Jiangxi Guoke Defence Group (688543) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 10.1B CNY

Analysis

Jiangxi Guoke Defence Group (688543) currently trades at ¥40.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥16.20 — implying the stock looks roughly 59.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Jiangxi Guoke Defence Group Co.,Ltd., through its subsidiaries, produces and sells military products in China and internationally. The company offers missiles, rockets, solid engine power modules, safety and control modules, ammunition equipment, and fuze and intelligent control products; and civilian products. Its products are used in air defense and anti-missile, armored assault, counter-terrorism and emergency response, marine survey, fire suppression, and other fields. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Nanchang, China.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.