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9553 Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · Market cap 24.2M SAR

9 9553 9553 · SR
Price0.9100 SAR
Fair Value0.4100 SAR
Upside-55.0%
Quality28/100
Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -35.8% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (1/11)
Narrow moat 0/100
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Evidence: Low Range 0.1000 SAR – 0.7200 SAR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated today

Share price −17.3% over the past month.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.7200 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide (0.1000 SAR to 0.7200 SAR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

2.23 SAR 0.9100 SAR Fair Value 0.4100 SAR Aug 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range 0.9100 SAR – 2.23 SAR · fair‑value band 0.1000 SAR – 0.7200 SAR · the 0.9100 SAR price screens above the 0.4100 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.

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Analysis

9553 (9553) currently trades at 0.9100 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.4100 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 55.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, 9553 generated revenue of 60.9M SAR at a net margin of -35.8%. Revenue declined 40.5% year over year. Net debt stands at 16.4M SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.1000 SAR (bear case) to 0.7200 SAR (bull case); at 0.9100 SAR, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -31% fair-value upside, at -55%, 9553 screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 60.9M SAR
Revenue growth (YoY) -40.5%
Net margin -35.8%
Return on equity -181%
Free cash flow 2.1M SAR FY2025
Operating margin -33.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -0.8200 SAR
Net debt 16.4M SAR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 28/100
Profitability 21
Quality Growth 25
Cashflow 51
Fin. Strength 1
Investment 100
Low Volatility 50
Momentum 8
52W Momentum 0
Net Issuance 48

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

9553 reported revenue of 60.9M SAR in FY2025 versus 48.2M SAR in FY2021, a compound +6.1%/yr. Reported net income was −21.8M SAR in FY2025.

Revenue +6.1%/yr
FY21 48.2M SAR
FY22 84.6M SAR
FY23 89.7M SAR
FY24 86.4M SAR
FY25 60.9M SAR
Net income
FY21 4.2M SAR
FY22 −761K SAR
FY23 −4.8M SAR
FY24 −7.1M SAR
FY25 −21.8M SAR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "9553 Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9553

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nucor Corporation N1UE34 R$103.95 R$9.67 -91%
ArcelorMittal S.A ARMT34 R$172.80 R$119.18 -31%
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,282 ₹1,113 -13%
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹206.77 ₹131.96 -36%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.75 ¥8.07 +40%
POSCO Holdings 005490 390,000 KRW 106,072 KRW -73%
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID 13,670 ARS 14,537 ARS +6%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,132 ₹516.27 -54%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,786 ₹1,099 -38%
SSAB AB SSABA kr 95.34 kr 70.89 -26%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 9553 overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.4100 SAR versus a price of 0.9100 SAR, about −55% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 9553?
Our model-based fair value for 9553 is 0.4100 SAR (as of Jul 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.9100 SAR.
What is the quality score of 9553?
9553 has a Quality Score of 28/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of 9553?
9553 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 60.9M SAR (latest available figure, as of Jul 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 9553?
The net profit margin of 9553 is about -35.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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