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Shi Shi Services Ltd (8181) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · HK · Market cap HK$54.2M

SS Shi Shi Services Ltd 8181 · HK
PriceHK$0.0470
Fair ValueHK$0.0804
Upside+71.1%
Quality47/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -9.9% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Narrow moat 0/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.0663 – HK$0.0973 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.0875 to HK$0.0804 (−8.1%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price −4.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 71% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.0663). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.2490 HK$0.0430 Fair Value HK$0.0804 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0430 – HK$0.2490 · fair‑value band HK$0.0663 – HK$0.0973 · the HK$0.0470 price screens below the HK$0.0804 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Shi Shi Services Ltd (8181) currently trades at HK$0.0470, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0804, implying the stock looks roughly 71.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Shi Shi Services Ltd generated revenue of HK$549M at a net margin of -9.9%. Revenue declined 5.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -28.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$25.4M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0663 (bear case) to HK$0.0973 (bull case); at HK$0.0470, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 15% fair-value upside, at 71%, 8181 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM HK$0.1200 HK$0.1800 HK$0.2200 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.1200 HK$0.1700 HK$0.2000 61
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0600 HK$0.0900 HK$0.1300 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.1200 HK$0.1800 HK$0.2200 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.1200 HK$0.1700 HK$0.2000 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0600 HK$0.0900 HK$0.1300 50

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (HK$0.1700) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.0900). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$549M
Revenue growth (YoY) -5.0%
Net margin -9.9%
Return on equity -28.2%
Free cash flow −HK$34.9M FY2025
Operating margin -5.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0500
EPS growth (YoY) -94.7%
Net cash HK$25.4M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 1
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 85
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Kong Shum Smart Management Group (Holdings) Limited, an investment holding company, provides property management services in Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China. The company operates in three segments: Provision of Property Management and Related Services; Properties Investment; and Money Lending Business.

Full company description

Kong Shum Smart Management Group (Holdings) Limited, an investment holding company, provides property management services in Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China. The company operates in three segments: Provision of Property Management and Related Services; Properties Investment; and Money Lending Business. It offers cleaning, security, repair and maintenance, cleaning, financial management, and administrative and legal support services to residential properties under the Kong Shum brand name, as well as consultancy services. The company was formerly known as Shi Shi Services Limited and changed its name to Kong Shum Smart Management Group (Holdings) Limited in March 2025. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Hung Hom, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Shi Shi Services Ltd reported revenue of HK$544M in FY2026 versus HK$525M in FY2022, a compound +0.9%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$48.1M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 8/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
HK$544M
Latest YoY
−3.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.2%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.1%
Revenue +0.9%/yr
FY22 HK$525M
FY23 HK$547M
FY24 HK$589M
FY25 HK$564M
FY26 HK$544M
Net income
FY22 −HK$25.9M
FY23 −HK$28.8M
FY24 −HK$46.4M
FY25 −HK$29.4M
FY26 −HK$48.1M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shi Shi Services Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8181

Peer Group

Real Estate Services · 529 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside +70% · Top 25%
Return on assets -6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -10% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -5% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -5% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.05× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.01× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 34
FUTURE 0 · sector 10
PAST 0 · sector 16
HEALTH 100 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 59

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA 3,989 CLP 4,571 CLP +15%
PT Solusi Tunas Pratama Tbk SUPR 43,850 IDR 15,049 IDR -66%
Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS 2,412 CLP 2,976 CLP +23%
PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR 392.00 IDR 1,012 IDR +158%
PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI 22,000 IDR 19,160 IDR -13%
PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK 3,610 IDR 3,464 IDR -4%
IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, IRSA 2,495 ARS 2,990 ARS +20%
PT Plaza Indonesia Realty Tbk PLIN 2,510 IDR 2,698 IDR +7%
PT MNC Tourism Indonesia Tbk, KPIG 74.00 IDR 122.12 IDR +65%
PT Indonesian Paradise Property Tbk INPP 770.00 IDR 291.52 IDR -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shi Shi Services Ltd (8181) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0804 versus a price of HK$0.0470, about +71% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 8181?
Our model-based fair value for Shi Shi Services Ltd is HK$0.0804 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.0470.
What is the quality score of 8181?
Shi Shi Services Ltd has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shi Shi Services Ltd (8181)?
Shi Shi Services Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$549M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8181?
The net profit margin of Shi Shi Services Ltd is about -9.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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