The Andersons, Inc (ANDE) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $2.7B
The Andersons, Inc
ANDE · US
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price −9.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 27% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($59.73). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $23.50 – $79.24 · fair‑value band $35.84 – $59.73 · the $65.39 price screens above the $47.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
The Andersons, Inc (ANDE) currently trades at $65.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $47.78, implying the stock looks roughly 26.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, The Andersons, Inc generated revenue of $11.0B at a net margin of 1.2%. Revenue declined 1.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.9%. Net debt stands at $945M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $35.84 (bear case) to $59.73 (bull case); at $65.39, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 108% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -27%, ANDE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($53.65) versus Dividend Discount ($11.63). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
The Andersons, Inc. operates as an agriculture and renewable fuels company in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally. It operates through Agribusiness and Renewables segments. The Agribusiness segment sells commodities, such as corn, wheat, and soybeans.
Full company description
The Andersons, Inc. operates as an agriculture and renewable fuels company in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally. It operates through Agribusiness and Renewables segments. The Agribusiness segment sells commodities, such as corn, wheat, and soybeans. It also manufactures, distributes, and retails agricultural and related plant nutrients; and agricultural fertilizers. This segment also engages in the merchandising business, as well as offers logistics for physical commodities, such as whole grains, grain products, feed ingredients, domestic fuel products, and other agricultural commodities. The Renewables segment produces, purchases, sells, merchandises, and trades in ethanol, and co-products, as well as merchandises and trades in other biofuels, such as renewable feedstocks. The Andersons, Inc. was founded in 1947 and is based in Maumee, Ohio.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
The Andersons, Inc reported revenue of $11.0B in FY2025 versus $12.6B in FY2021, a compound −3.3%/yr. Reported net income was $95.7M in FY2025, compounding −2.1%/yr from FY2021.
ANDE screens 27% overvalued. Compare with Sysco Corporation →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- The Andersons, Inc. to Release Second Quarter Results on August 3
- Texas Capital Initiates Andersons (ANDE) at Buy, Highlights Exposure to Renewable Feedstocks
- The Andersons to Ring the Nasdaq Opening Bell on June 24, 2026
- The Andersons, Inc. Declares Cash Dividend for Third Quarter 2026
Peer Group
Food Distribution · 77 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Food Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sysco Corporation SYY | $81.69 | $60.58 | -26% |
| US Foods Holding USFD | $99.13 | $55.10 | -44% |
| Performance Food Group PFGC | $113.17 | $37.94 | -66% |
| Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A JMT | €17.68 | €21.59 | +22% |
| CP Axtra Public Company CPAXT | 14.90 THB | 17.04 THB | +14% |
| The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc CHEF | $95.79 | $37.27 | -61% |
| Olam Group VC2 | 1.33 SGD | 2.12 SGD | +59% |
| United Natural Foods, Inc UNFI | $50.19 | $6.00 | -88% |
| Metcash Limited MTS | A$2.92 | A$5.33 | +83% |
| Zhejiang Dongri Limited 600113 | ¥31.11 | ¥6.75 | -78% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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