ZJLD Group Inc (6979) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of ZJLD Group Inc HK$3.57, price HK$7.86, upside -54.6%, quality 33 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch ZJLD Group Inc for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
41‑month range HK$5.49 – HK$12.07 · fair‑value band HK$2.92 – HK$3.83 · the HK$7.86 price screens above the HK$3.57 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
Follow ZJLD Group in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether ZJLD Group is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
ZJLD Group Inc engages in the production and sale of baijiu products in China. The company produces and sells sauce aroma, mixed aroma, and strong aroma baijiu products. The company sells its products under the Zhen Jiu, Li Du, Xiang Jiao, Kai Kou Xiao, Shao Yang, and other brands.
Show more
ZJLD Group Inc engages in the production and sale of baijiu products in China. The company produces and sells sauce aroma, mixed aroma, and strong aroma baijiu products. The company sells its products under the Zhen Jiu, Li Du, Xiang Jiao, Kai Kou Xiao, Shao Yang, and other brands. It sells its products through distribution and store partners, retailers, and direct sales force. The company was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Beijing, China. ZJLD Group Inc operates as a subsidiary of Jindong Investment GroupCo., Ltd.
Stock analysis
ZJLD Group Inc (6979) currently trades at HK$7.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$3.57, 54.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$3.75 per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the HK$7.86 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$1.54, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: HK$2.92 (bear) to HK$3.83 (bull), the price of HK$7.86 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
ZJLD Group Inc reported revenue of 3.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 5.1B CNY in FY2021, a compound −8.0%/yr. Reported net income was 538M CNY in FY2025, compounding −15.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$26.0B (≈ $3.3B) · P/E ratio 37.7 · P/S ratio 5.57 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.1700 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin 14.8% · Return on equity 3.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 34% fair-value upside, at −55%, 6979 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$2.92Fair Value HK$3.57Bull HK$3.83
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0800 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−48.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−8.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−9.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.8%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.31% → 21%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · 95 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ZJLD Group Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/6979
Frequently asked questions
Is ZJLD Group Inc (6979) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$3.57 versus a price of HK$7.86, about −55% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 6979?
Our model-based fair value for ZJLD Group Inc is HK$3.57 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$7.86.
What is the quality score of 6979?
ZJLD Group Inc has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ZJLD Group Inc (6979)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$3.57 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$2.92, optimistic scenario HK$3.83. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ZJLD Group Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$3.57, about −55% upside versus a price of HK$7.86 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$2.92, optimistic scenario HK$3.83. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ZJLD Group Inc (6979)?
ZJLD Group Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does ZJLD Group Inc pay a dividend?
ZJLD Group Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.80% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of ZJLD Group Inc (6979)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ZJLD Group Inc it is HK$3.57 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$7.86. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is ZJLD Group Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 6979 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$7.86, fair value HK$3.57, a gap of about −55% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 6979?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$7.86); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$3.57). For ZJLD Group Inc the two are HK$4.29 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ZJLD Group Inc worth?
The market values ZJLD Group Inc at about HK$26.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$7.86; our models calculate a fair value of HK$3.57 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 6979?
Our models span a range for ZJLD Group Inc: cautious scenario HK$2.92, base HK$3.57, optimistic HK$3.83 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$7.86). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 6979?
ZJLD Group Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 37.7 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$3.57 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.7, P/B 1.6, P/S 6.1, EV/EBITDA 19.2.
What is the PEG ratio of 6979?
The PEG ratio of ZJLD Group Inc is 0.69 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 27, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of ZJLD Group Inc (6979)?
Balance-sheet figures for ZJLD Group Inc (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 3.9%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 6979 from its 52-week high?
ZJLD Group Inc trades at HK$7.86, about 18% below its 52-week high of HK$9.59 and 11% above the low of HK$7.11 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$3.57 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ZJLD Group Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Kweichow Moutai Co, Wuliangye Yibin Co, Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co, Pernod Ricard SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ZJLD Group Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$7.86, calculated fair value HK$3.57 (−55%), Quality Score 33/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 6979 calculated?
We run ZJLD Group Inc through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$3.57, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. ZJLD Group Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ZJLD Group Inc (6979)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$7.86. Our model-based fair value is HK$3.57, about −55% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ZJLD Group Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$3.83). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Key figures of ZJLD Group Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of ZJLD Group Inc (6979)?
The market capitalisation of ZJLD Group Inc is HK$26.0B (≈ $3.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ZJLD Group Inc (6979)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ZJLD Group Inc is 5.57 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ZJLD Group Inc (6979)?
Earnings per share at ZJLD Group Inc are HK$0.1700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 37.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of ZJLD Group Inc (6979)?
The dividend yield of ZJLD Group Inc is 0.8% (payout 37.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of ZJLD Group Inc (6979)?
The net margin of ZJLD Group Inc is 14.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ZJLD Group Inc (6979)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ZJLD Group Inc is 3.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ZJLD Group Inc (6979)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ZJLD Group Inc is 11.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ZJLD Group Inc (6979)?
The operating margin of ZJLD Group Inc is −18.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ZJLD Group Inc (6979)?
Revenue at ZJLD Group Inc is growing −60.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −14.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at ZJLD Group Inc (6979)?
Earnings per share at ZJLD Group Inc are growing −23.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does ZJLD Group Inc (6979) generate?
The free cash flow of ZJLD Group Inc is −456M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does ZJLD Group Inc (6979) hold?
ZJLD Group Inc holds more cash than debt, 4.4B CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed
Watch ZJLD Group Inc in the live analysis
One click puts ZJLD Group Inc on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
