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Phoenitron Holdings Ltd (8066) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Phoenitron Holdings Ltd HK$0.39, price HK$0.24, upside +60.3%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Technology · HK · ISIN KYG7059R1323

PH Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Phoenitron Holdings Ltd

8066 · HK

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value HK$0.3910 · Strongly undervalued (+60.3%)
!Quality 59/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +13.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 8.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (12/13)
!Moderate moat 48/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$0.7800 HK$0.0310 Fair Value HK$0.3910 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0310 – HK$0.7800 · fair‑value band HK$0.2805 – HK$0.5610 · the HK$0.2440 price screens below the HK$0.3910 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Phoenitron Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the contract manufacturing and sale of smart cards in the People's Republic of China, Europe, Asia, and Hong Kong.

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Phoenitron Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the contract manufacturing and sale of smart cards in the People's Republic of China, Europe, Asia, and Hong Kong. The company operates through six segments: Sales of Smart Cards; Sales of Smart Card Application Systems; Operation of Private Domain e-commerce Platform; Provision of Artificial Intelligence (A.I.) Speech Technology Data Services; Sales and Trading of Scrap Metals; and Media and Entertainment. It also engages in trading scrap vehicles; and developing and provision of smart card application systems. In addition, the company provides financial and management consultancy services; and research, development, marketing, and sales services. Further, it is involved in the operation of a pan-entertainment digital ecosystem membership e-commerce platform. The company was formerly known as Cardlink Technology Group Limited and changed its name to Phoenitron Holdings Limited in May 2010. Phoenitron Holdings Limited was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Tsim Sha Tsui, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Phoenitron Holdings Ltd (8066) currently trades at HK$0.2440, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3910, implying the stock looks roughly 37.6% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$0.6900 per share, and 22 of the 24 models we run sit above the HK$0.2440 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.1100, and 2 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.2805 (bear) to HK$0.5610 (bull), the price of HK$0.2440 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Phoenitron Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$146M in FY2025 versus HK$72.8M in FY2021, a compound +18.9%/yr. Reported net income was HK$12.5M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$183M (≈ $23.3M) · P/E ratio 13.8 · P/S ratio 1.18 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0700 · Net margin 8.6% · Return on equity 16.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.4% · Operating margin −34.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at 60%, 8066 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.2805 Fair Value HK$0.3910 Bull HK$0.5610
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0525 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$0.3000 HK$0.5100 HK$0.8700 78
Growth DCF HK$0.3000 HK$0.4800 HK$0.7800 77
Owner Earnings HK$0.3900 HK$0.6700 HK$1.17 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.3000 HK$0.5100 HK$0.8700 78
Owner Earnings HK$0.3900 HK$0.6700 HK$1.17 74
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.4400 HK$0.8100 HK$1.32 70
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.6400 HK$1.22 HK$1.98 73
5Y P/E Exit HK$0.3900 HK$0.6900 HK$1.04 69
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.3800 HK$0.7000 HK$1.24 64
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.5200 HK$1.01 HK$1.80 65
10Y P/E Exit HK$0.3600 HK$0.6200 HK$1.01 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.1300 HK$0.6600 HK$0.9200 63
Lynch FV HK$0.1800 HK$0.2600 HK$0.3400 61
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.1800 HK$0.2600 HK$0.3400 57
EPV HK$0.3200 HK$0.3600 HK$0.3900 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.3900 HK$0.5300 HK$0.6600 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.2400 HK$0.3200 HK$0.4000 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.2400 HK$0.3200 HK$0.4000 55
EV/EBIT HK$0.9500 HK$1.25 HK$1.55 66
EV/EBITDA HK$0.8500 HK$1.12 HK$1.38 67
EV/Revenue HK$0.5100 HK$0.7100 HK$0.9000 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0800 HK$0.1100 HK$0.1700 53
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.3000 HK$0.4800 HK$0.7800 77
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.4400 HK$0.7900 HK$1.25 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.1500 HK$0.1700 HK$0.2300 71
ROIC Compounder HK$0.3500 HK$0.4500 HK$0.5700 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.3200 HK$0.4600 HK$0.5900 68

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22

Profitability 66
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 88
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 11
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 18
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+144.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+35.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −24.2% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
≈ +22.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+22.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.22.5% vs 3.2%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.0% → 23%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 19.2%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
⚠ Approximate: the rate leans on 2025, which sits 356% above its own trend.

