Great Wall Motor Company (82333) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Great Wall Motor Company HK$8.03, price HK$6.07, upside +32.4%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
39‑month range HK$4.60 – HK$16.78 · fair‑value band HK$5.62 – HK$10.44 · the HK$6.07 price screens below the HK$8.03 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Great Wall Motor Company Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of automobiles, and automotive parts and components in the People's Republic of China, Europe, ASEAN countries, Latin America, the Middle East, Australia, South Africa, and internationally.
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Great Wall Motor Company Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of automobiles, and automotive parts and components in the People's Republic of China, Europe, ASEAN countries, Latin America, the Middle East, Australia, South Africa, and internationally. The company offers SUVs, sedans, pick-up trucks, multi-purpose vehicles (MPVs), motorcycles, heavy-duty trucks, and energy vehicles primarily under the Haval, TANK, WEY, ORA, GWM Pick-up, GWM SOUO, and GWM brand names. It also provides investment and financing, logistics and goods transportation, buildings rental, after-sales, customer sales, technical development and consulting, technical, and finance leasing services; consulting services on automotive research and development; and operates investment platform. In addition, the company repairs automobiles; transports general goods; researches, develops, and manufactures auto moulds; researches and manufactures motorcycles and related parts; offers technology services, as well as automotive technology research and development, and technical consultancy services; and processes, recycles, and sells waste and used materials. Further, it engages in the wholesale and retail of car accessories; research and test development of engineering technology; trading and brokerage activities; scrap car recycling and dismantling activities; provision of insurance brokerage, technical, and computer system services; and development of network and information security software. The company was formerly known as Baoding Great Wall Motor Company Limited and changed its name to Great Wall Motor Company Limited in May 2003. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Baoding, China. Great Wall Motor Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of Baoding Innovation Great Wall Asset Management Company Limited.
Stock analysis
Great Wall Motor Company (82333) currently trades at HK$6.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$8.03, implying the stock looks roughly 24.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$13.66 per share, and 11 of the 22 models we run sit above the HK$6.07 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$1.94, and 11 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$5.62 (bear) to HK$10.44 (bull), the price of HK$6.07 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Great Wall Motor Company reported revenue of HK$223B in FY2025 versus HK$137B in FY2022, a compound +17.5%/yr. Reported net income was HK$9.9B in FY2025, compounding +6.1%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap HK$184B (≈ $23.5B) · P/S ratio 0.81 · EPS (TTM) HK$1.05 · Dividend yield 2.4% · Net margin 4.4% · Return on equity 10.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.8% · Operating margin 2.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 32%, 82333 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$5.62Fair Value HK$8.03Bull HK$10.44
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.7903 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.5%
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+11.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.4%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 5%
Compare Great Wall Motor Company with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Manufacturers · 106 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+23.1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10.6% · Above median
Return on assets1.6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)4.0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)2.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth12.7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.4% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.05× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Great Wall Motor Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/82333
Frequently asked questions
Is Great Wall Motor Company (82333) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$8.03 versus a price of HK$6.07, about +32% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 82333?
Our model-based fair value for Great Wall Motor Company is HK$8.03 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$6.07.
What is the quality score of 82333?
Great Wall Motor Company has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Great Wall Motor Company (82333)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$8.03 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$5.62, optimistic scenario HK$10.44. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Great Wall Motor Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$8.03, about +32% upside versus a price of HK$6.07 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$5.62, optimistic scenario HK$10.44. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Great Wall Motor Company (82333)?
Great Wall Motor Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$228B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Great Wall Motor Company pay a dividend?
Great Wall Motor Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.38% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Great Wall Motor Company (82333)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Great Wall Motor Company it is HK$8.03 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of HK$6.07. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Great Wall Motor Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, 82333 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$6.07, fair value HK$8.03, a gap of about +32% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 82333?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$6.07); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$8.03). For Great Wall Motor Company the two are HK$1.97 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Great Wall Motor Company worth?
The market values Great Wall Motor Company at about HK$184B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is HK$6.07; our models calculate a fair value of HK$8.03 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 82333?
Our models span a range for Great Wall Motor Company: cautious scenario HK$5.62, base HK$8.03, optimistic HK$10.44 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price HK$6.07). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Great Wall Motor Company (82333)?
Balance-sheet figures for Great Wall Motor Company (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 10.6%, debt of 0.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 82333 from its 52-week high?
Great Wall Motor Company trades at HK$6.07, about 60% below its 52-week high of HK$14.99 and at the low of HK$6.07 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$8.03 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Great Wall Motor Company?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tesla, Inc, Toyota Motor Corporation, BYD Company, General Motors Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Great Wall Motor Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price HK$6.07, calculated fair value HK$8.03 (+32%), Quality Score 62/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 82333 calculated?
We run Great Wall Motor Company through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$8.03, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Great Wall Motor Company currently trades 24 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Great Wall Motor Company (82333)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was HK$6.07. Our model-based fair value is HK$8.03, about +32% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Great Wall Motor Company right now?
The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (HK$5.62 to HK$10.44) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Great Wall Motor Company
How large is the market capitalisation of Great Wall Motor Company (82333)?
The market capitalisation of Great Wall Motor Company is HK$184B (≈ $23.5B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Great Wall Motor Company (82333)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Great Wall Motor Company is 0.81 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Great Wall Motor Company (82333)?
Earnings per share at Great Wall Motor Company are HK$1.05. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Great Wall Motor Company (82333)?
The dividend yield of Great Wall Motor Company is 2.4% (payout 13.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Great Wall Motor Company (82333)?
The net margin of Great Wall Motor Company is 4.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Great Wall Motor Company (82333)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Great Wall Motor Company is 10.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Great Wall Motor Company (82333)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Great Wall Motor Company is 4.8% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Great Wall Motor Company (82333)?
The operating margin of Great Wall Motor Company is 2.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Great Wall Motor Company (82333)?
Revenue at Great Wall Motor Company is growing +12.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +17.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Great Wall Motor Company (82333)?
Earnings per share at Great Wall Motor Company are growing −47.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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