8191 (8191) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · Market cap HK$15.4M
Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated today
Share price −13.9% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range HK$0.0915 – HK$0.1800 · fair‑value band HK$0.3200 – HK$0.6400 · the HK$0.1490 price screens below the HK$0.4300 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.
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8191 (8191) currently trades at HK$0.1490, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4300 — implying the stock looks roughly 188.6% undervalued today. We read business quality at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low) — always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$102M. Revenue declined 64.4% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$362M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
8191 reported revenue of HK$102M in FY2025 versus HK$404M in FY2021, a compound −29.2%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$138M in FY2025.
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Similar stocks
6 more Lumber & Wood Production stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Simpson Manufacturing Co SSD | $185.41 | $105.89 | -43% |
| West Fraser Timber Co WFG | $69.05 | $7.50 | -89% |
| UFP Industries, Inc UFPI | $85.44 | $101.34 | +19% |
| Stella-Jones Inc STLJF | $58.00 | $67.39 | +16% |
| Boise Cascade Company BCC | $68.31 | $44.84 | -34% |
| Century Plyboards (India) Limited CENTURYPLY | ₹754.55 | ₹201.01 | -73% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.