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Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd (688737) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd ¥2.82, price ¥16.76, upside -83.2%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? No
Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · CN · ISIN CNE100004ZY4

SE Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd

688737 · SHG

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥2.82 · Strongly overvalued (−83.2%)

!Quality 37/100

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −7.3 %/yr)

!Loss-making · -2.9% net margin (TTM)

!Low debt · negative free cash flow

!Trails peers (4/12)

!Narrow moat 9/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

!Weak on dividend: 17 out of 100

26 models, one by oneBear ¥1.41 to bull ¥4.27 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 37/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

59‑month range ¥11.85 – ¥46.77 · fair‑value band ¥1.41 – ¥4.27 · the ¥16.76 price screens above the ¥2.82 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

SINOTECH Company Limited provides internal combustion engine exhaust purification catalyst products in China and internationally.

SINOTECH Company Limited provides internal combustion engine exhaust purification catalyst products in China and internationally. The company offers energy storage and power batteries, such as home storage products, residential energy storages, and commercial and industrial energy storages; catalysts for purifying vehicle exhaust gases; motorcycle and general-purpose catalytic converters; and gasoline vehicle catalytic converters. It also provides gasoline and diesel vehicle exhaust aftertreatment systems; SCR exhaust aftertreatment system for natural gas buses; aftermarket vehicle exhaust system modification services; VOCs exhaust gas solutions; catalysts for ship exhaust gas aftertreatment; hydrogen fuel cell products comprising electrocatalyst and solid oxide fuel cells; a remote online monitoring platform; and Bilan APP for using automotive exhaust to modify catalysts. The company was formerly known as Sinocat Environmental Technology Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to SINOTECH Company Limited in April 2024. SINOTECH Company Limited was founded in 2005 and is based in Chengdu, China.

Stock analysis

Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd (688737) currently trades at ¥16.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.82, 83.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥9.91 per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the ¥16.76 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥2.06, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥1.41 (bear) to ¥4.27 (bull), the price of ¥16.76 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 962M CNY in FY2021, a compound +16.4%/yr. Reported net income was −56.2M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 2.2B CNY (≈ $329M) · P/S ratio 1.06 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.5000 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin −3.2% · Return on equity −3.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.6% · Operating margin 0.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at −83%, 688737 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥1.41 Fair Value ¥2.82 Bull ¥4.27

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

Gordon GGM ¥1.25 ¥2.25 ¥3.10 68

DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.25 ¥2.06 ¥2.40 67

NCAV (Graham) ¥7.40 ¥9.91 ¥14.80 54

All 3 models by family

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM ¥1.25 ¥2.25 ¥3.10 68

DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.25 ¥2.06 ¥2.40 67

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) ¥7.40 ¥9.91 ¥14.80 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 10

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 31

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 33

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 46

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 48

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 57

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 16

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 6

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 82

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 6/100

Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Revenue growth 1 year

+12.9%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+58.0%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−7.3%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +27.4% a year

Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+23.6%

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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.

9.6% (2020) → −3.9% (2025)

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss

not computed

688737 screens overvalued: fair value 83% below the price. Compare with O'Reilly Automotive, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 665 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures

Overall it trails its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%

Fair Value upside −83.2% · Bottom 25%

Profitability

Return on assets −1.3% · Bottom 25%

Net margin (TTM) −2.9% · Bottom 25%

Operating margin (TTM) 0.8% · Bottom 25%

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth 77.6% · Top 25%

Dividend yield (TTM) 0.9% · Below median

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.14× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.19× · Cheapest 25%

P/S (TTM) 0.16× · Cheapest 25%

EV/EBITDA 6.9× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 25

FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 29

PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 30

HEALTH (low debt)93 · sector 95

DIVIDEND (yield)17 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Knorr-Bremse AG KBX	€99.20	€72.88	−27%
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Magna International Inc MGA	$64.46	$69.37	+8%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD	₹48,250	₹25,213	−48%
Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689	¥46.44	¥28.28	−39%

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Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd · Fair Value
¥2.82 −83%Fair Value
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<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688737" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">¥2.82</b> <span style="color:#e0816f;font-weight:700;font-size:14px">−83%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688737

Frequently asked questions

Is Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd (688737) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.82 versus a price of ¥16.76, about −83% upside (overvalued).

What is the fair value of 688737?

Our model-based fair value for Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd is ¥2.82 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥16.76.

What is the quality score of 688737?

Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd (688737)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥2.82 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.41, optimistic scenario ¥4.27. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at ¥2.82, about −83% upside versus a price of ¥16.76 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.41, optimistic scenario ¥4.27. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd (688737)?

Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).

Does Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd pay a dividend?

Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.87% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).

What is the intrinsic value of Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd (688737)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd it is ¥2.82 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥16.76. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 24, 2026, 688737 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥16.76, fair value ¥2.82, a gap of about −83% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 688737?

No. The price is what the market pays today (¥16.76); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥2.82). For Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd the two are ¥13.94 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd worth?

The market values Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd at about 2.2B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥16.76; our models calculate a fair value of ¥2.82 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 688737?

Our models span a range for Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥1.41, base ¥2.82, optimistic ¥4.27 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥16.76). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

How solid is the balance sheet of Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd (688737)?

Balance-sheet figures for Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −3.4%, debt of 0.14 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 688737 from its 52-week high?

Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd trades at ¥16.76, about 48% below its 52-week high of ¥32.00 and 6% above the low of ¥15.75 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥2.82 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd?

From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥16.76, calculated fair value ¥2.82 (−83%), Quality Score 37/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of 688737 calculated?

We run Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥2.82, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd (688737)?

The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was ¥16.76. Our model-based fair value is ¥2.82, about −83% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.27). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (¥1.41 to ¥4.27). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd (688737)?

The market capitalisation of Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd is 2.2B CNY (≈ $329M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd (688737)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd is 1.06 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd (688737)?

Earnings per share at Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd are ¥−0.5000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd (688737)?

The dividend yield of Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd is 0.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd (688737)?

The net margin of Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd is −3.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd (688737)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd is −3.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd (688737)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd is −1.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd (688737)?

The operating margin of Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd is 0.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd (688737)?

Revenue at Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd is growing +77.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +58.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd (688737)?

Earnings per share at Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd are growing −50.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd (688737) generate?

The free cash flow of Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd is −832M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net debt does Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd (688737) carry?

The net debt of Sinocat Environmental Technology Co Ltd is 683M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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