Xinjiang Daqo New Energy Co (688303) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 44.9B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 5 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026 — revised from ¥82.00 to ¥5.25 (−93.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −17.9% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range ¥16.06 – ¥34.39 · fair‑value band ¥4.52 – ¥5.98 · the ¥16.52 price screens above the ¥5.25 fair value. As of Jul 12, 2026.
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Xinjiang Daqo New Energy Co (688303) currently trades at ¥16.52, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.25 — implying the stock looks roughly 68.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Xinjiang Daqo New Energy Co generated revenue of 4.1B CNY at a net margin of -33.3%. Revenue declined 79.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 5.0B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥4.52 (bear case) to ¥5.98 (bull case); at ¥16.52, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -69% fair-value upside — at -68%, 688303 screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Xinjiang Daqo New Energy Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of polysilicon products in China and internationally. The company offers P-type single crystal composite feed, P-type single crystal dense materials, large and small P-type monocrystalline coral materials, N-type single crystal material, and P-type single crystal loose materials. It also provides polycrystalline loose rods and dense rods, dense bulk materials, and loose block materials. The company was founded in 2011 and is based in Shihezi, China. Xinjiang Daqo New Energy Co.,Ltd. is a subsidiary of Daqo New Energy Corp.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Xinjiang Daqo New Energy Co reported revenue of ¥4.8B in FY2025 versus ¥10.8B in FY2021, a compound −18.2%/yr. Reported net income was −¥1.1B in FY2025.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.