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $193.32 $249.28 +29%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $124.94 $43.73 -65%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $323.13 $112.57 -65%
Beijing Kingsoft Office Software, Inc 688111 ¥254.50 ¥81.23 -68%
Tata Elxsi Limited TATAELXSI ₹3,712 ₹2,519 -32%
Douzone Bizon Co 012510 120,000 KRW 92,181 KRW -23%
KFin Technologies Limited KFINTECH ₹922.00 ₹556.85 -40%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Pinming Technology Co (688109) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥15.71 versus a price of ¥77.42, about −80% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688109?
Our model-based fair value for Pinming Technology Co is ¥15.71 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥77.42.
What is the quality score of 688109?
Pinming Technology Co has a Quality Score of 76/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Pinming Technology Co (688109)?
Pinming Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 417M CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688109?
The net profit margin of Pinming Technology Co is about 7.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Pinming Technology Co pay a dividend?
Pinming Technology Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.71% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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