KML Technology Group Ltd (8065) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$50.2M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price +3.7% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 166% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.3100). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0820 – HK$0.3553 · fair‑value band HK$0.3100 – HK$0.4300 · the HK$0.1390 price screens below the HK$0.3700 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
KML Technology Group Ltd (8065) currently trades at HK$0.1390, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3700, implying the stock looks roughly 166.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, KML Technology Group Ltd generated revenue of HK$143M at a net margin of -8.0%. Revenue declined 38.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -8.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$65.2M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.3100 (bear case) to HK$0.4300 (bull case); at HK$0.1390, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 53% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 166%, 8065 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$0.3800) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.2100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
KML Technology Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides mechanical and electrical engineering solutions and services in Hong Kong, Taiwan, and internationally.
Full company description
KML Technology Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides mechanical and electrical engineering solutions and services in Hong Kong, Taiwan, and internationally. It operates through Transportation Mission Critical System Solution; Mobile Ticketing and Digital Payment Solutions and Services; M&E Technology Solutions and Engineering Services; Digital Fabrication and Maintenance Service; and Sales of Products, Parts and Components segments. The company offers railway signalling, communication, control system, and point operating equipment; and mobile ticketing and digital payment solutions and services. It also provides computerised and advanced maintenance support services for various systems, such as AFC system and trackside signalling system, terminals, and equipment; and part or component replacement, equipment upgrades and improvements, hardware and software upgrade/replacement services, testing, and routine preventive, corrective, and workshop maintenance services. In addition, the company engages in the design, installation, testing and commissioning, and maintenance of miscellaneous mechanical and electrical engineering systems, such as railway station mechanical and electrical engineering services and architectural works, train-borne systems provisions, trackside and depot mechanical and electrical works, and other renovation works; and supplying of railway signalling and AFC related products, parts, and components. It serves transportation companies, engineering companies, and governmental department. KML Technology Group Limited was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Sha Tin, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
KML Technology Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$143M in FY2026 versus HK$163M in FY2022, a compound −3.2%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$11.4M in FY2026.
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Peer Group
Infrastructure Operations · 68 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Infrastructure Operations median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Infrastructure Operations stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings 001965 | ¥9.36 | ¥10.25 | +10% |
| Jiangsu Expressway Company 600377 | ¥12.01 | ¥14.47 | +20% |
| Shandong Hi-speed Company 600350 | ¥10.87 | ¥8.68 | -20% |
| Impulsora del Desarrollo y el Empleo en América Latina, S.A. IDEALB1 | 43.00 MXN | 33.24 MXN | -23% |
| Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. PINFRA | 281.25 MXN | 945.00 MXN | +236% |
| Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A MOTV3 | R$14.03 | R$29.97 | +114% |
| Zhejiang Expressway Co 0576 | HK$6.26 | HK$18.50 | +196% |
| Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development Co 000429 | ¥13.16 | ¥13.79 | +5% |
| Anhui Expressway Company 600012 | ¥16.15 | ¥14.90 | -8% |
| Shenzhen Expressway Corporation 600548 | ¥8.37 | ¥9.16 | +9% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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