National Building And Marketing Co (9510) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what National Building And Marketing Co is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 36.50 SAR – 457.40 SAR · fair‑value band 34.16 SAR – 41.20 SAR · the 48.20 SAR price screens above the 34.16 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
National Building and Marketing Co. engages in the wholesale and retail trade of construction materials in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
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National Building and Marketing Co. engages in the wholesale and retail trade of construction materials in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company offers a wide range of products, including ordinary and film-faced plywood, timber wood, scaffolding boards, wood blankets, rebar fabrication, wire mesh, rebar steel, epoxy steel bars, steel props, double couplers, scaffold caster wheels, shuttering clamps, water stops, PVC water stop splicing, backup rods, Sika-Flex sealant, saafseal, wheel spacers, chair and clip spacers, PVC pipes and cones, block reinforcement mesh, Hy-Rib lath, Rib-Lath, block ladder mesh, corrugated angles, nylon rolls, protection boards, geotextile fabric, and fiber mesh. It also provides PVC chamfers and tie wires, tie rods, wing nuts, water barrier flanges, washer plates, rapid clamps, angle and architrave beads, corner mesh, control joint and plaster stop beads, concrete and common nails, jute cloth, derma bits, Awazel, rockwool sheet insulation, filler glass, filler boards, wall insulation, floor and roof insulation, rockwool roll blankets, rockwool pipe insulation, sandwich panels, safety shoes, safety eyewear, respirators, fall protection products, safety helmets, working gloves, workwear, and reflective safety wear products. In addition, the company involved in general construction; real estate trading; real estate development; manufactures primary iron products, steel sheets, panels, strip coils, bars, skewers, angles, wires, and sections of all shapes. Further, it manufactures pipes, tubes, and hollow shapes of iron and steel, extending communication cables and network extensions; installs and extends computer and communication networks; provides wholesale infrastructure services; analyzing, systems, designing and programming special software; offers communications and information; and network management business. National Building and Marketing Co. was founded in 1990 and is based in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
National Building And Marketing Co (9510) currently trades at 48.20 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 34.16 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 41.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of 142.33 SAR per share, and 7 of the 17 models we run sit above the 48.20 SAR price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 13.83 SAR, and 10 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 34.16 SAR (bear) to 41.20 SAR (bull), the price of 48.20 SAR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
National Building And Marketing Co reported revenue of 857M SAR in FY2025 versus 678M SAR in FY2021, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was 10.5M SAR in FY2025, compounding −38.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 569M SAR (≈ $152M) · P/E ratio 54.2 · P/S ratio 0.66 · EPS (TTM) 0.8900 SAR · Net margin 1.2% · Return on equity 3.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.9% · Operating margin 6.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 69% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −29%, 9510 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 34.16 SARFair Value 34.16 SARBull 41.20 SAR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.6267 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.5%
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+19.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+19.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−19% vs −36%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 8%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 22.4%/yr over ~8Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Compare National Building And Marketing Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 407 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−30% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3% · Below median
Return on assets3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.13× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)54.2× · Priciest 25%
P/B0.36× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.15× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA1.5× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 13
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 2
PAST (return on equity)12· sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)93· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 47
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "National Building And Marketing Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9510
Frequently asked questions
Is National Building And Marketing Co (9510) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 34.16 SAR versus a price of 48.20 SAR, about −29% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 9510?
Our model-based fair value for National Building And Marketing Co is 34.16 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 48.20 SAR.
What is the quality score of 9510?
National Building And Marketing Co has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for National Building And Marketing Co (9510)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 34.16 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario 34.16 SAR, optimistic scenario 41.20 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the National Building And Marketing Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 34.16 SAR, about −29% upside versus a price of 48.20 SAR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 34.16 SAR, optimistic scenario 41.20 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of National Building And Marketing Co (9510)?
National Building And Marketing Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 857M SAR (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of National Building And Marketing Co (9510)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For National Building And Marketing Co it is 34.16 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 48.20 SAR. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is National Building And Marketing Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 9510 trades above its calculated fair value: price 48.20 SAR, fair value 34.16 SAR, a gap of about −29% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9510?
No. The price is what the market pays today (48.20 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (34.16 SAR). For National Building And Marketing Co the two are 14.04 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is National Building And Marketing Co worth?
The market values National Building And Marketing Co at about 569M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 48.20 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 34.16 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9510?
Our models span a range for National Building And Marketing Co: cautious scenario 34.16 SAR, base 34.16 SAR, optimistic 41.20 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 48.20 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 9510?
National Building And Marketing Co trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 54.2 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 34.16 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.4, P/S 0.1, EV/EBITDA 1.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of National Building And Marketing Co (9510)?
Balance-sheet figures for National Building And Marketing Co (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 3.0%, debt of 0.13 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 9510 from its 52-week high?
National Building And Marketing Co trades at 48.20 SAR, about 69% below its 52-week high of 155.00 SAR and 33% above the low of 36.14 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 34.16 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to National Building And Marketing Co?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, ArcelorMittal S.A, JSW Steel Limited, Steel Dynamics, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is National Building And Marketing Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 48.20 SAR, calculated fair value 34.16 SAR (−29%), Quality Score 35/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9510 calculated?
We run National Building And Marketing Co through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 34.16 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. National Building And Marketing Co itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with National Building And Marketing Co right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (41.20 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Key figures of National Building And Marketing Co
How large is the market capitalisation of National Building And Marketing Co (9510)?
The market capitalisation of National Building And Marketing Co is 569M SAR (≈ $152M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of National Building And Marketing Co (9510)?
The price-to-sales ratio of National Building And Marketing Co is 0.66 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of National Building And Marketing Co (9510)?
Earnings per share at National Building And Marketing Co are 0.8900 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 54.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of National Building And Marketing Co (9510)?
The net margin of National Building And Marketing Co is 1.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of National Building And Marketing Co (9510)?
The return on equity (ROE) of National Building And Marketing Co is 3.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of National Building And Marketing Co (9510)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of National Building And Marketing Co is 7.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of National Building And Marketing Co (9510)?
The operating margin of National Building And Marketing Co is 6.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at National Building And Marketing Co (9510)?
Revenue at National Building And Marketing Co is growing −5.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at National Building And Marketing Co (9510)?
Earnings per share at National Building And Marketing Co are growing −88.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does National Building And Marketing Co (9510) generate?
The free cash flow of National Building And Marketing Co is −8.9M SAR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does National Building And Marketing Co (9510) carry?
The net debt of National Building And Marketing Co is 542M SAR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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