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KML Technology Group Ltd (8065) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of KML Technology Group Ltd HK$0.47, price HK$0.17, upside +181.4%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · HK · ISIN KYG5S00R1029

KT Thin data Sep 27, 2026

KML Technology Group Ltd

8065 · HK

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value HK$0.4700 · Strongly undervalued (+181.4%)
!Quality 55/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −8.7 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -8.0% net margin (TTM)
✓generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$0.3553 HK$0.0820 Fair Value HK$0.4700 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0820 – HK$0.3553 · fair‑value band HK$0.3900 – HK$0.5800 · the HK$0.1670 price screens below the HK$0.4700 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

KML Technology Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides mechanical and electrical engineering solutions and services in Hong Kong, Taiwan, and internationally.

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KML Technology Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides mechanical and electrical engineering solutions and services in Hong Kong, Taiwan, and internationally. It operates through Transportation Mission Critical System Solution; Mobile Ticketing and Digital Payment Solutions and Services; M&E Technology Solutions and Engineering Services; Digital Fabrication and Maintenance Service; and Sales of Products, Parts and Components segments. The company offers railway signalling, communication, control system, and point operating equipment; and mobile ticketing and digital payment solutions and services. It also provides computerised and advanced maintenance support services for various systems, such as AFC system and trackside signalling system, terminals, and equipment; and part or component replacement, equipment upgrades and improvements, hardware and software upgrade/replacement services, testing, and routine preventive, corrective, and workshop maintenance services. In addition, the company engages in the design, installation, testing and commissioning, and maintenance of miscellaneous mechanical and electrical engineering systems, such as railway station mechanical and electrical engineering services and architectural works, train-borne systems provisions, trackside and depot mechanical and electrical works, and other renovation works; and supplying of railway signalling and AFC related products, parts, and components. It serves transportation companies, engineering companies, and governmental department. KML Technology Group Limited was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Sha Tin, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

KML Technology Group Ltd (8065) currently trades at HK$0.1670, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4700, implying the stock looks roughly 64.5% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of HK$0.5000 per share, and 7 of the 7 models we run sit above the HK$0.1670 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.2100, and 0 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.3900 (bear) to HK$0.5800 (bull), the price of HK$0.1670 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

KML Technology Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$143M in FY2026 versus HK$163M in FY2022, a compound −3.2%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$11.4M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap HK$67.3M (≈ $8.6M) · P/S ratio 0.45 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0100 · Net margin −8.0% · Return on equity −8.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.4% · Operating margin −12.1% · Revenue (TTM) HK$143M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 13% fair-value upside, at 181%, 8065 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.3900 Fair Value HK$0.4700 Bull HK$0.5800
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$0.4100 HK$0.5000 HK$0.6500 80
Growth DCF HK$0.4200 HK$0.5000 HK$0.6400 77
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.3900 HK$0.4900 HK$0.6300 71
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.4100 HK$0.5000 HK$0.6500 80
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.3900 HK$0.4900 HK$0.6300 71
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.3900 HK$0.4600 HK$0.5400 66
Multiples
EV/Revenue HK$0.4000 HK$0.5000 HK$0.5900 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1500 HK$0.2100 HK$0.3100 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.4200 HK$0.5000 HK$0.6400 77
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.3900 HK$0.4900 HK$0.6200 71

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 80

Profitability 17
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 5
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 58
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 98
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 79
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 84
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 18/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−27.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.7%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.4% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
11.1% (2021) → −10.2% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Infrastructure Operations · 63 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside +181.4% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −5.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −8.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −12.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −38.7% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Infrastructure Operations median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.07× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.06× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.9× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 48
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 69
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 81

