9553 Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · Market cap 24.2M SAR
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated today
Share price −17.3% over the past month.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.7200 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (0.1000 SAR to 0.7200 SAR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 0.9100 SAR – 2.23 SAR · fair‑value band 0.1000 SAR – 0.7200 SAR · the 0.9100 SAR price screens above the 0.4100 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.
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9553 (9553) currently trades at 0.9100 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.4100 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 55.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, 9553 generated revenue of 60.9M SAR at a net margin of -35.8%. Revenue declined 40.5% year over year. Net debt stands at 16.4M SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.1000 SAR (bear case) to 0.7200 SAR (bull case); at 0.9100 SAR, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -31% fair-value upside, at -55%, 9553 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
9553 reported revenue of 60.9M SAR in FY2025 versus 48.2M SAR in FY2021, a compound +6.1%/yr. Reported net income was −21.8M SAR in FY2025.
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Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nucor Corporation N1UE34 | R$103.95 | R$9.67 | -91% |
| ArcelorMittal S.A ARMT34 | R$172.80 | R$119.18 | -31% |
| JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL | ₹1,282 | ₹1,113 | -13% |
| Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL | ₹206.77 | ₹131.96 | -36% |
| Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 | ¥5.75 | ¥8.07 | +40% |
| POSCO Holdings 005490 | 390,000 KRW | 106,072 KRW | -73% |
| Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID | 13,670 ARS | 14,537 ARS | +6% |
| Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL | ₹1,132 | ₹516.27 | -54% |
| Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME | ₹1,786 | ₹1,099 | -38% |
| SSAB AB SSABA | kr 95.34 | kr 70.89 | -26% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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