Hsin Tai Gas Co (8917) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · TW · Market cap 8.6B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Share price −2.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 23% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (50.25 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 48.51 TWD – 80.25 TWD · fair‑value band 29.21 TWD – 50.25 TWD · the 52.50 TWD price screens above the 40.20 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
Analysis
Hsin Tai Gas Co (8917) currently trades at 52.50 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 40.20 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 23.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Hsin Tai Gas Co generated revenue of 3.1B TWD at a net margin of 12.2%. Revenue declined 3.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 536M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 29.21 TWD (bear case) to 50.25 TWD (bull case); at 52.50 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -19% fair-value upside, at -23%, 8917 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (44.97 TWD) versus Asset-Based (11.26 TWD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hsin Tai Gas Co., Ltd. engages in the sale of natural gas in Taiwan. It operates through Gas Sales, Installation, and Others segments. It also engages in the installation of gas supply equipment and pipelines; sale of gas meters; and leasing of office buildings. Hsin Tai Gas Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1986 and is based in New Taipei City, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hsin Tai Gas Co reported revenue of 3.1B TWD in FY2025 versus 2.3B TWD in FY2021, a compound +7.7%/yr. Reported net income was 363M TWD in FY2025, compounding +2.7%/yr from FY2021.
8917 screens 23% overvalued. Compare with Naturgy Energy Group →
Peer Group
Utilities - Regulated Gas · 104 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Naturgy Energy Group NTGY | €28.84 | €35.80 | +24% |
| Atmos Energy Corporation ATO | $177.68 | $85.67 | -52% |
| NiSource Inc NI | $47.07 | $28.59 | -39% |
| Uniper SE UN0 | €42.80 | €49.13 | +15% |
| The Hong Kong and China Gas Company 0003 | HK$7.03 | HK$5.08 | -28% |
| Italgas S.p.A IG | €9.98 | €8.11 | -19% |
| GAIL (India) Limited GAIL | ₹171.71 | ₹147.74 | -14% |
| Adani Total Gas Limited ATGL | ₹723.90 | ₹101.36 | -86% |
| ENN Natural Gas Co 600803 | ¥17.30 | ¥25.71 | +49% |
| UGI Corporation UGI | $35.84 | $27.13 | -24% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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