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Infrastructure Operations stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Transurban Group TCL A$13.00 A$4.92 −62%
China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings 001965 ¥9.88 ¥13.02 +32%
Jiangsu Expressway Company 600377 ¥12.77 ¥14.47 +13%
Shandong Hi-speed Company 600350 ¥10.02 ¥7.88 −21%
Zhejiang Expressway Co 0576 HK$5.90 HK$16.36 +177%
Anhui Expressway Company 600012 ¥15.54 ¥17.09 +10%
Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development Co 000429 ¥12.50 ¥13.75 +10%
Shenzhen Expressway Corporation 600548 ¥8.06 ¥9.51 +18%
Sichuan Expressway Company 601107 ¥6.09 ¥6.70 +10%
IRB Infrastructure Developers Limited IRB ₹17.49 ₹19.95 +14%

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KML Technology Group Ltd · Fair Value
HK$0.4700 +64%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "KML Technology Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8065

Frequently asked questions

Is KML Technology Group Ltd (8065) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.4700 versus a price of HK$0.1670, about +181% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 8065?
Our model-based fair value for KML Technology Group Ltd is HK$0.4700 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1670.
What is the quality score of 8065?
KML Technology Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for KML Technology Group Ltd (8065)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.4700 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.3900, optimistic scenario HK$0.5800. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the KML Technology Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.4700, about +181% upside versus a price of HK$0.1670 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.3900, optimistic scenario HK$0.5800. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of KML Technology Group Ltd (8065)?
KML Technology Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$143M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into KML Technology Group Ltd (8065)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, KML Technology Group Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -8.7 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 8065 use?
Our models discount KML Technology Group Ltd at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For KML Technology Group Ltd that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has KML Technology Group Ltd (8065) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at KML Technology Group Ltd grew -8.7 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of KML Technology Group Ltd (8065) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +5.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into KML Technology Group Ltd (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of KML Technology Group Ltd (8065)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 14.83 %: that much free cash flow KML Technology Group Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of KML Technology Group Ltd (8065)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For KML Technology Group Ltd it is HK$0.4700 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.1670. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is KML Technology Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 8065 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.1670, fair value HK$0.4700, a gap of about +181% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8065?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.1670); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.4700). For KML Technology Group Ltd the two are HK$0.3030 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is KML Technology Group Ltd worth?
The market values KML Technology Group Ltd at about HK$67.3M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.1670; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.4700 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8065?
Our models span a range for KML Technology Group Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.3900, base HK$0.4700, optimistic HK$0.5800 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.1670). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of KML Technology Group Ltd (8065)?
Balance-sheet figures for KML Technology Group Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −8.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8065 from its 52-week high?
KML Technology Group Ltd trades at HK$0.1670, about 5% below its 52-week high of HK$0.1750 and 50% above the low of HK$0.1110 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.4700 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to KML Technology Group Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Transurban Group, China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings, Jiangsu Expressway Company, Shandong Hi-speed Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is KML Technology Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.1670, calculated fair value HK$0.4700 (+181%), Quality Score 55/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8065 calculated?
We run KML Technology Group Ltd through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.4700, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. KML Technology Group Ltd currently trades 64 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of KML Technology Group Ltd (8065)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.1670. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.4700, about +181% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with KML Technology Group Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.3900). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of KML Technology Group Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of KML Technology Group Ltd (8065)?
The market capitalisation of KML Technology Group Ltd is HK$67.3M (≈ $8.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of KML Technology Group Ltd (8065)?
The price-to-sales ratio of KML Technology Group Ltd is 0.45 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of KML Technology Group Ltd (8065)?
Earnings per share at KML Technology Group Ltd are HK$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of KML Technology Group Ltd (8065)?
The net margin of KML Technology Group Ltd is −8.0% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of KML Technology Group Ltd (8065)?
The return on equity (ROE) of KML Technology Group Ltd is −8.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of KML Technology Group Ltd (8065)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of KML Technology Group Ltd is −6.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of KML Technology Group Ltd (8065)?
The operating margin of KML Technology Group Ltd is −12.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at KML Technology Group Ltd (8065)?
Revenue at KML Technology Group Ltd is growing −38.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at KML Technology Group Ltd (8065)?
Earnings per share at KML Technology Group Ltd are growing +71.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does KML Technology Group Ltd (8065) hold?
KML Technology Group Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$65.2M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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