Shanghai Bailian (Group) Co (900923) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap $988M
Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026 — revised from $8.36 to $0.4789 (−94.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +8.0% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $0.4834 – $0.6955 · fair‑value band $0.3595 – $0.4937 · the $0.5940 price screens above the $0.4789 fair value. As of Jul 7, 2026.
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Shanghai Bailian (Group) Co (900923) currently trades at $0.5940, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4789 — implying the stock looks roughly 19.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai Bailian (Group) Co generated revenue of $24.1B at a net margin of 5.1%. Revenue declined 8.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.5%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 5.5. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.3595 (bear case) to $0.4937 (bull case); at $0.5940, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 30% fair-value upside — at -19%, 900923 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Shanghai Bailian (Group) Co., Ltd. engages in retail business through department stores, supermarket chains, and specialty chains in China. The company was founded in 1993 and is based in Shanghai, China.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shanghai Bailian (Group) Co reported revenue of $24.8B in FY2025 versus $34.7B in FY2021, a compound −8.0%/yr. Reported net income was $631M in FY2025, compounding −4.3%/yr from FY2021.
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|---|---|---|---|
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| Dillard's, Inc DDS | $582.55 | $692.73 | +19% |
| El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A. LIVEPOL1 | 103.50 MXN | 208.41 MXN | +101% |
| Tokyu Corporation TOKUF | $12.17 | $15.84 | +30% |
| 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 | 3.58 MYR | 1.45 MYR | -59% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.