Top Standard Corporation (8510) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$50.2M
Fair value as of: Aug 15, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 15, 2026, revised from HK$0.0100 to HK$0.0800 (+700.0%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price −23.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 48% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.0800 to HK$0.1600) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0710 – HK$1.33 · fair‑value band HK$0.0800 – HK$0.1600 · the HK$0.1540 price screens above the HK$0.0800 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.
Analysis
Top Standard Corporation (8510) currently trades at HK$0.1540, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0800, implying the stock looks roughly 48.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Top Standard Corporation generated revenue of HK$19.7M at a net margin of -5.1%. Revenue declined 0.2% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$3.5M. Fundamentals as of Aug 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0800 (bear case) to HK$0.1600 (bull case); at HK$0.1540, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 105% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -51% fair-value upside, at -48%, 8510 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$0.0300) versus DCF Models (HK$0.0300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Top Standard Corporation, an investment holding company, operates restaurants and bars in Hong Kong and Malaysia. The company operates through two segments, Catering Service and Online Sale of Wines.
Full company description
Top Standard Corporation, an investment holding company, operates restaurants and bars in Hong Kong and Malaysia. The company operates through two segments, Catering Service and Online Sale of Wines. It is involved in the operation of restaurants under the Miss J, Sushi Mew, Sushi Qubey, and Aori Ramen brands; sells wines online under the MOW brand; and club operation business. Top Standard Corporation was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Kowloon City, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Top Standard Corporation reported revenue of HK$19.7M in FY2026 versus HK$6.6M in FY2022, a compound +31.2%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$1.0M in FY2026.
8510 screens 48% overvalued. Compare with McDonald's Corporation →
Peer Group
Restaurants · 224 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| McDonald's Corporation MCDS | C$24.01 | C$10.84 | -55% |
| Starbucks Corporation SBUX | $108.49 | $35.83 | -67% |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG | $32.00 | $17.92 | -44% |
| Yum! Brands, Inc YUM | $150.34 | $58.17 | -61% |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR | C$104.50 | C$36.37 | -65% |
| Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI | $218.90 | $173.68 | -21% |
| Yum China Holdings YUMC | $47.90 | $54.27 | +13% |
| Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH | $214.28 | $104.89 | -51% |
| Dutch Bros Inc BROS | $51.02 | $12.80 | -75% |
| Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ | $353.72 | $227.31 | -36% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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