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Shenzhen Neoway Technology Co (688159) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 3.1B CNY

SN Shenzhen Neoway Technology Co 688159 · SHG
Price¥32.98
Fair Value¥6.67
Upside-79.8%
Quality47/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 1.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/14)
Narrow moat 34/100
Evidence: High Range ¥6.67 – ¥7.37 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 12, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 12, 2026, revised from ¥6.92 to ¥6.67 (−3.6%) since Jul 12, 2026. Share price −13.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 80% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥7.37). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • The models converge in a tight band (¥6.67 to ¥7.37), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥82.59 ¥14.53 Fair Value ¥6.67 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥14.53 – ¥82.59 · fair‑value band ¥6.67 – ¥7.37 · the ¥32.98 price screens above the ¥6.67 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Shenzhen Neoway Technology Co (688159) currently trades at ¥32.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.67, implying the stock looks roughly 79.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shenzhen Neoway Technology Co generated revenue of 2.0B CNY at a net margin of 1.9%. Revenue declined 48.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.0%. Net debt stands at 167M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥6.67 (bear case) to ¥7.37 (bull case); at ¥32.98, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -61% fair-value upside, at -80%, 688159 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥12.59 ¥18.19 ¥29.13 80
Residual Income ¥6.98 ¥6.85 ¥5.80 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥18.56 ¥32.50 ¥59.45 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥13.05 ¥17.08 ¥29.64 38
Owner Earnings ¥10.11 ¥15.62 ¥26.76 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥18.13 ¥29.14 ¥52.35 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥21.18 ¥35.32 ¥63.12 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥10.98 ¥16.88 ¥24.80 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥16.21 ¥33.05 ¥45.06 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥18.96 ¥39.48 ¥76.56 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥11.68 ¥18.01 ¥28.11 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.00 ¥13.98 ¥19.62 54
Lynch FV ¥5.70 ¥8.15 ¥10.59 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥5.70 ¥8.15 ¥10.59 46
EPV ¥17.41 ¥19.28 ¥20.89 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥4.31 ¥8.60 ¥13.02 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥4.31 ¥7.43 ¥9.07 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥4.42 ¥5.90 ¥7.37 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.76 ¥5.01 ¥6.26 58
P/B Multiple ¥3.76 ¥5.01 ¥6.26 55
EV/EBIT ¥25.11 ¥31.61 ¥38.12 53
EV/EBITDA ¥23.82 ¥29.90 ¥35.98 54
EV/Revenue ¥18.74 ¥24.38 ¥30.02 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.84 ¥6.48 ¥9.67 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥12.59 ¥18.19 ¥29.13 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥18.56 ¥32.50 ¥59.45 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥6.98 ¥6.85 ¥5.80 76
ROIC Compounder ¥20.87 ¥27.88 ¥37.47 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥7.01 ¥10.02 ¥13.02 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥18.19) versus Multiples (¥5.90). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.0B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -40.9%
Net margin 1.9%
Return on equity 4.0%
Free cash flow 43.5M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 83.0
More key figures
Operating margin 10.5%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.4000
EPS growth (YoY) +57.9%
Net debt 167M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 11

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 21
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 58
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 34
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 75
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shenzhen Neoway Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of IoT wireless communication modules, IoT wireless communication terminals, IoT wireless communication solutions and cloud products in China.

Full company description

Shenzhen Neoway Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of IoT wireless communication modules, IoT wireless communication terminals, IoT wireless communication solutions and cloud products in China. It offers G/3G/4G/5G/NB-IoT/eMTC cellular modules for use in smart energy, IoV, smart manufacturing, commercial retail, smart city, and other industries; Fleet Management, Wi-Fi Hotspot, Usage-based Insurance, and Vehicle Finance wireless device solutions. The company also provides wireless communication terminals, such as 4G smart OBD, emergency lights and other terminals, and urban IoT perception terminals, as well as abnormality monitors, environmental monitors, general collectors, and IoT gateways; Neopipe cloud application software platform; and Neoaccess Cloud, an access service platform. Shenzhen Neoway Technology Co.,Ltd. was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shenzhen Neoway Technology Co reported revenue of ¥2.4B in FY2025 versus ¥1.0B in FY2021, a compound +23.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥27.3M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 79/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.4B CNY
Latest YoY
−21.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+42.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+33.2%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+24.8%
Revenue +23.8%/yr
FY21 ¥1.0B
FY22 ¥840M
FY23 ¥932M
FY24 ¥3.1B
FY25 ¥2.4B
Net income
FY21 −¥13.0M
FY22 −¥56.9M
FY23 −¥38.4M
FY24 ¥100M
FY25 ¥27.3M

688159 screens 80% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shenzhen Neoway Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688159

Peer Group

Communication Equipment · 289 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside −80% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -41% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.25× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 83.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 3.43× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.52× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 10.5× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 20.7× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 30
PAST 16 · sector 15
HEALTH 88 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 26

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO $119.25 $43.05 -64%
Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 ¥1,094 ¥171.09 -84%
Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 ¥56.50 ¥28.65 -49%
Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 ¥482.88 ¥155.05 -68%
Nokia Oyj NOK $11.25 $2.67 -76%
Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI $413.31 $190.43 -54%
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 ¥244.13 ¥32.04 -87%
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERIC $11.72 $15.96 +36%
Accton Technology Corporation 2345 2,090 TWD 846.28 TWD -60%
ZTE Corporation 000063 ¥40.00 ¥15.75 -61%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shenzhen Neoway Technology Co (688159) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥6.67 versus a price of ¥32.98, about −80% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688159?
Our model-based fair value for Shenzhen Neoway Technology Co is ¥6.67 (as of Aug 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥32.98.
What is the quality score of 688159?
Shenzhen Neoway Technology Co has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shenzhen Neoway Technology Co (688159)?
Shenzhen Neoway Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688159?
The net profit margin of Shenzhen Neoway Technology Co is about 1.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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