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8186 (8186) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · Market cap HK$86.5M

8 8186 8186 · HK
PriceHK$0.8600
Fair ValueHK$0.2500
Upside-70.9%
Quality55/100
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Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.1900 – HK$0.3200

Fair value as of: Jul 3, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated today

Share price −10.4% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$1.87 HK$0.1830 Fair Value HK$0.2500 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range HK$0.1830 – HK$1.87 · fair‑value band HK$0.1900 – HK$0.3200 · the HK$0.8600 price screens above the HK$0.2500 fair value. As of Jul 3, 2026.

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Analysis

8186 (8186) currently trades at HK$0.8600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2500 — implying the stock looks roughly 70.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, 8186 generated revenue of HK$35.5M at a net margin of 4.8%. Revenue grew 24.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$5.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 3, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$35.5M
Revenue growth (YoY) +24.5%
Net margin 4.8%
Return on equity 7.5%
Free cash flow −HK$2.2M FY2025
P/E ratio 76.0
More key figures
Operating margin 0.4%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0100
EPS growth (YoY) +49.2%
Net cash HK$5.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

8186 reported revenue of HK$35.5M in FY2025 versus HK$27.1M in FY2021, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was HK$1.7M in FY2025.

Revenue +7.0%/yr
FY21 HK$27.1M
FY22 HK$22.3M
FY23 HK$26.9M
FY24 HK$29.2M
FY25 HK$35.5M
Net income
FY21 −HK$7.3M
FY22 HK$49.3M
FY23 −HK$1.6M
FY24 HK$189K
FY25 HK$1.7M

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Similar stocks

6 more Lumber & Wood Production stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 3, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Simpson Manufacturing Co SSD $186.22 $95.11 -49%
West Fraser Timber Co WFG $69.05 $7.50 -89%
UFP Industries, Inc UFPI $85.44 $101.34 +19%
Stella-Jones Inc STLJF $58.00 $67.39 +16%
Boise Cascade Company BCC $72.54 $51.80 -29%
Century Plyboards (India) Limited CENTURYPLY ₹754.55 ₹201.01 -73%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 8186 (8186) undervalued?
As of Jul 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2500 versus a price of HK$0.8600 — about −71% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 8186?
Our model-based fair value for 8186 is HK$0.2500 (as of Jul 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.8600.
What is the quality score of 8186?
8186 has a Quality Score of 55/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of 8186 (8186)?
8186 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$35.5M (latest available figure, as of Jul 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8186?
The net profit margin of 8186 is about 4.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.