Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A (688370) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A ¥11.67, price ¥28.42, upside -58.9%, quality 61 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
49‑month range ¥14.78 – ¥30.50 · the ¥28.42 price screens above the ¥11.67 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the disposal and resource utilization of hazardous waste. The company offers technical services and technical consulting, as well as environmental protection equipment, mechanical equipment, metal products, and plastic products.
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Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the disposal and resource utilization of hazardous waste. The company offers technical services and technical consulting, as well as environmental protection equipment, mechanical equipment, metal products, and plastic products. It is also involved in technology development; technology transfer in the field of environmental protection technology; construction of environmental protection construction projects; and import and export of goods and technologies. The company serves information technology, high-end equipment, new materials, new energy, biomedicine, and other fields. Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.
Stock analysis
Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A (688370) currently trades at ¥28.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥11.67, implying the stock looks roughly 143.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥15.32 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the ¥28.42 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥1.40, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A reported revenue of 526M CNY in FY2025 versus 667M CNY in FY2021, a compound −5.7%/yr. Reported net income was 23.2M CNY in FY2025, compounding −40.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 3.9B CNY (≈ $581M) · P/E ratio 135.3 · P/S ratio 5.96 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.2100 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin 4.4% · Return on equity 0.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at −59%, 688370 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥11.67Fair Value ¥11.67Bull ¥11.67
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−11.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−38.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−39.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.7%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.100% → 1%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+15.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +13.7% a year for the price.
Compare Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Waste Management · 167 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−59% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1% · Below median
Return on assets0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)135.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.47× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)7.55× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF5.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA22.8× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 20
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 21
PAST (return on equity)3· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 80
DIVIDEND (yield)15· sector 44
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688370
Frequently asked questions
Is Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A (688370) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥11.67 versus a price of ¥28.42, about −59% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688370?
Our model-based fair value for Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A is ¥11.67 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥28.42.
What is the quality score of 688370?
Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A (688370)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥11.67 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥11.67, about −59% upside versus a price of ¥28.42 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A (688370)?
Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 516M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A pay a dividend?
Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.74% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A (688370)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A would have to grow free cash flow by +15.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -4.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 688370 use?
Our models discount Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A at 10.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.60, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A that is +15.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A (688370) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A grew -4.7 % a year. The price currently implies +15.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A (688370) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A (+15.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A (688370)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.96 %: that much free cash flow Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A (688370)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A it is ¥11.67 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥28.42. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 688370 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥28.42, fair value ¥11.67, a gap of about −59% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688370?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥28.42); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥11.67). For Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A the two are ¥16.75 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A worth?
The market values Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A at about 3.9B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥28.42; our models calculate a fair value of ¥11.67 per share.
What is the P/E ratio of 688370?
Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 135.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥11.67 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 7.6, EV/EBITDA 22.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A (688370)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 0.7%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688370 from its 52-week high?
Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A trades at ¥28.42, about 6% below its 52-week high of ¥30.30 and 41% above the low of ¥20.19 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥11.67 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Waste Management, Inc, Republic Services, Inc, Waste Connections, Inc, Veolia Environnement SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥28.42, calculated fair value ¥11.67 (−59%), Quality Score 61/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 688370 calculated?
We run Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥11.67, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A (688370)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥28.42. Our model-based fair value is ¥11.67, about −59% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥11.67). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A
How large is the market capitalisation of Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A (688370)?
The market capitalisation of Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A is 3.9B CNY (≈ $581M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A (688370)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A is 5.96 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A (688370)?
Earnings per share at Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A are ¥0.2100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 135.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A (688370)?
The dividend yield of Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A is 0.7% (payout 100%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A (688370)?
The net margin of Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A is 4.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A (688370)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A is 0.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A (688370)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A is 4.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A (688370)?
The operating margin of Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A is 7.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A (688370)?
Revenue at Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A is growing −8.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A (688370)?
Earnings per share at Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A are growing +100% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A (688370) carry?
The net debt of Shanghai Conglin Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. A is 48.9M CNY (fiscal year 2021, ≈ 0.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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