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Ghida Al-Sultan Company (9567) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · SA · Market cap 54.5M SAR

GA Ghida Al-Sultan Company 9567 · SR
Price17.02 SAR
Fair Value12.27 SAR
Upside-27.9%
Quality40/100
Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 1.0% net margin
generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 16/100
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Evidence: High Range 11.38 SAR – 14.56 SAR Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 1, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Share price −8.2% over the past month.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (14.56 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

38.00 SAR 17.02 SAR Fair Value 12.27 SAR Aug 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range 17.02 SAR – 38.00 SAR · fair‑value band 11.38 SAR – 14.56 SAR · the 17.02 SAR price screens above the 12.27 SAR fair value. As of Aug 1, 2026.

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Analysis

Ghida Al-Sultan Company (9567) currently trades at 17.02 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 12.27 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 27.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Ghida Al-Sultan Company generated revenue of 209M SAR at a net margin of 1.0%. Revenue grew 8.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.2%. Net debt stands at 13.5M SAR. Fundamentals as of Aug 1, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 11.38 SAR (bear case) to 14.56 SAR (bull case); at 17.02 SAR, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -28%, 9567 screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 209M SAR
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.8%
Net margin 1.0%
Return on equity 3.2%
Free cash flow 16.6M SAR FY2025
P/E ratio 27.0
More key figures
Operating margin -2.3%
EPS (TTM) 0.6300 SAR
EPS growth (YoY) -42.5%
Net debt 13.5M SAR FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 1, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100
Profitability 51
Quality Growth 25
Cashflow 61
Fin. Strength 50
Investment 57
Low Volatility 67
Momentum 8
52W Momentum 2
Net Issuance 81

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Ghida Al-Sultan Company engages in the sells fast food and manages restaurants in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It offers burgers under the Sultan Delight Burger and Foil burger brands; pizzas; and crispy chicken under TNDR Tender brand. The company provides fast food, including pizza, and produces, cuts, prepares, and packages fresh meat and poultry.

Full company description

Ghida Al-Sultan Company engages in the sells fast food and manages restaurants in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It offers burgers under the Sultan Delight Burger and Foil burger brands; pizzas; and crispy chicken under TNDR Tender brand. The company provides fast food, including pizza, and produces, cuts, prepares, and packages fresh meat and poultry. It is also involved in franchise business. Ghida Al-Sultan Company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Jeddah, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ghida Al-Sultan Company reported revenue of 209M SAR in FY2025 versus 107M SAR in FY2021, a compound +18.2%/yr. Reported net income was 2.0M SAR in FY2025, compounding −39.7%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +18.2%/yr
FY21 107M SAR
FY22 146M SAR
FY23 166M SAR
FY24 182M SAR
FY25 209M SAR
Net income −39.7%/yr
FY21 15.3M SAR
FY22 19.5M SAR
FY23 8.0M SAR
FY24 6.1M SAR
FY25 2.0M SAR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ghida Al-Sultan Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9567

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 / 22
FUTURE 44 / 19
PAST 13 / 16
HEALTH 0 / 97
DIVIDEND 0 / 58

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 1, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
McDonald's Corporation MCDS C$24.01 C$10.84 -55%
Starbucks Corporation SRB €88.72 €35.83 -60%
Compass Group CMPGF $32.59 $24.90 -24%
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG $28.18 $14.95 -47%
Yum! Brands, Inc YUM $150.74 $59.42 -61%
Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR C$102.19 C$59.96 -41%
Restaurant Brands International Limited RSTRF $72.33 $39.04 -46%
Darden Restaurants, Inc D1RI34 R$263.92 R$39.74 -85%
Yum China Holdings YUMC $42.88 $41.58 -3%
Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH $179.77 $128.38 -29%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ghida Al-Sultan Company (9567) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 12.27 SAR versus a price of 17.02 SAR, about −28% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 9567?
Our model-based fair value for Ghida Al-Sultan Company is 12.27 SAR (as of Aug 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 17.02 SAR.
What is the quality score of 9567?
Ghida Al-Sultan Company has a Quality Score of 40/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Ghida Al-Sultan Company (9567)?
Ghida Al-Sultan Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 209M SAR (latest available figure, as of Aug 1, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 9567?
The net profit margin of Ghida Al-Sultan Company is about 1.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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