Six Flags Entertainment Corp (6FE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Jul 17, 2026: fair value of Six Flags Entertainment Corp €19.75, price €15.30, upside +29.1%, quality 18 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €11.20 – €273,760 · fair‑value band €6.33 – €33.18 · the €15.30 price screens below the €19.75 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Six Flags Entertainment Corp (6FE) currently trades at €15.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €19.75, implying the stock looks roughly 22.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 5 models at a data quality of 90/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: €6.33 (bear) to €33.18 (bull), the price of €15.30 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 18/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Six Flags Entertainment Corp reported revenue of $3.1B in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound +23.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.5B in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €2.9B · Net margin −50.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.9% · Free cash flow −$152M · Net debt $5.1B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 39% fair-value upside, at 29%, 6FE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €6.33Fair Value €19.75Bull €33.18
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.5%
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.0%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−253.3% (2020) → 6.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Six Flags Entertainment Corp with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Leisure · 172 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score18 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+29.1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets0.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−50.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity9.40× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Leisure median · lower = cheaper
P/B6.01× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Six Flags Entertainment Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/6FE
Frequently asked questions
Is Six Flags Entertainment Corp (6FE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €19.75 versus the last price from Jul 17, 2026 of €15.30, about +29% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 6FE?
Our model-based fair value for Six Flags Entertainment Corp is €19.75 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jul 17, 2026): €15.30.
What is the quality score of 6FE?
Six Flags Entertainment Corp has a Quality Score of 18/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Six Flags Entertainment Corp (6FE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €19.75 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario €6.33, optimistic scenario €33.18. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Six Flags Entertainment Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €19.75, about +29% upside versus the last price from Jul 17, 2026 of €15.30 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €6.33, optimistic scenario €33.18. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Six Flags Entertainment Corp (6FE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Six Flags Entertainment Corp it is €19.75 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €15.30. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Six Flags Entertainment Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 6FE trades below its calculated fair value: price €15.30, fair value €19.75, a gap of about +29% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 6FE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€15.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€19.75). For Six Flags Entertainment Corp the two are €4.45 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Six Flags Entertainment Corp worth?
The market values Six Flags Entertainment Corp at about €2.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €15.30; our models calculate a fair value of €19.75 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 6FE?
Our models span a range for Six Flags Entertainment Corp: cautious scenario €6.33, base €19.75, optimistic €33.18 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €15.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Six Flags Entertainment Corp (6FE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Six Flags Entertainment Corp (as of Sep 24, 2026): debt of 9.40 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 18/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 6FE from its 52-week high?
Six Flags Entertainment Corp trades at €15.30, about 45% below its 52-week high of €28.00 and 37% above the low of €11.20 (as of Jul 17, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €19.75 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Six Flags Entertainment Corp?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Pop Mart International Group, ANTA Sports Products Limited, Amer Sports, Inc, Hasbro, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Six Flags Entertainment Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €15.30, calculated fair value €19.75 (+29%), Quality Score 18/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 6FE calculated?
We run Six Flags Entertainment Corp through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €19.75, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Six Flags Entertainment Corp currently trades 23 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Six Flags Entertainment Corp (6FE)?
The latest price we hold is from Jul 17, 2026 and stands at €15.30. Our model-based fair value is €19.75, about +29% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Six Flags Entertainment Corp right now?
The model range is unusually wide (€6.33 to €33.18). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Six Flags Entertainment Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Six Flags Entertainment Corp (6FE)?
The market capitalisation of Six Flags Entertainment Corp is €2.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the net margin of Six Flags Entertainment Corp (6FE)?
The net margin of Six Flags Entertainment Corp is −50.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Six Flags Entertainment Corp (6FE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Six Flags Entertainment Corp is 8.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Six Flags Entertainment Corp (6FE) generate?
The free cash flow of Six Flags Entertainment Corp is −$152M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Six Flags Entertainment Corp (6FE) carry?
The net debt of Six Flags Entertainment Corp is $5.1B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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