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Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd (8400) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd HK$0.20, price HK$0.12, upside +69.5%, quality 83 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? Yes
Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Cyclical · HK · ISIN KYG0541R1092

AP Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd

8400 · HK

Strongly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside with high Quality.

✓Fair value HK$0.2000 · Strongly undervalued (+69.5%)

✓Quality 83/100

✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +10.2 %/yr)

✓Solidly profitable · 11.0% net margin (TTM)

✓generates free cash flow

✓Ranks above peers (9/12)

✓Wide moat 67/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

26 models, one by oneBear HK$0.1300 to bull HK$0.2600 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 83/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0260 – HK$0.1480 · fair‑value band HK$0.1300 – HK$0.2600 · the HK$0.1180 price screens below the HK$0.2000 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the supply of electronic gaming equipment in Macau, Taiwan, the Philippines, Korea, the People's Republic of China, Malaysia, Cambodia, Hong Kong, and internationally. The company operates through EGE Business and Smart VM Business segments. It procures, distributes, installs, and repairs electronic gaming equipment (EGE) and its spare parts, as well as provides related after-sales services. The company also provides regulatory consultancy; product design and content consultancy, localization consultancy, and on-site consultancy services, as well as technical and support, and repair services. In addition, it offers electronic table games (ETGs), including electronic baccarat table games and electronic gaming machines comprising electronic slot machines. Further, the company operates smart vending machines (VMs); leases smart vending machines; franchises coffee vending machines under the KATFFEE brand; and markets drinks and snacks vending machines under the KatKatMall brand, as well as operates vending machines for consumer products, such as travel necessities and daily consumables, and CHY products. It serves casino operators, manufacturers of electronic gaming equipment, and consumers and travelers. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Macau.

Stock analysis

Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd (8400) currently trades at HK$0.1180, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2000, implying the stock looks roughly 41.0% undervalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$0.2600 per share, and 17 of the 24 models we run sit above the HK$0.1180 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at HK$0.0500, and 7 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.1300 (bear) to HK$0.2600 (bull), the price of HK$0.1180 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 83/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$65.8M in FY2025 versus HK$7.6M in FY2021, a compound +71.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$6.1M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$118M (≈ $15.0M) · P/E ratio 9.8 · P/S ratio 0.91 · Net margin 9.3% · Return on equity 34.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −18.9% · Operating margin 10.7% · Revenue (TTM) HK$76.7M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 228% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 33% fair-value upside, at 69%, 8400 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.1300 Fair Value HK$0.2000 Bull HK$0.2600

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

FCF DCF HK$0.1700 HK$0.2600 HK$0.5300 74

Growth DCF HK$0.1600 HK$0.2800 HK$0.5200 72

5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.1200 HK$0.1900 HK$0.3400 70

All 24 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF HK$0.1700 HK$0.2600 HK$0.5300 74

Owner Earnings HK$0.1400 HK$0.2900 HK$0.6000 68

5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.1000 HK$0.1600 HK$0.2700 68

5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.1200 HK$0.1900 HK$0.3400 70

5Y P/E Exit HK$0.1300 HK$0.2600 HK$0.4300 66

10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.1200 HK$0.2300 HK$0.2800 65

10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.1400 HK$0.2600 HK$0.4800 63

10Y P/E Exit HK$0.1400 HK$0.2800 HK$0.5000 59

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd HK$0.0400 HK$0.2900 HK$0.4100 63

Lynch FV HK$0.1100 HK$0.1600 HK$0.2000 61

PEG = 1.0 HK$0.1100 HK$0.1600 HK$0.2000 57

EPV HK$0.0600 HK$0.0700 HK$0.0800 70

Multiples

P/E Multiple HK$0.1000 HK$0.1300 HK$0.1600 63

P/S Multiple HK$0.0800 HK$0.1000 HK$0.1300 58

P/B Multiple HK$0.0800 HK$0.1000 HK$0.1300 55

EV/EBIT HK$0.0900 HK$0.1200 HK$0.1400 63

EV/EBITDA HK$0.1000 HK$0.1300 HK$0.1500 64

EV/Revenue HK$0.0700 HK$0.0900 HK$0.1200 51

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0100 HK$0.0200 HK$0.0300 50

Growth DCF

Growth DCF HK$0.1600 HK$0.2800 HK$0.5200 72

Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.1000 HK$0.1800 HK$0.3200 67

Economic Profit

Residual Income HK$0.0400 HK$0.0500 HK$0.1000 66

ROIC Compounder HK$0.0700 HK$0.1000 HK$0.1300 70

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.1400 HK$0.2000 HK$0.2600 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 83/100

Of which business quality 83 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76

Profitability 85

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 85

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 77

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 100

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 60

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 50

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 87

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 87

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 82

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 91/100

Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Revenue growth 1 year

+29.7%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+84.3%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+10.2%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.2% a year

Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+3.2%

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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.

