MCE Holdings Bhd (7004) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of MCE Holdings Bhd MYR 1.20, price MYR 1.53, upside -21.6%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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MCE Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, designs, manufactures, and supplies automotive electronics and mechatronics parts in Malaysia. It operates through two segments, Automotive Parts and Healthcare Services.
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MCE Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, designs, manufactures, and supplies automotive electronics and mechatronics parts in Malaysia. It operates through two segments, Automotive Parts and Healthcare Services. The company offers parking sensor and camera systems comprising sensor display units, computer assy and clearance warning, sensor ultrasonic, senor and ultrasonic flush type, and camera assy television; functional switches consisting of vice IP and control switch assy, console switches, switch assy consoles, light control and VSC switches, switch hazard warning signals, combination and power window switches, outer mirror switch assy, and trunk and SD card switches; exterior automotive lighting, such as day-time running lights, front fog lamps, and license plate lamps; and interior automotive lighting, including front and rear reading lamps, rear room and telltale lamps, assists lighting and environmental lamps, and stop center and high mounted stop lamps. It also provides power window regulators, which include double and single rail, and scissors type; USB and wireless chargers; anti-theft keyless systems and modules; AC and DC EV charging solutions for commercial and residential applications; plastic parts, such as reservoir tanks, center panels, cover door assists, grill raditor assy, plate name, plate and back door name, and expansion and washer tanks; and smart cockpit infotainment systems. In addition, the company offers healthcare services. MCE Holdings Berhad was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Johor Bahru, Malaysia.
Stock analysis
MCE Holdings Bhd (7004) currently trades at 1.53 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.20 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 27.6% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 3.04 MYR per share, and 6 of the 16 models we run sit above the 1.53 MYR price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 0.7000 MYR, and 10 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.9010 MYR (bear) to 1.51 MYR (bull), the price of 1.53 MYR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
MCE Holdings Bhd reported revenue of 153M MYR in FY2025 versus 84.8M MYR in FY2021, a compound +15.8%/yr. Reported net income was 23.9M MYR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 214M MYR (≈ $52.5M) · P/E ratio 13.9 · P/S ratio 2.18 · EPS (TTM) 0.1100 MYR · Dividend yield 5.9% · Net margin 15.7% · Return on equity 10.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −22%, 7004 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.9010 MYRFair Value 1.20 MYRBull 1.51 MYR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0200 MYR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.51/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.4% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in MYR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MYR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+1.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−4.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.9%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−6% → 20%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 4.4%/yr over ~7Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 692 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−22% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10% · Above median
Return on assets7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)10% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)23% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth18% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)5.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.13× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MCE Holdings Bhd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/7004
Frequently asked questions
Is MCE Holdings Bhd (7004) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.20 MYR versus a price of 1.53 MYR, about −22% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 7004?
Our model-based fair value for MCE Holdings Bhd is 1.20 MYR (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1.53 MYR.
What is the quality score of 7004?
MCE Holdings Bhd has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for MCE Holdings Bhd (7004)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.20 MYR (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.9010 MYR, optimistic scenario 1.51 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the MCE Holdings Bhd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.20 MYR, about −22% upside versus a price of 1.53 MYR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.9010 MYR, optimistic scenario 1.51 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of MCE Holdings Bhd (7004)?
MCE Holdings Bhd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 185M MYR (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does MCE Holdings Bhd pay a dividend?
MCE Holdings Bhd currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.88% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of MCE Holdings Bhd (7004)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For MCE Holdings Bhd it is 1.20 MYR per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of 1.53 MYR. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is MCE Holdings Bhd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 7004 trades above its calculated fair value: price 1.53 MYR, fair value 1.20 MYR, a gap of about −22% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 7004?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1.53 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.20 MYR). For MCE Holdings Bhd the two are 0.3310 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is MCE Holdings Bhd worth?
The market values MCE Holdings Bhd at about 214M MYR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is 1.53 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 1.20 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 7004?
Our models span a range for MCE Holdings Bhd: cautious scenario 0.9010 MYR, base 1.20 MYR, optimistic 1.51 MYR per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price 1.53 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 7004?
MCE Holdings Bhd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.9 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1.20 MYR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.3, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 1.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of MCE Holdings Bhd (7004)?
Balance-sheet figures for MCE Holdings Bhd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 10.4%, debt of 0.13 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 7004 from its 52-week high?
MCE Holdings Bhd trades at 1.53 MYR, about 15% below its 52-week high of 1.81 MYR and 17% above the low of 1.31 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.20 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to MCE Holdings Bhd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is MCE Holdings Bhd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price 1.53 MYR, calculated fair value 1.20 MYR (−22%), Quality Score 37/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 7004 calculated?
We run MCE Holdings Bhd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1.20 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. MCE Holdings Bhd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of MCE Holdings Bhd (7004)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 1.53 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 1.20 MYR, about −22% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with MCE Holdings Bhd right now?
Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of MCE Holdings Bhd
How large is the market capitalisation of MCE Holdings Bhd (7004)?
The market capitalisation of MCE Holdings Bhd is 214M MYR (≈ $52.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of MCE Holdings Bhd (7004)?
The price-to-sales ratio of MCE Holdings Bhd is 2.18 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of MCE Holdings Bhd (7004)?
Earnings per share at MCE Holdings Bhd are 0.1100 MYR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of MCE Holdings Bhd (7004)?
The dividend yield of MCE Holdings Bhd is 5.9% (payout 81.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of MCE Holdings Bhd (7004)?
The net margin of MCE Holdings Bhd is 15.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of MCE Holdings Bhd (7004)?
The return on equity (ROE) of MCE Holdings Bhd is 10.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of MCE Holdings Bhd (7004)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of MCE Holdings Bhd is 9.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of MCE Holdings Bhd (7004)?
The operating margin of MCE Holdings Bhd is 22.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at MCE Holdings Bhd (7004)?
Revenue at MCE Holdings Bhd is growing +18.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at MCE Holdings Bhd (7004)?
Earnings per share at MCE Holdings Bhd are growing +4.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does MCE Holdings Bhd (7004) generate?
The free cash flow of MCE Holdings Bhd is −18.8M MYR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does MCE Holdings Bhd (7004) carry?
The net debt of MCE Holdings Bhd is 861K MYR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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