Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A (688416) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 7.7B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price +13.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 88% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 74/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥11.17). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
48‑month range ¥16.03 – ¥140.00 · fair‑value band ¥8.00 – ¥11.17 · the ¥81.08 price screens above the ¥9.59 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A (688416) currently trades at ¥81.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥9.59, implying the stock looks roughly 88.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A generated revenue of 619M CNY at a net margin of -4.0%. Revenue grew 192.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.8%. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥8.00 (bear case) to ¥11.17 (bull case); at ¥81.08, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 121% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -54% fair-value upside, at -88%, 688416 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥16.65) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.0800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Zbit Semiconductor, Inc., an integrated circuit design company, engages in the research and development, design, and sale of memory and MCU chips in China and internationally. The company offers NOR flash memory, MCU microcontrollers, embedded storage products, and AI chips and modules, as well as services.
Full company description
Zbit Semiconductor, Inc., an integrated circuit design company, engages in the research and development, design, and sale of memory and MCU chips in China and internationally. The company offers NOR flash memory, MCU microcontrollers, embedded storage products, and AI chips and modules, as well as services. It serves vehicle electronics, smart home, traditional market, AI, 5G base station, AMOLED screen TDDI, and wearable device applications. The company was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Hefei, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Zbit Semiconductor Inc. A reported revenue of ¥475M in FY2025 versus ¥576M in FY2021, a compound −4.7%/yr. Reported net income was −¥99.5M in FY2025.
688416 screens 88% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →
Peer Group
Semiconductors · 326 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA Corporation NVDA | $217.50 | $98.98 | -54% |
| Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM | $429.15 | $291.42 | -32% |
| Broadcom Inc 1AVGO | €366.85 | €121.25 | -67% |
| Micron Technology, Inc ZMIC | C$43.68 | C$6.23 | -86% |
| SK hynix Inc 000660 | 1,504,000 KRW | 1,481,291 KRW | -2% |
| Advanced Micro Devices, Inc 1AMD | €428.20 | €56.33 | -87% |
| Intel Corporation INTC | C$54.79 | C$11.71 | -79% |
| MediaTek Inc 2454 | 4,015 TWD | 1,559 TWD | -61% |
| SK Square Co 402340 | 1,024,000 KRW | 1,204,862 KRW | +18% |
| GigaDevice Semiconductor Inc 3986 | HK$515.00 | HK$274.86 | -47% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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