−78.4% (2020) → 9.4% (2025)

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price

The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.

What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).

−2.4%

Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.

What forecasts expect

n/a

No analyst forecast available.

After inflation (Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −4.4% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gambling · 51 stocks

Beats the industry median on 9/12 measures

Overall it ranks above its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 83 · Top 25%

Fair Value upside +69.5% · Above median

Profitability

Return on equity (TTM) 34.6% · Top 25%

Return on assets 14.8% · Top 25%

Net margin (TTM) 11.0% · Top 25%

Operating margin (TTM) 10.7% · Above median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth 47.3% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Gambling median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.8× · Cheapest 25%

P/B 4.50× · Priciest 25%

P/S (TTM) 1.54× · Pricier than median

P/FCF 11.8× · Cheaper than median

EV/EBITDA 9.9× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 50

FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 8

PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 26

HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 86

DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 68

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Gambling

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Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd · Fair Value
HK$0.2000 +41%Fair Value
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<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8400" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">HK$0.2000</b> <span style="color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;font-size:14px">+41%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8400

Frequently asked questions

Is Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd (8400) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2000 versus a price of HK$0.1180, about +69% upside (undervalued).

What is the fair value of 8400?

Our model-based fair value for Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd is HK$0.2000 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1180.

What is the quality score of 8400?

Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 83/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd (8400)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.2000 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1300, optimistic scenario HK$0.2600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at HK$0.2000, about +69% upside versus a price of HK$0.1180 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1300, optimistic scenario HK$0.2600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd (8400)?

Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$76.7M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).

What growth is priced into Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd (8400)?

For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -2.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.2 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.

What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 8400 use?

Our models discount Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.

What is a reverse DCF?

A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd that is -2.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.

How much growth has Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd (8400) delivered so far?

Over the past 5 years revenue at Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd grew +10.2 % a year. The price currently implies -2.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.

How fast is the sector of Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd (8400) growing?

The median revenue growth in the sector is +5.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd (-2.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.

What is the free cash flow yield of Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd (8400)?

The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.50 %: that much free cash flow Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.

What is the intrinsic value of Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd (8400)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.2000 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.1180. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 27, 2026, 8400 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.1180, fair value HK$0.2000, a gap of about +69% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 8400?

No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.1180); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.2000). For Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.0820 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd worth?

The market values Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd at about HK$118M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.1180; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.2000 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8400?

Our models span a range for Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.1300, base HK$0.2000, optimistic HK$0.2600 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.1180). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of 8400?

Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.8 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.2000 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.5, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 9.9.

How solid is the balance sheet of Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd (8400)?

Balance-sheet figures for Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 34.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 83/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 8400 from its 52-week high?

Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.1180, about 20% below its 52-week high of HK$0.1480 and 228% above the low of HK$0.0360 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.2000 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd?

From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Evolution AB, Flutter Entertainment plc, The Lottery Corporation, Lottomatica Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.1180, calculated fair value HK$0.2000 (+69%), Quality Score 83/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of 8400 calculated?

We run Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.2000, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd currently trades 41 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd (8400)?

The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.1180. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.2000, about +69% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd right now?

The rarer combination: high quality (83/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.1300). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.1300 to HK$0.2600) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd (8400)?

The market capitalisation of Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd is HK$118M (≈ $15.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd (8400)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd is 0.91 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What is the net margin of Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd (8400)?

The net margin of Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd is 9.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd (8400)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd is 34.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd (8400)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd is −18.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd (8400)?

The operating margin of Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd is 10.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd (8400)?

Revenue at Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd is growing +47.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +84.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd (8400)?

Earnings per share at Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd are growing +94.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much net cash does Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd (8400) hold?

Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$10.0M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.

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