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momo.com Inc (8454) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · TW · Market cap 64.0B TWD

MC momo.com Inc 8454 · TW
Price283.50 TWD
Fair Value212.27 TWD
Upside-25.1%
Quality65/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 2.6% net margin
generates free cash flow
4.03% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Moderate moat 50/100
Evidence: High Range 123.57 TWD – 272.53 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Share price +4.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 25% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (272.53 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (123.57 TWD to 272.53 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

1,250 TWD 166.22 TWD Fair Value 212.27 TWD Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 166.22 TWD – 1,250 TWD · fair‑value band 123.57 TWD – 272.53 TWD · the 283.50 TWD price screens above the 212.27 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

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Analysis

momo.com Inc (8454) currently trades at 283.50 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 212.27 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 25.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, momo.com Inc generated revenue of 109B TWD at a net margin of 2.6%. Revenue grew 0.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 26.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 481M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 123.57 TWD (bear case) to 272.53 TWD (bull case); at 283.50 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 73% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at -25%, 8454 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 66.55 TWD 78.77 TWD 249.72 TWD 76
Growth DCF 83.95 TWD 146.07 TWD 256.29 TWD 72
Gordon GGM 111.95 TWD 232.76 TWD 369.25 TWD 70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 85.41 TWD 154.31 TWD 286.76 TWD 38
Owner Earnings 122.19 TWD 227.73 TWD 423.22 TWD 31
5Y Revenue Exit 111.95 TWD 207.42 TWD 343.10 TWD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 136.72 TWD 260.90 TWD 424.16 TWD 41
5Y P/E Exit 155.58 TWD 301.61 TWD 477.33 TWD 38
10Y Revenue Exit 98.79 TWD 188.13 TWD 337.33 TWD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 119.58 TWD 228.38 TWD 408.35 TWD 37
10Y P/E Exit 132.33 TWD 259.02 TWD 454.93 TWD 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 76.99 TWD 415.34 TWD 575.67 TWD 54
Lynch FV 114.99 TWD 164.27 TWD 213.55 TWD 50
PEG = 1.0 114.99 TWD 164.27 TWD 213.55 TWD 46
EPV 113.64 TWD 130.72 TWD 145.67 TWD 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 111.95 TWD 232.76 TWD 369.25 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 111.95 TWD 196.27 TWD 244.29 TWD 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 186.80 TWD 249.07 TWD 311.34 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 144.35 TWD 192.46 TWD 240.58 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 109.89 TWD 146.52 TWD 183.15 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 177.00 TWD 232.29 TWD 287.58 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 168.97 TWD 221.58 TWD 274.19 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 122.94 TWD 170.85 TWD 218.77 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 18.32 TWD 24.54 TWD 36.63 TWD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 83.95 TWD 146.07 TWD 256.29 TWD 72
Rev-Margin DCF 111.95 TWD 203.04 TWD 326.74 TWD 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income 66.55 TWD 78.77 TWD 249.72 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 126.61 TWD 162.26 TWD 205.64 TWD 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 172.77 TWD 246.82 TWD 320.86 TWD 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (246.82 TWD) versus Asset-Based (24.54 TWD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 109B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.7%
Net margin 2.6%
Return on equity 26.1%
Free cash flow 1.4B TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 31.5
More key figures
Operating margin 3.0%
EPS (TTM) 10.49 TWD
Dividend yield 4.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -25.0%
Net cash 481M TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 72
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 25
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 54
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 81
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 42
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 72
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

momo.com Inc. engages in the TV and radio production, radio and TV program distribution, radio and TV commercial, video program distribution, issuing of magazine, and retailing businesses in Taiwan. It operates through two segments: Multimedia business and catalogues department and E-commerce department.

Full company description

momo.com Inc. engages in the TV and radio production, radio and TV program distribution, radio and TV commercial, video program distribution, issuing of magazine, and retailing businesses in Taiwan. It operates through two segments: Multimedia business and catalogues department and E-commerce department. The company operates Fubon momo Channel, a TV shopping channel; momoshop, a B to C shopping website; and catalog shopping market. It engages in the travel agency, life insurance agency, comprehensive insurance agency, wholesale and retail, investment, and logistics businesses; and wholesale of cosmetics. momo.com Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Taipei, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

momo.com Inc reported revenue of 109B TWD in FY2025 versus 88.4B TWD in FY2021, a compound +5.3%/yr. Reported net income was 3.0B TWD in FY2025, compounding −2.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 66/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
109B TWD
Latest YoY
−3.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+1.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+10.1%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y)
+15.0%
Revenue +5.3%/yr
FY21 88.4B TWD
FY22 103B TWD
FY23 109B TWD
FY24 113B TWD
FY25 109B TWD
Net income −2.2%/yr
FY21 3.3B TWD
FY22 3.4B TWD
FY23 3.6B TWD
FY24 3.5B TWD
FY25 3.0B TWD

8454 screens 25% overvalued. Compare with Amazon.com, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "momo.com Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8454

Peer Group

Internet Retail · 109 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −25% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 26% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.0% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Internet Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 23.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 6.59× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.59× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.4× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 15.6× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.02× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 34
FUTURE 4 · sector 39
PAST 100 · sector 7
HEALTH 0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 81 · sector 39

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Internet Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Amazon.com, Inc AMZN $245.34 $127.67 -48%
Alibaba Group BABA $114.97 $75.75 -34%
PDD Holdings PDD $84.14 $223.51 +166%
MercadoLibre, Inc MELI $1,814 $798.98 -56%
DoorDash, Inc DASH $190.16 $38.64 -80%
Sea Limited SE $106.22 $52.70 -50%
eBay Inc EBAY $117.20 $60.13 -49%
JD.com, Inc JD €25.95 €31.88 +23%
Coupang, Inc CPNG $16.86 $2.79 -83%
Delivery Hero SE DHER €38.18 €12.71 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is momo.com Inc (8454) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 212.27 TWD versus a price of 283.50 TWD, about −25% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8454?
Our model-based fair value for momo.com Inc is 212.27 TWD (as of Jul 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 283.50 TWD.
What is the quality score of 8454?
momo.com Inc has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of momo.com Inc (8454)?
momo.com Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 109B TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8454?
The net profit margin of momo.com Inc is about 2.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does momo.com Inc pay a dividend?
momo.com Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.53% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 23, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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