Danhua Chemical Technology Co (900921) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap $168M
Fair value as of: Jul 29, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 12 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 29, 2026, revised from $0.0400 to $0.2800 (+600.0%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +15.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 47% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (35/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.2100). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.2100 to $0.4200) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0800 – $0.2890 · fair‑value band $0.2100 – $0.4200 · the $0.1900 price screens below the $0.2800 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.
Analysis
Danhua Chemical Technology Co (900921) currently trades at $0.1900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2800, implying the stock looks roughly 47.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Danhua Chemical Technology Co generated revenue of $871M at a net margin of -22.7%. Revenue grew 14.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -63.2%. Net debt stands at $26.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 29, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.2100 (bear case) to $0.4200 (bull case); at $0.1900, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at 47%, 900921 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($0.0400) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0300). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Danhua Chemical Technology Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of coal chemical products in China. The company's products include ethylene glycol and oxalic acid that are primarily used to manufacture polyester, polyester resin, desiccant, surfactant, plasticizer, synthetic fiber, cosmetics, and explosives.
Full company description
Danhua Chemical Technology Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of coal chemical products in China. The company's products include ethylene glycol and oxalic acid that are primarily used to manufacture polyester, polyester resin, desiccant, surfactant, plasticizer, synthetic fiber, cosmetics, and explosives. It also offers dehydrogenation catalysts, synthesis catalysts, and hydrogenation catalysts, as well as dimethyl oxalate, copper-palladium powder alloy, alloy material, activated carbon, and adsorbent and its derivatives. In addition, the company engages in the technology development, technology transfer, and technology consulting in the field of energy and chemical industry; production of plastic product; and material technology development, consulting, transfer, and promotion activities. The company was founded in 1993 and is based in Danyang, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Danhua Chemical Technology Co reported revenue of $826M in FY2025 versus $1.1B in FY2021, a compound −6.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$169M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Chemicals · 333 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 29, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BASF SE BASN | 1,034 MXN | 532.13 MXN | -49% |
| Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 | ¥20.32 | ¥20.17 | -1% |
| Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 | ¥42.85 | ¥23.35 | -46% |
| PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT | 1,690 IDR | 1,628 IDR | -4% |
| LG Chem, Ltd 051910 | 260,500 KRW | 587,755 KRW | +126% |
| Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 | 66.10 TWD | 6.79 TWD | -90% |
| PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC | 35.50 THB | 18.21 THB | -49% |
| 542812 542812 | ₹4,369 | ₹791.05 | -82% |
| Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL | 24.50 THB | 17.95 THB | -27% |
| Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR | ₹8,650 | ₹2,146 | -75% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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