Ubot Holding Ltd (8529) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · HK · Market cap HK$185M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price +28.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 41% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.2805). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.1190 to HK$0.2805) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (2 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
26‑month range HK$0.1174 – HK$0.6704 · fair‑value band HK$0.1190 – HK$0.2805 · the HK$0.3000 price screens above the HK$0.1785 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Ubot Holding Ltd (8529) currently trades at HK$0.3000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1785, implying the stock looks roughly 40.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Ubot Holding Ltd generated revenue of HK$200M at a net margin of 6.4%. Revenue grew 31.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.3%. Net debt stands at HK$81.1M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1190 (bear case) to HK$0.2805 (bull case); at HK$0.3000, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high and 100% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -54% fair-value upside, at -41%, 8529 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$0.5200) versus Growth DCF (HK$0.0200). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Notify me when 8529 reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
UBoT Holding Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of back-end semiconductor transport media, micro-electro-mechanical-system (MEMS), and sensor packaging products. The company operates through Back-end Semiconductor Transport Media; and MEMS and Sensor Packaging segments.
Full company description
UBoT Holding Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of back-end semiconductor transport media, micro-electro-mechanical-system (MEMS), and sensor packaging products. The company operates through Back-end Semiconductor Transport Media; and MEMS and Sensor Packaging segments. The company offers tray and carrier tape that are primarily used for the protection of semiconductor devices, including power discrete semiconductor device, optoelectronic, integrated circuits (IC) and sensors, etc. It also provides promotion and marketing services; and technical and customer service support. The company serves fabless semiconductor enterprises, integrated device manufacturers, IC assembly, and packaging test providers. It operates in Hong Kong, the People's Republic of China, Southeast Asia, Taiwan, the United States, Europe, Korea, and Japan. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Tsuen Wan, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ubot Holding Ltd reported revenue of HK$200M in FY2025 versus HK$203M in FY2021, a compound −0.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$12.8M in FY2025, compounding −16.5%/yr from FY2021.
8529 screens 41% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →
Peer Group
Semiconductors · 323 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA Corporation NVDA | $217.50 | $98.98 | -54% |
| Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM | $429.15 | $291.42 | -32% |
| Broadcom Inc 1AVGO | €366.85 | €121.25 | -67% |
| Micron Technology, Inc ZMIC | C$43.68 | C$6.23 | -86% |
| SK hynix Inc 000660 | 1,504,000 KRW | 1,481,291 KRW | -2% |
| Advanced Micro Devices, Inc 1AMD | €428.20 | €56.33 | -87% |
| Intel Corporation INTC | C$54.79 | C$11.71 | -79% |
| MediaTek Inc 2454 | 4,015 TWD | 1,559 TWD | -61% |
| SK Square Co 402340 | 1,024,000 KRW | 1,204,862 KRW | +18% |
| GigaDevice Semiconductor Inc 3986 | HK$515.00 | HK$274.86 | -47% |
Compare Ubot Holding Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Technology stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Ubot Holding Ltd (8529) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 8529?
What is the quality score of 8529?
What is the revenue of Ubot Holding Ltd (8529)?
What is the net profit margin of 8529?
Does Ubot Holding Ltd pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Ubot Holding Ltd and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.