Sansec Technology Co (688489) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 4.0B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥4.49 to ¥5.19 (+15.6%) since Aug 12, 2026. Share price −1.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 78% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.82). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
44‑month range ¥20.40 – ¥97.10 · fair‑value band ¥4.56 – ¥5.82 · the ¥23.26 price screens above the ¥5.19 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Sansec Technology Co (688489) currently trades at ¥23.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.19, implying the stock looks roughly 77.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Sansec Technology Co generated revenue of 561M CNY at a net margin of -5.8%. Revenue grew 10.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.3%. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥4.56 (bear case) to ¥5.82 (bull case); at ¥23.26, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at -78%, 688489 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥7.38) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.13). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 14
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sansec Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, and production of commercial cryptographic products and solutions for internet information security in China.
Full company description
Sansec Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, and production of commercial cryptographic products and solutions for internet information security in China. The company develops PCI-E HSM, a cryptographic hardware device that enables data confidentiality, integrity, and other cryptographic functions through digital signature and data encryption; Cloud HSM that provides multiple authentication mechanisms based on PIN, and digital certificate; and General Purpose HSM, a cryptographic device, which offers security guarantee services for the development of social informatization. It also offers Financial HSM cryptographic equipment for cryptography-based protection for ICs, such as social security cards for inter-bank transactions in the financial system; and Sansec HSM Cryptographic Module, a cryptographic device used for financial, e-government, e-commerce, and enterprise information systems. In addition, it provides typical financial solutions, big data security solutions, and internet of vehicle solutions. The company was founded in 2008 and is based in Beijing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sansec Technology Co reported revenue of ¥554M in FY2025 versus ¥270M in FY2021, a compound +19.6%/yr. Reported net income was −¥43.6M in FY2025.
688489 screens 78% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Peer Group
Software - Application · 713 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.46 | C$16.26 | +30% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$209.78 | C$28.76 | -86% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $75.36 | $43.66 | -42% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $193.32 | $249.28 | +29% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $124.94 | $43.73 | -65% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $323.13 | $112.57 | -65% |
| Beijing Kingsoft Office Software, Inc 688111 | ¥254.50 | ¥81.23 | -68% |
| Tata Elxsi Limited TATAELXSI | ₹3,712 | ₹2,519 | -32% |
| Douzone Bizon Co 012510 | 120,000 KRW | 92,181 KRW | -23% |
| KFin Technologies Limited KFINTECH | ₹922.00 | ₹556.85 | -40% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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