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Great World Company Holdings Ltd (8003) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Great World Company Holdings Ltd HK$0.05, price HK$0.16, upside -68.2%, quality 34 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Communication Services · HK · ISIN KYG4158M1226

GW Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Great World Company Holdings Ltd

8003 · HK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value HK$0.0500 · Strongly overvalued (−68.2%)
!Quality 34/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −36.3 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 64.4% net margin (TTM)
✓Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/9)
!Narrow moat 31/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$1.09 HK$0.0650 Fair Value HK$0.0500 Feb 2020 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0650 – HK$1.09 · fair‑value band HK$0.0300 – HK$0.0800 · the HK$0.1570 price screens above the HK$0.0500 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Great World Company Holdings Ltd, an investment holding company, provides advertising and targeted marketing services in the People's Republic of China. It operates through four segments: Intelligent Advertising and Railroad Media Business; Agricultural, Forestry and Consumer Products Business; Supply-Chain Business; and Property Business.

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Great World Company Holdings Ltd, an investment holding company, provides advertising and targeted marketing services in the People's Republic of China. It operates through four segments: Intelligent Advertising and Railroad Media Business; Agricultural, Forestry and Consumer Products Business; Supply-Chain Business; and Property Business. The company is involved in mobile advertising media services for intelligent advertising and property market customers; railroad magazine distribution; e-commerce platform management; advertising and product sales services; sales of industrial, information technology, and other products; and research and development, and product manufacturing activities. It cultivates forestry and wood material products, Chinese herbal medicine ingredients, and specialty agricultural by-products; and sells processed and prepackaged food/consumer products. In addition, the company engages in property investment and development activities; and operation and management of residential and commercial properties. Further, it is involved in the promotion and application of agricultural technologies; and information consultation. The company was formerly known as T S Telecom Technologies Limited and changed its name to Great World Company Holdings Ltd in November 2008. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Lai Chi Kok, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Great World Company Holdings Ltd (8003) currently trades at HK$0.1570, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0500, 68.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of HK$0.0500 per share, and 0 of the 5 models we run sit above the HK$0.1570 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at HK$0.0200, and 5 of the 5 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.0300 (bear) to HK$0.0800 (bull), the price of HK$0.1570 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Great World Company Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$46.3M in FY2025 versus HK$506M in FY2021, a compound −45.0%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$8.5M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$25.3M (≈ $3.2M) · P/E ratio 0.8 · P/S ratio 0.73 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0900 · Net margin −18.3% · Return on equity −3,474% · Return on assets (EBIT) −10.4% · Operating margin −66.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 142% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 23% fair-value upside, at −68%, 8003 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.0300 Fair Value HK$0.0500 Bull HK$0.0800
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0900 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0800 77
Growth DCF HK$0.0300 HK$0.0500 HK$0.0800 77
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.0200 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 73
All 5 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0800 77
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.0200 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 73
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0400 68
Multiples
EV/Revenue HK$0.0200 HK$0.0200 HK$0.0200 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.0300 HK$0.0500 HK$0.0800 77

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 18
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 12
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 5
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 59
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 37/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−39.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−47.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−36.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +40.9% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−7.1% (2020) → −18.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+75.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +71.7% a year for the price.

8003 screens overvalued: fair value 68% below the price. Compare with AppLovin Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Advertising Agencies · 192 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −68.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −12.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 64.4% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −66.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −30.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.8× · Cheapest 25%
P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 0.73× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 133.6× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Advertising Agencies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
AppLovin Corporation APP $310.75 $341.83 +10%
Publicis Groupe S.A PUB €97.86 €145.63 +49%
Omnicom Group OMC $76.15 $114.19 +50%
Focus Media Information Technology Co 002027 ¥4.66 ¥5.71 +23%
JCDecaux SE DEC €24.96 €20.99 −16%
The Trade Desk, Inc TTD $12.05 $43.84 +264%
WPP plc WPP $25.99 $39.72 +53%
Leo Group 002131 ¥4.31 ¥0.6000 −86%
Magnite, Inc MGNI $25.67 $28.24 +10%
Mobvista Inc 1860 HK$13.51 HK$12.22 −10%

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HK$0.0500 −68%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Great World Company Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8003

Frequently asked questions

Is Great World Company Holdings Ltd (8003) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0500 versus a price of HK$0.1570, about −68% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8003?
Our model-based fair value for Great World Company Holdings Ltd is HK$0.0500 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1570.
What is the quality score of 8003?
Great World Company Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Great World Company Holdings Ltd (8003)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.0500 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 5 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0300, optimistic scenario HK$0.0800. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Great World Company Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.0500, about −68% upside versus a price of HK$0.1570 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0300, optimistic scenario HK$0.0800. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Great World Company Holdings Ltd (8003)?
Great World Company Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$34.5M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Great World Company Holdings Ltd (8003)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Great World Company Holdings Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +75.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -36.3 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 8003 use?
Our models discount Great World Company Holdings Ltd at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.27, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Great World Company Holdings Ltd that is +75.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Great World Company Holdings Ltd (8003) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Great World Company Holdings Ltd grew -36.3 % a year. The price currently implies +75.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Great World Company Holdings Ltd (8003) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Great World Company Holdings Ltd (+75.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Great World Company Holdings Ltd (8003)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.36 %: that much free cash flow Great World Company Holdings Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Great World Company Holdings Ltd (8003)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Great World Company Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.0500 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.1570. It is the blended result of 5 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Great World Company Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 8003 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.1570, fair value HK$0.0500, a gap of about −68% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8003?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.1570); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.0500). For Great World Company Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.1070 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Great World Company Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Great World Company Holdings Ltd at about HK$25.3M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.1570; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.0500 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8003?
Our models span a range for Great World Company Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.0300, base HK$0.0500, optimistic HK$0.0800 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.1570). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 8003?
Great World Company Holdings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.8 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.0500 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/S 0.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Great World Company Holdings Ltd (8003)?
Balance-sheet figures for Great World Company Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8003 from its 52-week high?
Great World Company Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.1570, about 13% below its 52-week high of HK$0.1800 and 142% above the low of HK$0.0650 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.0500 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Great World Company Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value AppLovin Corporation, Publicis Groupe S.A, Omnicom Group, Focus Media Information Technology Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Great World Company Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.1570, calculated fair value HK$0.0500 (−68%), Quality Score 34/100, from 5 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8003 calculated?
We run Great World Company Holdings Ltd through 5 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.0500, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Great World Company Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Great World Company Holdings Ltd (8003)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.1570. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.0500, about −68% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Great World Company Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0800). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.0300 to HK$0.0800). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Great World Company Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Great World Company Holdings Ltd (8003)?
The market capitalisation of Great World Company Holdings Ltd is HK$25.3M (≈ $3.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Great World Company Holdings Ltd (8003)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Great World Company Holdings Ltd is 0.73 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Great World Company Holdings Ltd (8003)?
Earnings per share at Great World Company Holdings Ltd are HK$0.0900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Great World Company Holdings Ltd (8003)?
The net margin of Great World Company Holdings Ltd is −18.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Great World Company Holdings Ltd (8003)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Great World Company Holdings Ltd is −3,474% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Great World Company Holdings Ltd (8003)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Great World Company Holdings Ltd is −10.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Great World Company Holdings Ltd (8003)?
The operating margin of Great World Company Holdings Ltd is −66.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Great World Company Holdings Ltd (8003)?
Revenue at Great World Company Holdings Ltd is growing −30.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −47.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Great World Company Holdings Ltd (8003) carry?
The net debt of Great World Company Holdings Ltd is HK$48.1M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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