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Danhua Chemical Technology Co (900921) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap $168M

DC Danhua Chemical Technology Co 900921 · SHG
Price$0.1900
Fair Value$0.2800
Upside+47.4%
Quality35/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -22.7% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 13/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.2100 – $0.4200 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 29, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 12 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 29, 2026, revised from $0.0400 to $0.2800 (+600.0%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +15.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 47% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (35/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.2100). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($0.2100 to $0.4200) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$0.2890 $0.0800 Fair Value $0.2800 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0800 – $0.2890 · fair‑value band $0.2100 – $0.4200 · the $0.1900 price screens below the $0.2800 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

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Analysis

Danhua Chemical Technology Co (900921) currently trades at $0.1900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2800, implying the stock looks roughly 47.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Danhua Chemical Technology Co generated revenue of $871M at a net margin of -22.7%. Revenue grew 14.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -63.2%. Net debt stands at $26.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.2100 (bear case) to $0.4200 (bull case); at $0.1900, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at 47%, 900921 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $0.0300 $0.0300 $0.0400 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0300 $0.0400 $0.0400 61
NCAV (Graham) $0.0300 $0.0400 $0.0600 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.0300 $0.0300 $0.0400 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0300 $0.0400 $0.0400 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0300 $0.0400 $0.0600 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($0.0400) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0300). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $871M
Revenue growth (YoY) +14.3%
Net margin -22.7%
Return on equity -63.2%
Free cash flow −$115M FY2025
Operating margin -2.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.0200
Net debt $26.9M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 8
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 8
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 57
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 66
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Danhua Chemical Technology Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of coal chemical products in China. The company's products include ethylene glycol and oxalic acid that are primarily used to manufacture polyester, polyester resin, desiccant, surfactant, plasticizer, synthetic fiber, cosmetics, and explosives.

Full company description

Danhua Chemical Technology Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of coal chemical products in China. The company's products include ethylene glycol and oxalic acid that are primarily used to manufacture polyester, polyester resin, desiccant, surfactant, plasticizer, synthetic fiber, cosmetics, and explosives. It also offers dehydrogenation catalysts, synthesis catalysts, and hydrogenation catalysts, as well as dimethyl oxalate, copper-palladium powder alloy, alloy material, activated carbon, and adsorbent and its derivatives. In addition, the company engages in the technology development, technology transfer, and technology consulting in the field of energy and chemical industry; production of plastic product; and material technology development, consulting, transfer, and promotion activities. The company was founded in 1993 and is based in Danyang, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Danhua Chemical Technology Co reported revenue of $826M in FY2025 versus $1.1B in FY2021, a compound −6.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$169M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 6/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$826M
Latest YoY
+7.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.1%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.7%
Revenue −6.6%/yr
FY21 $1.1B
FY22 $934M
FY23 $861M
FY24 $770M
FY25 $826M
Net income
FY21 −$104M
FY22 −$293M
FY23 −$393M
FY24 −$308M
FY25 −$169M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Danhua Chemical Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/900921

Peer Group

Chemicals · 333 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +47% · Top 25%
Return on assets -8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -23% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -3% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 14% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.63× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.63× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.19× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 97 · sector 0
FUTURE 72 · sector 20
PAST 0 · sector 19
HEALTH 69 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 27

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 29, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BASF SE BASN 1,034 MXN 532.13 MXN -49%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥20.32 ¥20.17 -1%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥42.85 ¥23.35 -46%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,690 IDR 1,628 IDR -4%
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 260,500 KRW 587,755 KRW +126%
Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 66.10 TWD 6.79 TWD -90%
PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC 35.50 THB 18.21 THB -49%
542812 542812 ₹4,369 ₹791.05 -82%
Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL 24.50 THB 17.95 THB -27%
Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR ₹8,650 ₹2,146 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Danhua Chemical Technology Co (900921) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2800 versus a price of $0.1900, about +47% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 900921?
Our model-based fair value for Danhua Chemical Technology Co is $0.2800 (as of Jul 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.1900.
What is the quality score of 900921?
Danhua Chemical Technology Co has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Danhua Chemical Technology Co (900921)?
Danhua Chemical Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $871M (latest available figure, as of Jul 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 900921?
The net profit margin of Danhua Chemical Technology Co is about -22.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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