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Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd (688229) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd ¥6.83, price ¥58.45, upside -88.3%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd
688229 · SHGStretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value ¥6.83 · Strongly overvalued (−88.3%)
!Quality 55/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -80.9% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/9)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥20.71 – ¥120.06 · fair‑value band ¥4.51 – ¥8.53 · the ¥58.45 price screens above the ¥6.83 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Company profile
Bonree Data Technology Co., Ltd provides application performance management services for enterprises in China. It also offers network performance management, big data, network performance monitoring, and infrastructure monitoring products. It also offers support services. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is based in Beijing, China.
Stock analysis
Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd (688229) currently trades at ¥58.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.83, 88.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: ¥4.51 (bear) to ¥8.53 (bull), the price of ¥58.45 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 129M CNY in FY2025 versus 133M CNY in FY2021, a compound −0.8%/yr. Reported net income was −94.1M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 3.2B CNY (≈ $483M) · P/S ratio 26.4 · EPS (TTM) ¥−2.27 · Net margin −72.9% · Return on equity −25.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −17.4% · Operating margin −38.7% · Revenue (TTM) 123M CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −88%, 688229 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥4.51
Fair Value ¥6.83
Bull ¥8.53
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham)
¥4.10
¥5.49
¥8.19
51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
¥4.10
¥5.49
¥8.19
51
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
55/100
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24
Profitability
13
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
2
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
81
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
1/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.8% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.3%
’14
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’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
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’23
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
23.5% (2020) → −65.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
688229 screens overvalued: fair value 88% below the price. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →
Compare Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 358 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Information Technology sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Chinese Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $512.90 | $564.19 | +10% |
| Palantir Technologies Inc PLTR | $187.05 | $42.16 | −77% |
| Oracle Corporation ORCL | $137.30 | $112.26 | −18% |
| CrowdStrike Holdings CRWD | $264.75 | $37.31 | −86% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $176.33 | $164.68 | −7% |
| Synopsys, Inc SNPS | $434.94 | $249.20 | −43% |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $87.12 | $58.32 | −33% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | $74.04 | $76.95 | +4% |
| NetApp, Inc NTAP | $204.41 | $157.26 | −23% |
| Okta, Inc OKTA | $202.18 | $142.12 | −30% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd (688229) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥6.83 versus a price of ¥58.45, about −88% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688229?
Our model-based fair value for Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd is ¥6.83 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥58.45.
What is the quality score of 688229?
Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd (688229)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥6.83 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥4.51, optimistic scenario ¥8.53. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥6.83, about −88% upside versus a price of ¥58.45 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥4.51, optimistic scenario ¥8.53. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd (688229)?
Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 123M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd (688229)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd it is ¥6.83 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥58.45. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 688229 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥58.45, fair value ¥6.83, a gap of about −88% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688229?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥58.45); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥6.83). For Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd the two are ¥51.62 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd worth?
The market values Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd at about 3.2B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥58.45; our models calculate a fair value of ¥6.83 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 688229?
Our models span a range for Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥4.51, base ¥6.83, optimistic ¥8.53 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥58.45). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd (688229)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −25.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688229 from its 52-week high?
Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd trades at ¥58.45, about 51% below its 52-week high of ¥120.06 and 3% above the low of ¥56.71 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥6.83 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Oracle Corporation, CrowdStrike Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥58.45, calculated fair value ¥6.83 (−88%), Quality Score 55/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 688229 calculated?
We run Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥6.83, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd (688229)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was ¥58.45. Our model-based fair value is ¥6.83, about −88% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥8.53). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (¥4.51 to ¥8.53) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd (688229)?
The market capitalisation of Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd is 3.2B CNY (≈ $483M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd (688229)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd is 26.4 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd (688229)?
Earnings per share at Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd are ¥−2.27. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd (688229)?
The net margin of Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd is −72.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd (688229)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd is −25.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd (688229)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd is −17.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd (688229)?
The operating margin of Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd is −38.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd (688229)?
Revenue at Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd is growing −11.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd (688229) generate?
The free cash flow of Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd is −57.4M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd (688229) hold?
Bonree Data Technology Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 331M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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