Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech (688188) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech stock ¥111, price ¥101, upside +10.0%, quality 81 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥84.21 – ¥186.50 · fair‑value band ¥61.95 – ¥190.67 · the ¥101.14 price screens below the ¥111.25 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Shanghai BOCHU Electronic Technology Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of laser processing automation products in China and internationally.
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The company operates through four segments: Planar Solutions, Pipe Solutions, 3D Solutions, and others. It offers high and low power cutting controllers; heavy tube cutting controllers; plane bevel and structural steel cutting controllers; intelligent welding system; 2D cutting head; and servo set.
The company also provides industrial software, including TubesT, a 3D tube nesting software for CypTube/TubePro laser cutting system; and CypNesT, a nesting software for CypCut/HypCut sheet laser cutting system.
In addition, it is involved in enterprise management; technical services; sale of electronic products; automation control equipment; and mechanical parts processing. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.
Stock analysis
Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech (688188) currently trades at ¥101.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥111.25, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 9.1%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥128.10 per share, and 5 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥101.14 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥13.27, and 21 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥61.95 (bear) to ¥190.67 (bull), the price of ¥101.14 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 81/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech reported revenue of 2.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 913M CNY in FY2021, a compound +24.5%/yr. Reported net income was 1.1B CNY in FY2025, compounding +19.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 39.0B CNY (≈ $5.9B) Mid · P/E ratio 32.6 · P/S ratio 16.5 · EPS (TTM) ¥3.10 · Dividend yield 1.9% · Net margin 53.1% · Return on equity 20.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 16.7% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 87 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −7% fair-value upside, at 10%, 688188 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥61.95Fair Value ¥111.25Bull¥190.67
Price ¥101.14 · Upside +10.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.9753 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+26.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+34.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+37.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
≈ +25.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year≈ +23.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.base effect: 23.3% / −22.7%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.69% → 57%
2025 sits 52% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 31.1%/yr over ~7Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
⚠ Base effect: the rate starts in the earnings trough around 2020 (starting value 1.35 per share, median 50.1 in 2016 to 2018). It measures the recovery from the trough, not lasting growth.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+11.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+21.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +9.3% a year for the price and +19.4% for the forecasts.
Compare Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductors · 370 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score81 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+10.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)20.8% · Top 25%
Return on assets16.8% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)53.1% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)54.8% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)20.2% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)1.9% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)32.6× · Pricier than median
P/B6.41× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)16.46× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)36.5× · Cheaper than median
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Is Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech (688188) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥111.25 versus a price of ¥101.14, about +10% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 688188?
Our model-based fair value for Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech is ¥111.25 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥101.14.
What is the quality score of 688188?
Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech has a Quality Score of 81/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech (688188)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥111.25 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥61.95, optimistic scenario ¥190.67. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥111.25, about +10% upside versus a price of ¥101.14 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ¥61.95, optimistic scenario ¥190.67. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech (688188)?
Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech pay a dividend?
Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech currently shows a dividend yield of 1.94% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech (688188) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech pays a dividend of ¥1.96 per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.9%. The last ex-dividend date was Jun 29, 2026. The payout ratio is 63.2% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 1.35 times. Our assessment: Sustainable. Payout and cash coverage both look sustainable.
What growth is priced into Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech (688188)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech would have to grow free cash flow by +11.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +30.9 % per year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 688188 use?
Our models discount Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech at 9.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.65, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech that is +11.2 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech (688188) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech grew +30.9 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +11.2 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech (688188) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +11.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech (+11.2 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech (688188)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.66 %: that much free cash flow Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech (688188)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech it is ¥111.25 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of ¥101.14. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, 688188 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥101.14, fair value ¥111.25, a gap of about +10% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688188?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥101.14); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥111.25). For Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech the two are ¥10.11 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech worth?
The market values Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech at about 39.0B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is ¥101.14; our models calculate a fair value of ¥111.25 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 688188?
Our models span a range for Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech: cautious scenario ¥61.95, base ¥111.25, optimistic ¥190.67 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price ¥101.14). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 688188?
Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 32.6 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥111.25 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 6.4, P/S 16.5, EV/EBITDA 30.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech (688188)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 20.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 81/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688188 from its 52-week high?
Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech trades at ¥101.14, about 43% below its 52-week high of ¥177.81 and 12% above the low of ¥90.30 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥111.25 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech?
From the same area (Technology) we also value NVIDIA Corporation, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Broadcom Inc, Micron Technology, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price ¥101.14, calculated fair value ¥111.25 (+10%), Quality Score 81/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 688188 calculated?
We run Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥111.25 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech currently trades 9% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech (688188)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥101.14. Our model-based fair value is ¥111.25, about +10% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech right now?
The model range is unusually wide (¥61.95 to ¥190.67). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Key figures of Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech
How large is the market capitalisation of Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech (688188)?
The market capitalisation of Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech is 39.0B CNY (≈ $5.9B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech (688188)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech is 16.5 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech (688188)?
Earnings per share at Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech are ¥3.10 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 32.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech (688188)?
The dividend yield of Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech is 1.9% (payout 63.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech (688188)?
The net margin of Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech is 53.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech (688188)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech is 20.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech (688188)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech is 16.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech (688188)?
The operating margin of Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech is 54.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech (688188)?
Revenue at Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech is growing +20.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +34.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech (688188)?
Earnings per share at Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech are growing +20.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech (688188) hold?
Shanghai Friendess Electronics Tech holds more cash than debt, 2.2B CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Nov 8, 2026