MCE Holdings (7004) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · MY · Market cap 231M MYR
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Below-average quality, and screening another 45% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1.04 MYR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.4115 MYR – 1.81 MYR · fair‑value band 0.6248 MYR – 1.04 MYR · the 1.51 MYR price screens above the 0.8330 MYR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
MCE Holdings (7004) currently trades at 1.51 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.8330 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 44.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, MCE Holdings generated revenue of 178M MYR at a net margin of 10.3%. Revenue grew 37.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.7%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 13.5. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.6248 MYR (bear case) to 1.04 MYR (bull case); at 1.51 MYR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -45%, 7004 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (3.04 MYR) versus Dividend Discount (0.7000 MYR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
MCE Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, designs, manufactures, and supplies automotive electronics and mechatronics parts in Malaysia. It operates through two segments, Automotive Parts and Healthcare Services.
Full company description
MCE Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, designs, manufactures, and supplies automotive electronics and mechatronics parts in Malaysia. It operates through two segments, Automotive Parts and Healthcare Services. The company offers parking sensor and camera systems comprising sensor display units, computer assy and clearance warning, sensor ultrasonic, senor and ultrasonic flush type, and camera assy television; functional switches consisting of vice IP and control switch assy, console switches, switch assy consoles, light control and VSC switches, switch hazard warning signals, combination and power window switches, outer mirror switch assy, and trunk and SD card switches; exterior automotive lighting, such as day-time running lights, front fog lamps, and license plate lamps; and interior automotive lighting, including front and rear reading lamps, rear room and telltale lamps, assists lighting and environmental lamps, and stop center and high mounted stop lamps. It also provides power window regulators, which include double and single rail, and scissors type; USB and wireless chargers; anti-theft keyless systems and modules; AC and DC EV charging solutions for commercial and residential applications; plastic parts, such as reservoir tanks, center panels, cover door assists, grill raditor assy, plate name, plate and back door name, and expansion and washer tanks; and smart cockpit infotainment systems. In addition, the company offers healthcare services. MCE Holdings Berhad was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Johor Bahru, Malaysia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
MCE Holdings reported revenue of 153M MYR in FY2025 versus 84.8M MYR in FY2021, a compound +15.8%/yr. Reported net income was 23.9M MYR in FY2025.
7004 screens 45% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →
Peer Group
Auto Parts · 641 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 | 482,000 KRW | 678,420 KRW | +41% |
| Magna International Inc MGAN | 1,122 MXN | 1,172 MXN | +4% |
| Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON | ₹144.17 | ₹80.63 | -44% |
| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹41,110 | ₹14,004 | -66% |
| Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG | ₹2,117 | ₹441.74 | -79% |
| Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA | ₹1,158 | ₹426.57 | -63% |
| Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER | ₹4,135 | ₹1,412 | -66% |
| Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 | 73,600 KRW | 196,479 KRW | +167% |
| MRF Limited MRF | ₹131,025 | ₹125,849 | -4% |
| Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS | ₹792.00 | ₹207.06 | -74% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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