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Ying Hai Group Holdings Company Ltd (8668) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$148M

YH Ying Hai Group Holdings Company Ltd 8668 · HK
PriceHK$0.1210
Fair ValueHK$0.0200
Upside-83.5%
Quality49/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -12.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 0/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.0200 – HK$0.0300 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price −2.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 83% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0300). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.1820 HK$0.0720 Fair Value HK$0.0200 Jun 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0720 – HK$0.1820 · fair‑value band HK$0.0200 – HK$0.0300 · the HK$0.1210 price screens above the HK$0.0200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Ying Hai Group Holdings Company Ltd (8668) currently trades at HK$0.1210, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0200, implying the stock looks roughly 83.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Ying Hai Group Holdings Company Ltd generated revenue of HK$111M at a net margin of -12.2%. Revenue grew 5.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -78.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$3.0M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0200 (bear case) to HK$0.0300 (bull case); at HK$0.1210, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 66% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -28% fair-value upside, at -83%, 8668 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.0200 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0500 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.0200 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0600 74
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0100 HK$0.0100 50
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.0200 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0500 38
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.0200 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0500 39
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.0200 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0500 36
Multiples
EV/Revenue HK$0.0200 HK$0.0200 HK$0.0300 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0100 HK$0.0100 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.0200 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0500 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.0200 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0600 74

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$0.0300) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.0100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$111M
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.8%
Net margin -12.2%
Return on equity -78.8%
Free cash flow HK$1.8M FY2025
Operating margin -15.8%
More key figures
Net cash HK$3.0M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 22
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 57
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 62
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 63
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 73
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Ying Hai Group Holdings Company Limited, an investment holding company, operates as a licensed travel agent in Macau and Hong Kong. It operates through Travel Business, Vehicle Business, and Show and Event Business segments.

Full company description

Ying Hai Group Holdings Company Limited, an investment holding company, operates as a licensed travel agent in Macau and Hong Kong. It operates through Travel Business, Vehicle Business, and Show and Event Business segments. The Travel Business segment comprises the sale and distribution of hotel rooms, as well as the sale, distribution, and provision of air tickets and ancillary travel-related products. The Vehicle Business segment provides vehicle leasing and limousine services. The Show and Event Business segment sells show and event tickets, organizes shows and events, and provides related ancillary services. It also offers car rental, back-office, and entertainment and exhibition services. Ying Hai Group Holdings Company Limited was founded in 2014 and is based in Macau.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ying Hai Group Holdings Company Ltd reported revenue of HK$111M in FY2025 versus HK$14.6M in FY2021, a compound +66.2%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$13.6M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$111M
Latest YoY
+6.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+129.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+40.8%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.7%
Revenue +66.2%/yr
FY21 HK$14.6M
FY22 HK$9.3M
FY23 HK$94.7M
FY24 HK$105M
FY25 HK$111M
Net income
FY21 −HK$24.9M
FY22 −HK$12.1M
FY23 −HK$2.5M
FY24 −HK$9.5M
FY25 −HK$13.6M

8668 screens 83% overvalued. Compare with Booking Holdings →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ying Hai Group Holdings Company Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8668

Peer Group

Travel Services · 92 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −84% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -15% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -12% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -16% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.13× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Travel Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.80× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.17× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 10.3× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 25
FUTURE 29 · sector 27
PAST 0 · sector 35
HEALTH 94 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Travel Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Booking Holdings BKNG $212.26 $152.94 -28%
Airbnb, Inc ABNB $180.10 $85.66 -52%
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd RCL $307.15 $215.19 -30%
Viking Holdings VIK $104.19 $43.68 -58%
Carnival Corporation CCL $27.67 $31.36 +13%
Expedia Group EXPE $325.57 $248.63 -24%
Trip.com Group TCOM $45.58 $89.04 +95%
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings NCLH $18.92 $20.28 +7%
Global Business Travel Group GBTG $9.44 $5.04 -47%
Travel + Leisure Co TNL $74.68 $26.57 -64%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ying Hai Group Holdings Company Ltd (8668) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0200 versus a price of HK$0.1210, about −83% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8668?
Our model-based fair value for Ying Hai Group Holdings Company Ltd is HK$0.0200 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.1210.
What is the quality score of 8668?
Ying Hai Group Holdings Company Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ying Hai Group Holdings Company Ltd (8668)?
Ying Hai Group Holdings Company Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$111M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8668?
The net profit margin of Ying Hai Group Holdings Company Ltd is about -12.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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