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Shanghai Shibei Hi-Tech Co (900902) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · CN · Market cap $298M

SS Shanghai Shibei Hi-Tech Co 900902 · SHG
Price$0.1630
Fair Value$0.3930
Upside+141.1%
Quality36/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -36.4% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 15/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.2760 – $0.5090 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 10 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 31, 2026, revised from $0.1264 to $0.3930 (+210.9%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +1.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 141% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (36/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.2760). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($0.2760 to $0.5090) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$0.3423 $0.1010 Fair Value $0.3930 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.1010 – $0.3423 · fair‑value band $0.2760 – $0.5090 · the $0.1630 price screens below the $0.3930 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.

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Analysis

Shanghai Shibei Hi-Tech Co (900902) currently trades at $0.1630, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.3930, implying the stock looks roughly 141.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai Shibei Hi-Tech Co generated revenue of $969M at a net margin of -36.4%. Revenue declined 35.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -5.1%. Net debt stands at $6.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.2760 (bear case) to $0.5090 (bull case); at $0.1630, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -2% fair-value upside, at 141%, 900902 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $1.05 $1.75 $2.27 70
DDM Multi-Stage $1.05 $1.66 $1.89 61
EV/EBITDA $0.0800 $0.9200 54
All 4 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.05 $1.75 $2.27 70
DDM Multi-Stage $1.05 $1.66 $1.89 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $0.0800 $0.9200 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.63 $2.18 $3.25 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($2.18) versus Multiples ($0.0800). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $969M
Revenue growth (YoY) -35.8%
Net margin -36.4%
Return on equity -5.1%
Free cash flow −$22.8M FY2025
Operating margin -1.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.0300
EPS growth (YoY) -65.4%
Net debt $6.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 3
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 12
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 30
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 30
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shanghai Shibei Hi-Tech Co.,Ltd. engages in the development and operation of real estate properties in China. The company develops and operates industrial parks, integrated enterprise services, and industrial investment in Shibei High-tech Park. It also engages in industrial investment incubation and industrial service integration businesses.

Full company description

Shanghai Shibei Hi-Tech Co.,Ltd. engages in the development and operation of real estate properties in China. The company develops and operates industrial parks, integrated enterprise services, and industrial investment in Shibei High-tech Park. It also engages in industrial investment incubation and industrial service integration businesses. The company was founded in 1991 and is based in Shanghai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shanghai Shibei Hi-Tech Co reported revenue of $1.1B in FY2025 versus $1.1B in FY2021, a compound −0.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$315M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.1B
Latest YoY
−57.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.8%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.0%
Revenue −0.3%/yr
FY21 $1.1B
FY22 $1.3B
FY23 $1.0B
FY24 $2.6B
FY25 $1.1B
Net income
FY21 $115M
FY22 $78.3M
FY23 −$178M
FY24 $30.5M
FY25 −$315M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanghai Shibei Hi-Tech Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/900902

Peer Group

Real Estate Services · 520 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +139% · Top 25%
Return on assets -0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -36% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -36% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 1.17× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.05× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.31× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 19.2× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 10
PAST 0 · sector 16
HEALTH 41 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC 223,000 VND 25,731 VND -88%
KE Holdings 2423 HK$44.76 HK$18.03 -60%
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$23.90 HK$18.75 -22%
Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA 3,725 CLP 5,571 CLP +50%
SAGAA SAGAA kr 170.00 kr 75.55 -56%
Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS 2,324 CLP 2,976 CLP +28%
PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR 372.00 IDR 1,208 IDR +225%
PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI 20,975 IDR 19,160 IDR -9%
PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK 3,530 IDR 3,464 IDR -2%
IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, IRSA 2,495 ARS 3,998 ARS +60%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shanghai Shibei Hi-Tech Co (900902) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.3930 versus a price of $0.1630, about +141% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 900902?
Our model-based fair value for Shanghai Shibei Hi-Tech Co is $0.3930 (as of Jul 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.1630.
What is the quality score of 900902?
Shanghai Shibei Hi-Tech Co has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shanghai Shibei Hi-Tech Co (900902)?
Shanghai Shibei Hi-Tech Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $969M (latest available figure, as of Jul 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 900902?
The net profit margin of Shanghai Shibei Hi-Tech Co is about -36.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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