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Phoenitron Holdings Ltd (8066) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · HK · Market cap HK$183M

PH Phoenitron Holdings Ltd 8066 · HK
PriceHK$0.2270
Fair ValueHK$0.3485
Upside+53.5%
Quality59/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 8.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (12/13)
Moderate moat 48/100
Evidence: High Range HK$0.2210 – HK$0.4420 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price −5.4% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 54% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$0.2210 to HK$0.4420) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.7800 HK$0.0310 Fair Value HK$0.3485 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0310 – HK$0.7800 · fair‑value band HK$0.2210 – HK$0.4420 · the HK$0.2270 price screens below the HK$0.3485 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Phoenitron Holdings Ltd (8066) currently trades at HK$0.2270, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3485, implying the stock looks roughly 53.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Phoenitron Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$146M at a net margin of 8.6%. Revenue grew 51.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$36.5M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.2210 (bear case) to HK$0.4420 (bull case); at HK$0.2270, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 73% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -54% fair-value upside, at 54%, 8066 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.2400 HK$0.3300 HK$0.4700 80
Residual Income HK$0.1400 HK$0.1500 HK$0.1800 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.2400 HK$0.3800 HK$0.5500 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.2400 HK$0.3600 HK$0.5400 38
Owner Earnings HK$0.3100 HK$0.4700 HK$0.7200 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.2400 HK$0.3800 HK$0.5700 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.4200 HK$0.7700 HK$1.21 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$0.3000 HK$0.5100 HK$0.7600 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.2300 HK$0.3500 HK$0.5400 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.3400 HK$0.6000 HK$1.02 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$0.2700 HK$0.4400 HK$0.6800 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.1300 HK$0.6600 HK$0.9200 54
Lynch FV HK$0.1800 HK$0.2600 HK$0.3400 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.1800 HK$0.2600 HK$0.3400 46
EPV HK$0.2600 HK$0.2900 HK$0.3100 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.6300 HK$1.06 HK$1.38 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.6300 HK$1.01 HK$1.14 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.3100 HK$0.4100 HK$0.5200 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.2000 HK$0.2600 HK$0.3300 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.2400 HK$0.3200 HK$0.4000 55
EV/EBIT HK$0.7300 HK$0.9500 HK$1.18 53
EV/EBITDA HK$0.5900 HK$0.7700 HK$0.9400 54
EV/Revenue HK$0.2500 HK$0.3300 HK$0.4100 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0800 HK$0.1100 HK$0.1700 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.2400 HK$0.3300 HK$0.4700 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.2400 HK$0.3800 HK$0.5500 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.1400 HK$0.1500 HK$0.1800 76
ROIC Compounder HK$0.2800 HK$0.3400 HK$0.4000 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.2800 HK$0.4000 HK$0.5200 68

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (HK$1.01) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.1100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$146M
Revenue growth (YoY) +51.5%
Net margin 8.6%
Return on equity 16.6%
Free cash flow HK$12.1M FY2025
P/E ratio 13.8 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin -34.4%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0700
EPS growth (YoY) -46.0%
Net cash HK$36.5M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16

Profitability 66
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 88
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 51
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 1
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 18
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Phoenitron Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the contract manufacturing and sale of smart cards in the People's Republic of China, Europe, Asia, and Hong Kong.

Full company description

Phoenitron Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the contract manufacturing and sale of smart cards in the People's Republic of China, Europe, Asia, and Hong Kong. The company operates through six segments: Sales of Smart Cards; Sales of Smart Card Application Systems; Operation of Private Domain e-commerce Platform; Provision of Artificial Intelligence (A.I.) Speech Technology Data Services; Sales and Trading of Scrap Metals; and Media and Entertainment. It also engages in trading scrap vehicles; and developing and provision of smart card application systems. In addition, the company provides financial and management consultancy services; and research, development, marketing, and sales services. Further, it is involved in the operation of a pan-entertainment digital ecosystem membership e-commerce platform. The company was formerly known as Cardlink Technology Group Limited and changed its name to Phoenitron Holdings Limited in May 2010. Phoenitron Holdings Limited was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Tsim Sha Tsui, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Phoenitron Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$146M in FY2025 versus HK$72.8M in FY2021, a compound +18.9%/yr. Reported net income was HK$12.5M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$146M
Latest YoY
+144.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+35.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.9%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.9%
Revenue +18.9%/yr
FY21 HK$72.8M
FY22 HK$58.5M
FY23 HK$79.1M
FY24 HK$59.6M
FY25 HK$146M
Net income
FY21 −HK$5.8M
FY22 −HK$7.7M
FY23 HK$4.3M
FY24 HK$453K
FY25 HK$12.5M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Phoenitron Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8066

Peer Group

Semiconductors · 323 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside +54% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Return on assets 19% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) -34% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 52% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.67× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.25× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1.9× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 4.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 60
PAST 66 · sector 23
HEALTH 100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 21

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM $429.15 $291.42 -32%
Broadcom Inc 1AVGO €366.85 €121.25 -67%
Micron Technology, Inc ZMIC C$43.68 C$6.23 -86%
SK hynix Inc 000660 1,504,000 KRW 1,481,291 KRW -2%
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc 1AMD €428.20 €56.33 -87%
Intel Corporation INTC C$54.79 C$11.71 -79%
MediaTek Inc 2454 4,015 TWD 1,559 TWD -61%
SK Square Co 402340 1,024,000 KRW 1,204,862 KRW +18%
GigaDevice Semiconductor Inc 3986 HK$515.00 HK$274.86 -47%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Phoenitron Holdings Ltd (8066) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3485 versus a price of HK$0.2270, about +54% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 8066?
Our model-based fair value for Phoenitron Holdings Ltd is HK$0.3485 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.2270.
What is the quality score of 8066?
Phoenitron Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Phoenitron Holdings Ltd (8066)?
Phoenitron Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$146M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8066?
The net profit margin of Phoenitron Holdings Ltd is about 8.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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