8186 (8186) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · Market cap HK$86.5M
Fair value as of: Jul 3, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated today
Share price −10.4% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range HK$0.1830 – HK$1.87 · fair‑value band HK$0.1900 – HK$0.3200 · the HK$0.8600 price screens above the HK$0.2500 fair value. As of Jul 3, 2026.
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8186 (8186) currently trades at HK$0.8600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2500 — implying the stock looks roughly 70.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, 8186 generated revenue of HK$35.5M at a net margin of 4.8%. Revenue grew 24.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$5.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 3, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
8186 reported revenue of HK$35.5M in FY2025 versus HK$27.1M in FY2021, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was HK$1.7M in FY2025.
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Similar stocks
6 more Lumber & Wood Production stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 3, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Simpson Manufacturing Co SSD | $186.22 | $95.11 | -49% |
| West Fraser Timber Co WFG | $69.05 | $7.50 | -89% |
| UFP Industries, Inc UFPI | $85.44 | $101.34 | +19% |
| Stella-Jones Inc STLJF | $58.00 | $67.39 | +16% |
| Boise Cascade Company BCC | $72.54 | $51.80 | -29% |
| Century Plyboards (India) Limited CENTURYPLY | ₹754.55 | ₹201.01 | -73% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.