Saudi Top Trading Co. (9552) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Saudi Top Trading Co. is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
45‑month range 4.99 SAR – 10.00 SAR · fair‑value band 1.65 SAR – 2.95 SAR · the 9.70 SAR price screens above the 2.35 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Saudi Top for Trading Company engages in the manufacture and trade of plastic materials in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Europe. The company operates in two segments, Trading and Industrial.
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Saudi Top for Trading Company engages in the manufacture and trade of plastic materials in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Europe. The company operates in two segments, Trading and Industrial. It offers industrial waxes, compounding solutions, high- and low-density polyethylene, polyethylene terephthalate, styrene acrylonitrile, acrylonitrile butadiene styrene, polymethyl methacrylate, polypropylene, synthetic fibers, nylon, ethylene vinyl acetate, ethylene propylene diene monomer, bisphenol A, polyAI, and rubber. The company also provides industrial thread, painting and coloring material, and industrial solvents. In addition, it sells tools and plastic materials, including bags. Further, the company provides logistics, construction, and packaging solutions. Saudi Top for Trading Company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
Saudi Top Trading Co. (9552) currently trades at 9.70 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.35 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 312.7% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 4.11 SAR per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the 9.70 SAR price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 0.9800 SAR, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 1.65 SAR (bear) to 2.95 SAR (bull), the price of 9.70 SAR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Saudi Top Trading Co. reported revenue of 166M SAR in FY2025 versus 192M SAR in FY2021, a compound −3.6%/yr. Reported net income was 9.7M SAR in FY2025, compounding −13.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 391M SAR (≈ $104M) · P/E ratio 48.5 · P/S ratio 2.83 · EPS (TTM) 0.2000 SAR · Net margin 5.8% · Return on equity 10.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.6% · Operating margin 5.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades near its 52-week high and 55% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −47% fair-value upside, at −76%, 9552 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 1.65 SARFair Value 2.35 SARBull 2.95 SAR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.1690 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.6%
’20
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’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
−13.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−13.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 7%
2025 sits 86% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 706 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Above median
Fair Value upside−63% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)11% · Above median
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−13% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.14× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)48.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.45× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)0.68× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA6.9× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 21
PAST (return on equity)43· sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)93· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 29
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Saudi Top Trading Co. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9552
Frequently asked questions
Is Saudi Top Trading Co. (9552) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.35 SAR versus a price of 9.70 SAR, about −76% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 9552?
Our model-based fair value for Saudi Top Trading Co. is 2.35 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 9.70 SAR.
What is the quality score of 9552?
Saudi Top Trading Co. has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Saudi Top Trading Co. (9552)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2.35 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.65 SAR, optimistic scenario 2.95 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Saudi Top Trading Co. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2.35 SAR, about −76% upside versus a price of 9.70 SAR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1.65 SAR, optimistic scenario 2.95 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Saudi Top Trading Co. (9552)?
Saudi Top Trading Co. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 166M SAR (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Saudi Top Trading Co. (9552)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Saudi Top Trading Co. it is 2.35 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 9.70 SAR. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Saudi Top Trading Co. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 9552 trades above its calculated fair value: price 9.70 SAR, fair value 2.35 SAR, a gap of about −76% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9552?
No. The price is what the market pays today (9.70 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2.35 SAR). For Saudi Top Trading Co. the two are 7.35 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Saudi Top Trading Co. worth?
The market values Saudi Top Trading Co. at about 391M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 9.70 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 2.35 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9552?
Our models span a range for Saudi Top Trading Co. : cautious scenario 1.65 SAR, base 2.35 SAR, optimistic 2.95 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 9.70 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 9552?
Saudi Top Trading Co. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 48.5 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 2.35 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 6.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Saudi Top Trading Co. (9552)?
Balance-sheet figures for Saudi Top Trading Co. (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 10.8%, debt of 0.14 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 9552 from its 52-week high?
Saudi Top Trading Co. trades at 9.70 SAR, about 26% below its 52-week high of 7.70 SAR and 55% above the low of 6.25 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2.35 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Saudi Top Trading Co. ?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Saudi Top Trading Co. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 9.70 SAR, calculated fair value 2.35 SAR (−76%), Quality Score 54/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9552 calculated?
We run Saudi Top Trading Co. through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 2.35 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Saudi Top Trading Co. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Saudi Top Trading Co. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (2.95 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Saudi Top Trading Co.
How large is the market capitalisation of Saudi Top Trading Co. (9552)?
The market capitalisation of Saudi Top Trading Co. is 391M SAR (≈ $104M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Saudi Top Trading Co. (9552)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Saudi Top Trading Co. is 2.83 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Saudi Top Trading Co. (9552)?
Earnings per share at Saudi Top Trading Co. are 0.2000 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 48.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Saudi Top Trading Co. (9552)?
The net margin of Saudi Top Trading Co. is 5.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Saudi Top Trading Co. (9552)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Saudi Top Trading Co. is 10.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Saudi Top Trading Co. (9552)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Saudi Top Trading Co. is 12.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Saudi Top Trading Co. (9552)?
The operating margin of Saudi Top Trading Co. is 5.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Saudi Top Trading Co. (9552)?
Revenue at Saudi Top Trading Co. is growing −12.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Saudi Top Trading Co. (9552)?
Earnings per share at Saudi Top Trading Co. are growing −33.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Saudi Top Trading Co. (9552) generate?
The free cash flow of Saudi Top Trading Co. is −6.2M SAR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Saudi Top Trading Co. (9552) carry?
The net debt of Saudi Top Trading Co. is 17.5M SAR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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