9510 Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · Market cap 475M SAR
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated today
Share price −9.0% over the past month.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (19.65 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 36.50 SAR – 145.00 SAR · fair‑value band 13.03 SAR – 19.65 SAR · the 39.60 SAR price screens above the 19.65 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.
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9510 (9510) currently trades at 39.60 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 19.65 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 50.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, 9510 generated revenue of 857M SAR at a net margin of 1.2%. Revenue declined 5.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.0%. Net debt stands at 542M SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 13.03 SAR (bear case) to 19.65 SAR (bull case); at 39.60 SAR, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 74% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -36% fair-value upside, at -50%, 9510 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
9510 reported revenue of 857M SAR in FY2025 versus 678M SAR in FY2021, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was 10.5M SAR in FY2025, compounding −38.5%/yr from FY2021.
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Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nucor Corporation N1UE34 | R$100.10 | R$12.76 | -87% |
| ArcelorMittal S.A ARMT34 | R$172.80 | R$119.18 | -31% |
| JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL | ₹1,270 | ₹1,007 | -21% |
| Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL | ₹206.77 | ₹131.96 | -36% |
| Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 | ¥5.75 | ¥8.07 | +40% |
| China Steel Corporation 2002A | 38.25 TWD | 9.37 TWD | -76% |
| POSCO Holdings 005490 | 346,500 KRW | 155,270 KRW | -55% |
| Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID | 13,670 ARS | 14,537 ARS | +6% |
| Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL | ₹1,121 | ₹410.48 | -63% |
| Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME | ₹1,786 | ₹1,099 | -38% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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