Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A (688570) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A ¥6.87, price ¥14.74, upside -53.4%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
40‑month range ¥13.81 – ¥31.78 · the ¥14.74 price screens above the ¥6.87 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology CO., LTD. engages in the research and development, production, sale, and service of unmanned intelligent mining control technology and equipment for coal mines in China.
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Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology CO., LTD. engages in the research and development, production, sale, and service of unmanned intelligent mining control technology and equipment for coal mines in China. The company offers SAM-type automated mining control systems; SAC type hydraulic support electro-hydraulic control systems; and SAP-type intelligent integrated liquid supply systems. It also provides control systems, fluid supply equipment, and precise position and posture control systems for fully mechanized mining equipment; spare parts; operation and maintenance services; and solutions and equipment for the construction needs of intelligent factories in discrete manufacturing industries. Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology CO., LTD. was founded in 2001 and is based in Beijing, China.
Stock analysis
Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A (688570) currently trades at ¥14.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.87, implying the stock looks roughly 114.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥9.80 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the ¥14.74 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥1.88, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A reported revenue of 1.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound +1.0%/yr. Reported net income was 97.8M CNY in FY2025, compounding −28.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 6.4B CNY (≈ $953M) · P/E ratio 105.3 · P/S ratio 6.37 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.1400 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin 6.0% · Return on equity 2.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −53%, 688570 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥6.87Fair Value ¥6.87Bull ¥6.87
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0293 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−13.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.3%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−25.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−26.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.7%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.25% → 4%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+10.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +8.4% a year for the price.
Compare Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 832 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−53% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−16% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.7% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)105.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.48× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)4.08× · Pricier than median
P/FCF5.6× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 22
PAST (return on equity)5· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)14· sector 24
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688570
Frequently asked questions
Is Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A (688570) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥6.87 versus a price of ¥14.74, about −53% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688570?
Our model-based fair value for Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A is ¥6.87 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥14.74.
What is the quality score of 688570?
Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A (688570)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥6.87 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥6.87, about −53% upside versus a price of ¥14.74 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A (688570)?
Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A pay a dividend?
Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.68% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A (688570)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A would have to grow free cash flow by +10.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +1.0 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 688570 use?
Our models discount Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A at 9.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.43, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A that is +10.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A (688570) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A grew +1.0 % a year. The price currently implies +10.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A (688570) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A (+10.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A (688570)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.66 %: that much free cash flow Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A (688570)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A it is ¥6.87 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of ¥14.74. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 688570 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥14.74, fair value ¥6.87, a gap of about −53% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688570?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥14.74); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥6.87). For Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A the two are ¥7.87 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A worth?
The market values Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A at about 6.4B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is ¥14.74; our models calculate a fair value of ¥6.87 per share.
What is the P/E ratio of 688570?
Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 105.3 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥6.87 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 4.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A (688570)?
Balance-sheet figures for Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 1.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688570 from its 52-week high?
Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A trades at ¥14.74, about 28% below its 52-week high of ¥20.48 and 7% above the low of ¥13.81 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥6.87 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price ¥14.74, calculated fair value ¥6.87 (−53%), Quality Score 44/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 688570 calculated?
We run Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥6.87, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A (688570)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥14.74. Our model-based fair value is ¥6.87, about −53% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.87). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Key figures of Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A
How large is the market capitalisation of Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A (688570)?
The market capitalisation of Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A is 6.4B CNY (≈ $953M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A (688570)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A is 6.37 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A (688570)?
Earnings per share at Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A are ¥0.1400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 105.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A (688570)?
The dividend yield of Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A is 0.7% (payout 71.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A (688570)?
The net margin of Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A is 6.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A (688570)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A is 2.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A (688570)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A is 10.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A (688570)?
The operating margin of Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A is −1.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A (688570)?
Revenue at Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A is growing −16.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A (688570)?
Earnings per share at Beijing Tianma Intelligent Control Technology Co. Ltd. A are growing −63.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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