Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd (8191) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · HK · Market cap HK$15.4M
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 24, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price +53.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, trading 62% below our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (29/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.3200). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.3200 to HK$0.6300) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0915 – HK$5.86 · fair‑value band HK$0.3200 – HK$0.6300 · the HK$0.1580 price screens below the HK$0.4200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 24, 2026.
Analysis
Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd (8191) currently trades at HK$0.1580, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4200, implying the stock looks roughly 165.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$102M. Revenue declined 64.4% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$362M. Fundamentals as of Aug 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.3200 (bear case) to HK$0.6300 (bull case); at HK$0.1580, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 77% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -39% fair-value upside, at 166%, 8191 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Hong Wei (Asia) Holdings Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and sale of particleboards in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through two segments, Particleboards and Forestry.
Full company description
Hong Wei (Asia) Holdings Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and sale of particleboards in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through two segments, Particleboards and Forestry. It is involved in the plantation, timber logging, and sale of bamboo, timber woods, and agricultural products; and trading of particleboards. The company products are used in the manufacturing of furniture and fixtures, sport equipment, decoration, and construction materials. Hong Wei (Asia) Holdings Company Limited was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Admiralty, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hong Wei Asia Holdings Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$102M in FY2025 versus HK$404M in FY2021, a compound −29.2%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$138M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Lumber & Wood Production · 80 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Lumber & Wood Production median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Lumber & Wood Production stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Simpson Manufacturing Co SSD | $194.83 | $145.26 | -25% |
| West Fraser Timber Co WFG | C$97.70 | C$33.38 | -66% |
| UFP Industries, Inc UFPI | $88.29 | $107.07 | +21% |
| Stella-Jones Inc SJ | C$75.22 | C$92.56 | +23% |
| Boise Cascade Company BCC | $84.25 | $51.39 | -39% |
| Century Plyboards (India) Limited CENTURYPLY | ₹751.05 | ₹201.01 | -73% |
| DeHua TB New Decoration Material Co 002043 | ¥12.58 | ¥14.78 | +17% |
| Canfor Corporation CFP | C$14.77 | C$4.54 | -69% |
| Interfor Corporation IFP | C$14.38 | C$6.43 | -55% |
| Kangxin New Materials Co 600076 | ¥3.11 | ¥0.6700 | -78% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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