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−4.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −6.5% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductors · 337 stocks

Beats the industry median on 11/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside +60.2% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 16.6% · Top 25%
Return on assets 19.0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8.6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) −34.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 51.5% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.8× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 1.67× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 1.25× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 15.1× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 4.0× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 70
PAST (return on equity)66 · sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 19

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Phoenitron Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8066

Frequently asked questions

Is Phoenitron Holdings Ltd (8066) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3910 versus a price of HK$0.2440, about +60% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 8066?
Our model-based fair value for Phoenitron Holdings Ltd is HK$0.3910 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.2440.
What is the quality score of 8066?
Phoenitron Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Phoenitron Holdings Ltd (8066)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.3910 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.2805, optimistic scenario HK$0.5610. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Phoenitron Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.3910, about +60% upside versus a price of HK$0.2440 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.2805, optimistic scenario HK$0.5610. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Phoenitron Holdings Ltd (8066)?
Phoenitron Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$146M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Phoenitron Holdings Ltd (8066)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Phoenitron Holdings Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -4.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.9 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 8066 use?
Our models discount Phoenitron Holdings Ltd at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Phoenitron Holdings Ltd that is -4.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Phoenitron Holdings Ltd (8066) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Phoenitron Holdings Ltd grew +13.9 % a year. The price currently implies -4.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Phoenitron Holdings Ltd (8066) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Phoenitron Holdings Ltd (-4.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Phoenitron Holdings Ltd (8066)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.26 %: that much free cash flow Phoenitron Holdings Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Phoenitron Holdings Ltd (8066)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Phoenitron Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.3910 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.2440. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Phoenitron Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 8066 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.2440, fair value HK$0.3910, a gap of about +60% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8066?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.2440); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.3910). For Phoenitron Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.1470 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Phoenitron Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Phoenitron Holdings Ltd at about HK$183M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.2440; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.3910 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8066?
Our models span a range for Phoenitron Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.2805, base HK$0.3910, optimistic HK$0.5610 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.2440). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 8066?
Phoenitron Holdings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.8 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.3910 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.7, P/S 1.3, EV/EBITDA 4.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Phoenitron Holdings Ltd (8066)?
Balance-sheet figures for Phoenitron Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 16.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8066 from its 52-week high?
Phoenitron Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.2440, about 60% below its 52-week high of HK$0.6100 and 36% above the low of HK$0.1800 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.3910 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Phoenitron Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value NVIDIA Corporation, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Broadcom Inc, Micron Technology, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Phoenitron Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.2440, calculated fair value HK$0.3910 (+60%), Quality Score 59/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8066 calculated?
We run Phoenitron Holdings Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.3910, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Phoenitron Holdings Ltd currently trades 38 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Phoenitron Holdings Ltd (8066)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.2440. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.3910, about +60% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Phoenitron Holdings Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.2805). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.2805 to HK$0.5610) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Phoenitron Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Phoenitron Holdings Ltd (8066)?
The market capitalisation of Phoenitron Holdings Ltd is HK$183M (≈ $23.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Phoenitron Holdings Ltd (8066)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Phoenitron Holdings Ltd is 1.18 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Phoenitron Holdings Ltd (8066)?
Earnings per share at Phoenitron Holdings Ltd are HK$0.0700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Phoenitron Holdings Ltd (8066)?
The net margin of Phoenitron Holdings Ltd is 8.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Phoenitron Holdings Ltd (8066)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Phoenitron Holdings Ltd is 16.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Phoenitron Holdings Ltd (8066)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Phoenitron Holdings Ltd is 1.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Phoenitron Holdings Ltd (8066)?
The operating margin of Phoenitron Holdings Ltd is −34.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Phoenitron Holdings Ltd (8066)?
Revenue at Phoenitron Holdings Ltd is growing +51.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +35.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Phoenitron Holdings Ltd (8066)?
Earnings per share at Phoenitron Holdings Ltd are growing −46.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Phoenitron Holdings Ltd (8066) hold?
Phoenitron Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$36.5M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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