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Data-driven stock valuation

Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A (688295) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 23, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A stock ¥3.35, price ¥32.90, upside -89.8%, quality 54 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with one Yes, for free

Basic Materials · CN · ISIN CNE1000059J7

ZS Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A logo Thin data Oct 25, 2026

Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A

688295 · SHG

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

Our calculation puts a fair price 90% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 54/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +32.7 %/yr in CNY)
Thin margins · 6.3% net margin (TTM)
Moderate debt
0.1% dividend yield · Token dividend
Fair value ¥3.35 · Strongly overvalued (−89.8%)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/13)
Narrow moat 35/100
Thin data
Structural break⟳ Cyclical⚠ Small free float

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥64.99 ¥16.40 Fair Value ¥3.35 Apr 2022 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

55‑month range ¥16.40 – ¥64.99 · fair‑value band ¥2.89 – ¥3.35 · the ¥32.90 price screens above the ¥3.35 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 25, 2026.

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Company profile

Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, manufacturing and sales of carbon fiber precursor, carbon fiber and carbon fiber products in China and internationally.

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Its products are used in carbon/carbon composite materials, pressure vessels, sports and leisure, transportation construction, and wind turbine blades. The company was founded in 2006 and is based in Lianyungang, China.

Stock analysis

Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A (688295) currently trades at ¥32.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.35, 89.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥4.13 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥32.90 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ¥0.3500, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥2.89 (bear) to ¥3.35 (bull), the price of ¥32.90 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A reported revenue of 2.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound +16.9%/yr. Reported net income was 96.2M CNY in FY2025, compounding −23.4%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 29.6B CNY (≈ $4.4B) Mid · P/E ratio 193.5 · P/S ratio 12.2 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.1700 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin 6.3% · Return on equity 3.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 35 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −55% fair-value upside, at −90%, 688295 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.3500 to ¥14.45). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ¥2.89 Fair Value ¥3.35 Bull ¥3.35
Price ¥32.90 · Upside -89.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.1119 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income ¥3.55 ¥3.35 ¥3.29 76
ROIC Compounder ¥0.2100 ¥0.3500 ¥0.4700 71
EPV ¥0.2100 ¥0.3500 ¥0.4700 69
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.7300 ¥5.07 ¥7.11 63
Lynch FV ¥2.30 ¥3.28 ¥4.27 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.30 ¥3.28 ¥4.27 57
EPV ¥0.2100 ¥0.3500 ¥0.4700 69
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.4800 ¥0.9000 ¥1.28 67
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.4800 ¥0.8100 ¥0.9600 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.36 ¥1.82 ¥2.27 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.36 ¥1.82 ¥2.27 58
P/B Multiple ¥10.84 ¥14.45 ¥18.06 55
EV/EBIT ¥0.7700 ¥1.29 ¥1.80 64
EV/EBITDA ¥2.89 ¥4.11 ¥5.34 67
EV/Revenue ¥0.5600 ¥1.14 ¥1.71 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.41 ¥3.23 ¥4.82 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.55 ¥3.35 ¥3.29 76
ROIC Compounder ¥0.2100 ¥0.3500 ¥0.4700 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥2.89 ¥4.13 ¥5.36 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 17
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 85
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 41
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 64
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 44
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 32
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 34
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+40.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+0.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+0.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.1%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.28% → 6%

688295 screens overvalued: fair value 90% below the price. Compare with Linde plc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 709 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside −89.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 3.3% · Below median
Return on assets 0.9% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 6.3% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) 4.3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 14.6% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.61× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 193.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B 6.27× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 12.16× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 67.2× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 1
FUTURE (revenue growth)73 · sector 61
PAST (return on equity)13 · sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)70 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)2 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥66.48 ¥68.03 +2% vs 688295
Linde plc LIN $510.36 $444.78 −13% vs 688295
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 320.50 TWD 239.32 TWD −25% vs 688295
Sika AG SIKA CHF 185.70 CHF 98.89 −47% vs 688295
The Sherwin-Williams Company SHW $337.27 $151.86 −55% vs 688295
Air Products and Chemicals, Inc APD $302.66 $120.98 −60% vs 688295
Givaudan SA GIVN CHF 3,962 CHF 1,554 −61% vs 688295
Ecolab Inc ECL $288.09 $96.56 −66% vs 688295
EMS-CHEMIE HOLDING AG EMSN CHF 895.50 CHF 284.63 −68% vs 688295
DSM-Firmenich AG DSFIR CHF 99.75 CHF 22.05 −78% vs 688295

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688295

Frequently asked questions

Is Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A (688295) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.35 versus a price of ¥32.90, about −90% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688295?
Our model-based fair value for Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A is ¥3.35 (as of Oct 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥32.90.
What is the quality score of 688295?
Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A (688295)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥3.35 (as of Oct 25, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.89, optimistic scenario ¥3.35. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥3.35, about −90% upside versus a price of ¥32.90 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.89, optimistic scenario ¥3.35. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A (688295)?
Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 25, 2026).
Does Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A pay a dividend?
Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A currently shows a dividend yield of 0.10% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 25, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A (688295)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A it is ¥3.35 per share (as of Oct 25, 2026), against a price of ¥32.90. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 25, 2026, 688295 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥32.90, fair value ¥3.35, a gap of about −90% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688295?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥32.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥3.35). For Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A the two are ¥29.55 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A worth?
The market values Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A at about 29.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 25, 2026). Per share that is ¥32.90; our models calculate a fair value of ¥3.35 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 688295?
Our models span a range for Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A: cautious scenario ¥2.89, base ¥3.35, optimistic ¥3.35 per share (as of Oct 25, 2026, price ¥32.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 688295?
Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 193.5 (as of Oct 25, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥3.35 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 6.3, P/S 12.2, EV/EBITDA 67.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A (688295)?
Balance-sheet figures for Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A (as of Oct 25, 2026): return on equity 3.3%, debt of 0.61 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688295 from its 52-week high?
Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A trades at ¥32.90, about 49% below its 52-week high of ¥64.99 and 35% above the low of ¥24.31 (as of Oct 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥3.35 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Nan Ya Plastics Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 25, 2026: price ¥32.90, calculated fair value ¥3.35 (−90%), Quality Score 54/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 688295 calculated?
We run Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥3.35, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.3 % above its aggregate fair value. Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A (688295)?
The closing price on Oct 23, 2026 was ¥32.90. Our model-based fair value is ¥3.35, about −90% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.35). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A

How large is the market capitalisation of Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A (688295)?
The market capitalisation of Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A is 29.6B CNY (≈ $4.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A (688295)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A is 12.2 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A (688295)?
Earnings per share at Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A are ¥0.1700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 193.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A (688295)?
The dividend yield of Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A is 0.1% (payout 19.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A (688295)?
The net margin of Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A is 6.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A (688295)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A is 3.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A (688295)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A is 4.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A (688295)?
The operating margin of Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A is 4.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A (688295)?
Revenue at Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A is growing +14.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A (688295)?
Earnings per share at Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A are growing −21.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A (688295) generate?
The free cash flow of Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A is −781M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A (688295) carry?
The net debt of Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co. Ltd. A is 707M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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