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Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd (8191) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 12, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd stock HK$0.12, price HK$0.14, that is 17.4% below the price, quality 25 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 3 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials HK · ISIN HK0000178324

HW Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd logo Thin data Nov 11, 2026

Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd

8191 · HK

Expensive (fair value 17% below the price), weak company and falling price: meets none of the 3 rules.

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Generates free cash flow 
Revenue last quarter 18% below a year ago. 
Changed on Oct 31: HK$0.1530 → HK$0.1190 
Fair value HK$0.1190 · Overvalued 
Quality 25/100 
Falling price (downtrend) 
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −21.0 %/yr in HKD) 
Loss-making · -68.3% net margin (TTM) 
High debt 
Trails peers (3/11) 
Narrow moat 5/100
Thin data 
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$5.58 HK$0.0915 Fair Value HK$0.1190 Aug 2017 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0915 – HK$5.58 · fair‑value band HK$0.1190 – HK$0.4760 · the HK$0.1440 price screens above the HK$0.1190 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 11, 2026.

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Company profile

Hong Wei (Asia) Holdings Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and sale of particleboards in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through two segments, Particleboards and Forestry.

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It is involved in the plantation, timber logging, and sale of bamboo, timber woods, and agricultural products; and trading of particleboards. The company products are used in the manufacturing of furniture and fixtures, sport equipment, decoration, and construction materials.

Hong Wei (Asia) Holdings Company Limited was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Admiralty, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd (8191) currently trades at HK$0.1440, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1190, 17% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of HK$0.1200 per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the HK$0.1440 price.

Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at HK$0.0700, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.1190 (bear) to HK$0.4760 (bull), the price of HK$0.1440 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$102M in FY2025 versus HK$404M in FY2021, a compound −29.2%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$138M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$49.6M (≈ $6.3M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.42 · Net margin −136% · Return on equity −41.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.8% (5-year average) · Operating margin −84.8% · Revenue (TTM) HK$92.8M · Revenue growth (YoY) −17.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 5 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at −17%, 8191 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.1190 Fair Value HK$0.1190 Bull HK$0.4760
Price HK$0.1440 · Downside -17.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF n/a HK$0.0700 >HK$0.2800 77
Growth DCF n/a HK$0.0800 >HK$0.3200 75
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0900 HK$0.1200 HK$0.1800 54
All 3 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF n/a HK$0.0700 >HK$0.2800 77
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0900 HK$0.1200 HK$0.1800 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF n/a HK$0.0800 >HK$0.3200 75

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 25/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 1
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 81
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 2
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 12
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 34
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 47
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−67.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−36.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−21.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −12.8% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
12.2% (2019) → −89.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

8191 screens overvalued: fair value 17% below the price. Compare with Simpson Manufacturing Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Lumber & Wood Production · 78 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 25 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −17.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −24.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −68.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −84.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −17.9% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 4.69× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Lumber & Wood Production median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.75× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 0.54× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 2.7× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)10 · sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 21
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 39

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Lumber & Wood Production stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
UFP Industries, Inc UFPI $79.10 $103.76 +31% vs 8191
Stella-Jones Inc SJ C$66.88 C$81.51 +22% vs 8191
DeHua TB New Decoration Material Co 002043 ¥12.60 ¥15.06 +20% vs 8191
Simpson Manufacturing Co SSD $198.77 $216.58 +9% vs 8191
Interfor Corporation IFP C$12.91 C$10.93 −15% vs 8191
Boise Cascade Company BCC $67.92 $52.60 −23% vs 8191
Canfor Corporation CFP C$14.19 C$9.08 −36% vs 8191
Century Plyboards (India) Limited CENTURYPLY ₹677.85 ₹211.47 −69% vs 8191
Zhongfu Straits (Pingtan) Development Company 000592 ¥7.30 ¥1.52 −79% vs 8191
Greenlam Industries Limited GREENLAM ₹210.36 ₹42.91 −80% vs 8191

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Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8191

Frequently asked questions

Is Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd (8191) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1190 versus a price of HK$0.1440, about 17% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8191?
Our model-based fair value for Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd is HK$0.1190 (as of Nov 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1440.
What is the quality score of 8191?
Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 25/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd (8191)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.1190 (as of Nov 11, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1190, optimistic scenario HK$0.4760. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.1190, about 17% lower versus a price of HK$0.1440 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1190, optimistic scenario HK$0.4760. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd (8191)?
Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$92.8M (latest available figure, as of Nov 11, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd (8191)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd it is HK$0.1190 per share (as of Nov 11, 2026), against a price of HK$0.1440. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models in 3 families (DCF Models, Asset-Based, Growth DCF).
Is Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 11, 2026, 8191 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.1440, fair value HK$0.1190, a gap of about −17% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8191?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.1440); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.1190). For Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd the two are HK$0.0250 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd worth?
The market values Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd at about HK$49.6M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 11, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.1440; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.1190 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8191?
Our models span a range for Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.1190, base HK$0.1190, optimistic HK$0.4760 per share (as of Nov 11, 2026, price HK$0.1440). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd (8191)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd (as of Nov 11, 2026): return on equity −41.6%, debt of 4.69 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 25/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8191 from its 52-week high?
Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd trades at HK$0.1440, about 20% below its 52-week high of HK$0.1800 and 54% above the low of HK$0.0936 (as of Nov 12, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.1190 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Simpson Manufacturing Co, UFP Industries, Inc, Boise Cascade Company, Stella-Jones Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 11, 2026: price HK$0.1440, calculated fair value HK$0.1190 (−17%), Quality Score 25/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8191 calculated?
We run Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd through 3 models from 3 families: DCF Models, Asset-Based, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of HK$0.1190 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.3% above its aggregate fair value. Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd (8191)?
The closing price on Nov 12, 2026 was HK$0.1440. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.1190, about 17% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd right now?
Weak quality (25/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.1190 to HK$0.4760). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd (8191)?
The market capitalisation of Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd is HK$49.6M (≈ $6.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd (8191)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd is 0.42 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd (8191)?
The net margin of Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd is −136% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd (8191)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd is −41.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd (8191)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd is −2.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd (8191)?
The operating margin of Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd is −84.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd (8191)?
Revenue at Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd is growing −17.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −36.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd (8191)?
Earnings per share at Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd are growing −44.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd (8191) generate?
The free cash flow of Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd is HK$18.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd (8191) carry?
The net debt of Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd is HK$362M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 19.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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