Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A (688416) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A ¥16.32, price ¥72.63, upside -77.5%, quality 77 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
49‑month range ¥16.03 – ¥140.00 · fair‑value band ¥12.32 – ¥22.00 · the ¥72.63 price screens above the ¥16.32 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
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Zbit Semiconductor, Inc., an integrated circuit design company, engages in the research and development, design, and sale of memory and MCU chips in China and internationally. The company offers NOR flash memory, MCU microcontrollers, embedded storage products, and AI chips and modules, as well as services.
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Zbit Semiconductor, Inc., an integrated circuit design company, engages in the research and development, design, and sale of memory and MCU chips in China and internationally. The company offers NOR flash memory, MCU microcontrollers, embedded storage products, and AI chips and modules, as well as services. It serves vehicle electronics, smart home, traditional market, AI, 5G base station, AMOLED screen TDDI, and wearable device applications. The company was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Hefei, China.
Stock analysis
Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A (688416) currently trades at ¥72.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥16.32, 77.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥20.24 per share, and 0 of the 9 models we run sit above the ¥72.63 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥7.88, and 9 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥12.32 (bear) to ¥22.00 (bull), the price of ¥72.63 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A reported revenue of 475M CNY in FY2025 versus 576M CNY in FY2021, a compound −4.7%/yr. Reported net income was −99.5M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 7.8B CNY (≈ $1.2B) · P/E ratio 69.8 · P/S ratio 9.45 · EPS (TTM) ¥1.04 · Net margin −21.0% · Return on equity 8.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.9% · Operating margin 27.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 89% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at −78%, 688416 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥12.32Fair Value ¥16.32Bull ¥22.00
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.7836 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.85/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+27.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
100.0% (2020) → −16.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+41.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +39.2% a year for the price.
Compare Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductors · 329 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score77 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−77.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8.2% · Above median
Return on assets4.3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)13.4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)27.2% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth211.6% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)69.8× · Pricier than median
P/B6.17× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)9.45× · Pricier than median
P/FCF80.2× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA65.7× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 81
PAST (return on equity)33· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 19
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688416
Frequently asked questions
Is Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A (688416) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥16.32 versus a price of ¥72.63, about −78% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688416?
Our model-based fair value for Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A is ¥16.32 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥72.63.
What is the quality score of 688416?
Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A has a Quality Score of 77/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A (688416)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥16.32 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥12.32, optimistic scenario ¥22.00. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥16.32, about −78% upside versus a price of ¥72.63 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥12.32, optimistic scenario ¥22.00. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A (688416)?
Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 829M CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
What growth is priced into Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A (688416)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A would have to grow free cash flow by +41.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.5 % per year. As of Oct 2, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 688416 use?
Our models discount Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A at 14.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.72, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A that is +41.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (14.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A (688416) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A grew +13.5 % a year. The price currently implies +41.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A (688416) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A (+41.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A (688416)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.62 %: that much free cash flow Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A (688416)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A it is ¥16.32 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of ¥72.63. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, 688416 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥72.63, fair value ¥16.32, a gap of about −78% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688416?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥72.63); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥16.32). For Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A the two are ¥56.31 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A worth?
The market values Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A at about 7.8B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is ¥72.63; our models calculate a fair value of ¥16.32 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 688416?
Our models span a range for Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A: cautious scenario ¥12.32, base ¥16.32, optimistic ¥22.00 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price ¥72.63). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 688416?
Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 69.8 (as of Oct 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥16.32 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 6.2, P/S 9.5, EV/EBITDA 65.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A (688416)?
Balance-sheet figures for Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity 8.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 77/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688416 from its 52-week high?
Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A trades at ¥72.63, about 48% below its 52-week high of ¥140.00 and 89% above the low of ¥38.48 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥16.32 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A?
From the same area (Technology) we also value NVIDIA Corporation, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Broadcom Inc, Micron Technology, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price ¥72.63, calculated fair value ¥16.32 (−78%), Quality Score 77/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 688416 calculated?
We run Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥16.32, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A (688416)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was ¥72.63. Our model-based fair value is ¥16.32, about −78% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A right now?
A high-quality business (quality 77/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥22.00). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Key figures of Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A
How large is the market capitalisation of Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A (688416)?
The market capitalisation of Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A is 7.8B CNY (≈ $1.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A (688416)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A is 9.45 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A (688416)?
Earnings per share at Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A are ¥1.04 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 69.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A (688416)?
The net margin of Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A is −21.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A (688416)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A is 8.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A (688416)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A is 1.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A (688416)?
The operating margin of Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A is 27.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A (688416)?
Revenue at Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A is growing +212% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
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