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Bangyan Technology Co (688132) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 2.2B CNY

BT Bangyan Technology Co 688132 · SHG
Price¥13.59
Fair Value¥3.48
Upside-74.4%
Quality34/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -181.1% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/9)
Narrow moat 3/100
Evidence: Low Range ¥2.30 – ¥4.35 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥24.33 to ¥3.48 (−85.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +2.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 74% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.35). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥2.30 to ¥4.35) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

¥29.98 ¥11.41 Fair Value ¥3.48 Sep 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

47‑month range ¥11.41 – ¥29.98 · fair‑value band ¥2.30 – ¥4.35 · the ¥13.59 price screens above the ¥3.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Bangyan Technology Co (688132) currently trades at ¥13.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.48, implying the stock looks roughly 74.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 126M CNY. Revenue declined 39.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -17.5%. Net debt stands at 427M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.30 (bear case) to ¥4.35 (bull case); at ¥13.59, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -61% fair-value upside, at -74%, 688132 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM ¥0.0200 ¥0.0200 ¥0.0200 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.0200 ¥0.0200 ¥0.0200 61
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.05 ¥5.43 ¥8.11 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.0200 ¥0.0200 ¥0.0200 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.0200 ¥0.0200 ¥0.0200 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.05 ¥5.43 ¥8.11 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥5.43) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.0200). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 126M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -39.8%
Net margin -181%
Return on equity -17.5%
Free cash flow −144M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -248%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-1.50
EPS growth (YoY) -35.5%
Net debt 427M CNY FY2021

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 2
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 10
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Bangyan Technology Co., Ltd. offers solutions for information communication and security in the military field in China. The company provides converged communication, ship communication, and information security products, as well as power private network products. The company was founded in 2000 and is based in Shenzhen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Bangyan Technology Co reported revenue of ¥137M in FY2025 versus ¥308M in FY2021, a compound −18.4%/yr. Reported net income was −¥212M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
137M CNY
Latest YoY
−57.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−27.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−13.3%
Revenue −18.4%/yr
FY21 ¥308M
FY22 ¥355M
FY23 ¥179M
FY24 ¥318M
FY25 ¥137M
Net income
FY21 ¥79.3M
FY22 ¥35.8M
FY23 −¥50.5M
FY24 −¥36.6M
FY25 −¥212M

688132 screens 74% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bangyan Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688132

Peer Group

Communication Equipment · 286 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −74% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -181% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -40% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.26× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.56× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 30
PAST 0 · sector 15
HEALTH 99 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO $119.25 $43.05 -64%
Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 ¥1,094 ¥171.09 -84%
Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 ¥56.50 ¥28.65 -49%
Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 ¥482.88 ¥155.05 -68%
Nokia Oyj NOK $11.25 $2.67 -76%
Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI $413.31 $190.43 -54%
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 ¥244.13 ¥32.04 -87%
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERIC $11.72 $15.96 +36%
Accton Technology Corporation 2345 2,090 TWD 846.28 TWD -60%
ZTE Corporation 000063 ¥40.00 ¥15.75 -61%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Bangyan Technology Co (688132) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.48 versus a price of ¥13.59, about −74% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688132?
Our model-based fair value for Bangyan Technology Co is ¥3.48 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥13.59.
What is the quality score of 688132?
Bangyan Technology Co has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Bangyan Technology Co (688132)?
Bangyan Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 126M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688132?
The net profit margin of Bangyan Technology Co is about -181.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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