The Andersons Inc (ANDE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what The Andersons Inc is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $2.7B · ISIN US0341641035
At a glance
TAThe Andersons IncANDE · US
Price$70.92
Fair Value$47.78
Upside−32.6%
Quality56/100
A solid business, but trading 48% above our fair value of $47.78.
As of Sep 7, 2026, the fair value of The Andersons Inc is $47.78 per share against a price of $70.92, so the fair value sits 33% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +6.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.2% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·1.11% dividend yield
!Trails peers (4/14)
!Narrow moat 31/100
!Weak on dividend: 22 out of 100
Evidence: HighRange $35.84 to $59.73
Fair value as of: Sep 7, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price +8.5% over the past month.
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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($59.73). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $23.50 – $80.87 · fair‑value band $35.84 – $59.73 · the $70.92 price screens above the $47.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 7, 2026.
The Andersons Inc (ANDE) currently trades at $70.92, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $47.78, implying the stock looks roughly 48.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $53.65 per share, and 1 of the 16 models we run sit above the $70.92 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $11.63, and 15 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, The Andersons Inc generated revenue of $11.0B at a net margin of 1.2%. Revenue declined 1.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.9%. Net debt stands at $945M. Fundamentals as of Sep 7, 2026
Scenario range: $35.84 (bear) to $59.73 (bull), the price of $70.92 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 125% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at −33%, ANDE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.05 per share) are deliberately not added.
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
ModelBear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence
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Key figures & financial health
P/E ratio18.9
P/S ratio0.16P/E × margin
EPS (TTM)$3.75price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.9
Dividend yield1.1%payout 20.9%
Net margin0.9%FY2025
Return on equity9.9%TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT)4.3%avg 5y
Operating margin0.6%TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM)$11.0BTTM
Revenue growth (YoY)−1.2%3y avg −14.0%
EPS growth (YoY)+115%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow−$56.1MFY2025
Net debt$945MFY2025
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality56/100
Of which business quality 54
· Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73
Profitability44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow31
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength47
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum65
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum89
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance85
Buybacks instead of dilution
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
The Andersons, Inc. operates as an agriculture and renewable fuels company in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally. It operates through Agribusiness and Renewables segments. The Agribusiness segment sells commodities, such as corn, wheat, and soybeans.
Full company description
The Andersons, Inc. operates as an agriculture and renewable fuels company in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally. It operates through Agribusiness and Renewables segments. The Agribusiness segment sells commodities, such as corn, wheat, and soybeans. It also manufactures, distributes, and retails agricultural and related plant nutrients; and agricultural fertilizers. This segment also engages in the merchandising business, as well as offers logistics for physical commodities, such as whole grains, grain products, feed ingredients, domestic fuel products, and other agricultural commodities. The Renewables segment produces, purchases, sells, merchandises, and trades in ethanol, and co-products, as well as merchandises and trades in other biofuels, such as renewable feedstocks. The Andersons, Inc. was founded in 1947 and is based in Maumee, Ohio.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
The Andersons Inc reported revenue of $11.0B in FY2025 versus $12.6B in FY2021, a compound −3.3%/yr. Reported net income was $95.7M in FY2025, compounding −2.1%/yr from FY2021.
Growth Quality 34/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$11.0B
Latest YoY
−2.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−14.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (30Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.0%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+39.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+38.0%
Dividend yield1.1%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 38.0% vs 10Y 2.8%, picking up
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.0.3% (2020) → 1.2% (2025) · steady
Worst earnings drop112% (2015) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in USD
Revenue−3.3%/yr
FY21$12.6B
FY22$17.3B
FY23$14.8B
FY24$11.3B
FY25$11.0B
Net income−2.1%/yr
FY21$104M
FY22$131M
FY23$101M
FY24$114M
FY25$95.7M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025)+3.9 % p.a.
Revenue per share+10.4 %
of which total revenue +12.7 % · buybacks/dilution −2.1 %
EBIT margin+12.2 %
Tax rate+2.2 %
Residual (interest, one-offs)−17.9 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
This stockSector peers
VALUE0· sector 15
FUTURE0· sector 12
PAST39· sector 32
HEALTH78· sector 94
DIVIDEND22· sector 56
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Food Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 7, 2026).
Is The Andersons Inc (ANDE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $47.78 versus a price of $70.92, about −33% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ANDE?
Our model-based fair value for The Andersons Inc is $47.78 (as of Sep 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $70.92.
What is the quality score of ANDE?
The Andersons Inc has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for The Andersons Inc (ANDE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $47.78 (as of Sep 7, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario $35.84, optimistic scenario $59.73. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the The Andersons Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $47.78, about −33% upside versus a price of $70.92 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $35.84, optimistic scenario $59.73. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of The Andersons Inc (ANDE)?
The Andersons Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $11.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 7, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ANDE?
The net profit margin of The Andersons Inc is about 1.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does The Andersons Inc pay a dividend?
The Andersons Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.11% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 7, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of The Andersons Inc (ANDE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For The Andersons Inc it is $47.78 per share (as of Sep 7, 2026), against a price of $70.92. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is The Andersons Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 7, 2026, ANDE trades above its calculated fair value: price $70.92, fair value $47.78, a gap of about −33% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ANDE?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($70.92); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($47.78). For The Andersons Inc the two are $23.14 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is The Andersons Inc worth?
The market values The Andersons Inc at about $2.7B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 7, 2026). Per share that is $70.92; our models calculate a fair value of $47.78 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ANDE?
Our models span a range for The Andersons Inc: cautious scenario $35.84, base $47.78, optimistic $59.73 per share (as of Sep 7, 2026, price $70.92). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ANDE?
The Andersons Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.9 (as of Sep 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $47.78 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.9, P/B 2.2, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 11.5.
What is the PEG ratio of ANDE?
The PEG ratio of The Andersons Inc is 0.89 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 7, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of The Andersons Inc (ANDE)?
Balance-sheet figures for The Andersons Inc (as of Sep 7, 2026): return on equity 9.9%, debt of 0.45 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ANDE from its 52-week high?
The Andersons Inc trades at $70.92, about 14% below its 52-week high of $82.11 and 125% above the low of $31.48 (as of Sep 7, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $47.78 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to The Andersons Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Sysco Corporation, US Foods Holding, Performance Food Group, Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is The Andersons Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 7, 2026: price $70.92, calculated fair value $47.78 (−33%), Quality Score 56/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ANDE calculated?
We run The Andersons Inc through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $47.78, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
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The Andersons Inc
ANDE · US