CP Axtra Public Company (CPAXT) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · TH · Market cap 155B THB
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price +2.0% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 14% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range (11.69 THB to 22.43 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from 11.69 THB (bear) to 22.43 THB (bull), base 17.04 THB. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 51/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (22 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
22‑month range 13.53 THB – 33.26 THB · fair‑value band 11.69 THB – 22.43 THB · the 15.00 THB price screens below the 17.04 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
CP Axtra Public Company (CPAXT) currently trades at 15.00 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 17.04 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 13.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, CP Axtra Public Company generated revenue of 524B THB at a net margin of 1.8%. Revenue grew 4.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.1%. Net debt stands at 98.3B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 11.69 THB (bear case) to 22.43 THB (bull case); at 15.00 THB, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at 14%, CPAXT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (19.24 THB) versus Growth DCF (2.61 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
CP Axtra Public Company Limited engages in the wholesale and retail businesses of food and non-food products in Thailand, Malaysia, and internationally. The company operates through the Wholesale and the Retail and Mall segments.
Full company description
CP Axtra Public Company Limited engages in the wholesale and retail businesses of food and non-food products in Thailand, Malaysia, and internationally. The company operates through the Wholesale and the Retail and Mall segments. It offers general consumer goods, including fresh food, dry goods, and non-food products under the Makro brand name through its online platform and wholesale stores. The company is also involved in the import and trade of food products; warehouse management; investment in commercial space management; production of raw and cooked protein products, dairy products, and other food related products; building rental and integrated logistics services; and operation of restaurants. In addition, it provides freight, delivery rental, and storage services, as well as technical and supporting services. The company was formerly known as Siam Makro Public Company Limited and changed its name to CP Axtra Public Company Limited in June 2023. The company was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
CP Axtra Public Company reported revenue of 518B THB in FY2025 versus 265B THB in FY2021, a compound +18.2%/yr. Reported net income was 9.4B THB in FY2025, compounding −8.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Food Distribution · 77 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Food Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sysco Corporation SYY | $81.69 | $60.58 | -26% |
| US Foods Holding USFD | $99.13 | $55.10 | -44% |
| Performance Food Group PFGC | $113.17 | $37.94 | -66% |
| Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A JMT | €17.68 | €21.59 | +22% |
| The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc CHEF | $95.79 | $37.27 | -61% |
| Olam Group VC2 | 1.33 SGD | 2.12 SGD | +59% |
| United Natural Foods, Inc UNFI | $50.19 | $6.00 | -88% |
| The Andersons, Inc ANDE | $79.24 | $47.78 | -40% |
| Metcash Limited MTS | A$2.92 | A$5.33 | +83% |
| Zhejiang Dongri Limited 600113 | ¥31.11 | ¥6.75 | -78% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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