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CCOOP Group Co Ltd (000564) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of CCOOP Group Co Ltd ¥0.48, price ¥1.47, upside -67.4%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · CN · ISIN CNE0000003W0

CG Thin data Oct 4, 2026

CCOOP Group Co Ltd

000564 · SHE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

Low debt
Fair value ¥0.4800 · Strongly overvalued (−67.4%)
Quality 37/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −3.1 %/yr in CNY)
Loss-making · -88.8% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 6/100
Thin data

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥4.84 ¥0.8900 Fair Value ¥0.4800 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥0.8900 – ¥4.84 · fair‑value band ¥0.3600 – ¥0.7200 · the ¥1.47 price screens above the ¥0.4800 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Ccoop Group Co., Ltd engages in commercial operations, trade logistics, and commodity trading businesses in China. It is also involved in the businesses of department stores, supermarket chains, civil defense commercial projects, commercial real estate, centralized procurement and distribution centers, and supply chain.

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Ccoop Group Co., Ltd engages in commercial operations, trade logistics, and commodity trading businesses in China. It is also involved in the businesses of department stores, supermarket chains, civil defense commercial projects, commercial real estate, centralized procurement and distribution centers, and supply chain. The company was formerly known as Xi'an Minsheng Group Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Ccoop Group Co., Ltd in February 2017. Ccoop Group Co., Ltd was founded in 1959 and is based in Xi'an, China.

Stock analysis

CCOOP Group Co Ltd (000564) currently trades at ¥1.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.4800, 67.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 87/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: ¥0.3600 (bear) to ¥0.7200 (bull), the price of ¥1.47 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

CCOOP Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound +3.1%/yr. Reported net income was −1.7B CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 26.5B CNY (≈ $4.0B) · P/S ratio 14.3 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.0900 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin −88.6% · Return on equity −10.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.3% · Operating margin −10.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −6% fair-value upside, at −67%, 000564 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥0.3600 Fair Value ¥0.4800 Bull ¥0.7200
Price ¥1.47 · Upside -67.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.3900 ¥0.5300 ¥0.7900 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.3900 ¥0.5300 ¥0.7900 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 30
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 54
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 39
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 6/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+32.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −15.7% a year
Revenue growth 34 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−16.0% (2019) → −133.7% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

000564 screens overvalued: fair value 67% below the price. Compare with Falabella S.A →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Department Stores · 107 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −67.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −1.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −88.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −10.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 15.9% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.35× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.28× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 2.13× · Priciest 25%
PEG 0.22× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 39
FUTURE (revenue growth)80 · sector 4
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)83 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)15 · sector 41

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Falabella S.A FALABELLA 6,450 CLP 6,080 CLP −6%
Dillard's, Inc DDS $664.07 $568.06 −14%
99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 3.20 MYR 1.52 MYR −53%
Macy's, Inc M $22.73 $43.20 +90%
Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD 1,990 CLP 1,955 CLP −2%
Central Retail Corporation CRC 30.00 THB 20.89 THB −30%
Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM ₹103.50 ₹103.60 +0%
POYA International Co 5904 69.70 TWD 76.67 TWD +10%
SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 347,000 KRW 143,353 KRW −59%
Easyhome New Retail Group 000785 ¥2.30 ¥1.37 −40%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CCOOP Group Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000564

Frequently asked questions

Is CCOOP Group Co Ltd (000564) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.4800 versus a price of ¥1.47, about −67% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000564?
Our model-based fair value for CCOOP Group Co Ltd is ¥0.4800 (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥1.47.
What is the quality score of 000564?
CCOOP Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CCOOP Group Co Ltd (000564)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥0.4800 (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.3600, optimistic scenario ¥0.7200. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CCOOP Group Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥0.4800, about −67% upside versus a price of ¥1.47 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.3600, optimistic scenario ¥0.7200. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CCOOP Group Co Ltd (000564)?
CCOOP Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
Does CCOOP Group Co Ltd pay a dividend?
CCOOP Group Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.76% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of CCOOP Group Co Ltd (000564)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CCOOP Group Co Ltd it is ¥0.4800 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of ¥1.47. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CCOOP Group Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, 000564 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥1.47, fair value ¥0.4800, a gap of about −67% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 000564?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥1.47); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥0.4800). For CCOOP Group Co Ltd the two are ¥0.9900 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CCOOP Group Co Ltd worth?
The market values CCOOP Group Co Ltd at about 26.5B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is ¥1.47; our models calculate a fair value of ¥0.4800 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 000564?
Our models span a range for CCOOP Group Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.3600, base ¥0.4800, optimistic ¥0.7200 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price ¥1.47). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 000564?
The PEG ratio of CCOOP Group Co Ltd is 0.22 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 4, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of CCOOP Group Co Ltd (000564)?
Balance-sheet figures for CCOOP Group Co Ltd (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity −10.0%, debt of 0.35 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 000564 from its 52-week high?
CCOOP Group Co Ltd trades at ¥1.47, about 48% below its 52-week high of ¥2.84 and 13% above the low of ¥1.30 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥0.4800 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CCOOP Group Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Falabella S.A, Dillard's, Inc, 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings, Macy's, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CCOOP Group Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price ¥1.47, calculated fair value ¥0.4800 (−67%), Quality Score 37/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 000564 calculated?
We run CCOOP Group Co Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥0.4800, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. CCOOP Group Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CCOOP Group Co Ltd (000564)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was ¥1.47. Our model-based fair value is ¥0.4800, about −67% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CCOOP Group Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.7200). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥0.3600 to ¥0.7200) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of CCOOP Group Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of CCOOP Group Co Ltd (000564)?
The market capitalisation of CCOOP Group Co Ltd is 26.5B CNY (≈ $4.0B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CCOOP Group Co Ltd (000564)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CCOOP Group Co Ltd is 14.3 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of CCOOP Group Co Ltd (000564)?
Earnings per share at CCOOP Group Co Ltd are ¥−0.0900. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of CCOOP Group Co Ltd (000564)?
The dividend yield of CCOOP Group Co Ltd is 0.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of CCOOP Group Co Ltd (000564)?
The net margin of CCOOP Group Co Ltd is −88.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CCOOP Group Co Ltd (000564)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CCOOP Group Co Ltd is −10.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CCOOP Group Co Ltd (000564)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CCOOP Group Co Ltd is −4.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CCOOP Group Co Ltd (000564)?
The operating margin of CCOOP Group Co Ltd is −10.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CCOOP Group Co Ltd (000564)?
Revenue at CCOOP Group Co Ltd is growing +15.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CCOOP Group Co Ltd (000564)?
Earnings per share at CCOOP Group Co Ltd are growing +19.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does CCOOP Group Co Ltd (000564) generate?
The free cash flow of CCOOP Group Co Ltd is −773M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does CCOOP Group Co Ltd (000564) carry?
The net debt of CCOOP Group Co Ltd is 5.3B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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