China Wan Tong Yuan Holdings Ltd (6966) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$520M
Fair value as of: Aug 15, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price +9.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 64% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.2200). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- The models converge in a tight band (HK$0.2100 to HK$0.2200), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.3057 – HK$0.7668 · fair‑value band HK$0.2100 – HK$0.2200 · the HK$0.5800 price screens above the HK$0.2100 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.
Analysis
China Wan Tong Yuan Holdings Ltd (6966) currently trades at HK$0.5800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2100, implying the stock looks roughly 63.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, China Wan Tong Yuan Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$26.0M at a net margin of -45.3%. Revenue declined 24.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -5.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$189M. Fundamentals as of Aug 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.2100 (bear case) to HK$0.2200 (bull case); at HK$0.5800, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -64%, 6966 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$0.2100) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.0400). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China Wan Tong Yuan (Holdings) Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the sale of burial plots and columbarium units in the People's Republic of China. The company offers cemetery maintenance and funeral services.
Full company description
China Wan Tong Yuan (Holdings) Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the sale of burial plots and columbarium units in the People's Republic of China. The company offers cemetery maintenance and funeral services. It also provides other burial-related services, such as organisation and conducting of funeral services; and engraves inscriptions and ceramic photographs on the headstones. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Langfang, the People's Republic of China. China Wan Tong Yuan (Holdings) Limited operates as a subsidiary of Tai Shing International Investment Company Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Wan Tong Yuan Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$25.3M in FY2025 versus HK$43.9M in FY2021, a compound −12.9%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$11.5M in FY2025.
of which total revenue +7.7 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
6966 screens 64% overvalued. Compare with Rollins, Inc →
Peer Group
Personal Services · 43 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Personal Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Personal Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rollins, Inc ROL | $36.52 | $21.11 | -42% |
| Service Corporation SCI | $84.40 | $38.27 | -55% |
| Frontdoor, Inc FTDR | $85.51 | $73.81 | -14% |
| H&R Block, Inc HRB | $54.18 | $78.30 | +45% |
| Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc BFAM | $71.52 | $62.41 | -13% |
| Fu Shou Yuan International Group 1448 | HK$2.64 | HK$4.20 | +59% |
| Lungyen Life Service Corporation 5530 | 49.35 TWD | 31.33 TWD | -37% |
| Carriage Services, Inc CSV | $33.69 | $27.81 | -17% |
| Musti Group MUSTI | €15.05 | €14.08 | -6% |
| Uniao Pet Participacoes S.A AUAU3 | R$3.32 | R$1.20 | -64% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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