Cool Link Holdings Ltd (8491) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$122M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price −21.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 64% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.1020). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0392 – HK$3.27 · fair‑value band HK$0.0595 – HK$0.1020 · the HK$0.2390 price screens above the HK$0.0850 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Cool Link Holdings Ltd (8491) currently trades at HK$0.2390, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0850, implying the stock looks roughly 64.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Cool Link Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$29.4M at a net margin of -5.5%. Revenue grew 2.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -7.3%. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0595 (bear case) to HK$0.1020 (bull case); at HK$0.2390, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -29% fair-value upside, at -64%, 8491 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$0.0400) versus Multiples (HK$0.0200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Cool Link (Holdings) Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the food and healthcare supplies business in Singapore, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Malaysia, the People's Republic of China, and internationally.
Full company description
Cool Link (Holdings) Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the food and healthcare supplies business in Singapore, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Malaysia, the People's Republic of China, and internationally. The company supplies various food products, such as canned food and packaged beverages in the dry category; dairy products in the chilled category; and ice cream and frozen cakes and pies in the frozen category. It also provides fresh and UHT milk, yogurts, pure drinking water, fruit juices, and cheeses; and value-added food processing services. In addition, the company trades footwear. It serves ship chandlers, retailers, and customers related in the service industry. Cool Link (Holdings) Limited was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Singapore.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Cool Link Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$29.4M in FY2025 versus HK$32.8M in FY2021, a compound −2.7%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$1.6M in FY2025.
8491 screens 64% overvalued. Compare with Sysco Corporation →
Peer Group
Food Distribution · 76 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Food Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sysco Corporation SYY | $84.69 | $59.83 | -29% |
| US Foods Holding USFD | $110.94 | $53.53 | -52% |
| Performance Food Group PFGC | $113.96 | $37.94 | -67% |
| Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A JMT | €17.68 | €21.59 | +22% |
| CP Axtra Public Company CPAXT | 14.80 THB | 17.42 THB | +18% |
| The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc CHEF | $111.07 | $37.27 | -66% |
| Olam Group VC2 | 1.34 SGD | 2.12 SGD | +58% |
| United Natural Foods, Inc UNFI | $47.27 | $6.00 | -87% |
| The Andersons, Inc ANDE | $65.61 | $47.78 | -27% |
| Zhejiang Dongri Limited 600113 | ¥31.47 | ¥6.75 | -79% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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