Ghida Al-Sultan Company (9567) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 29, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Ghida Al-Sultan Company stock SAR 16.26, price SAR 15.50, upside +4.9%, quality 52 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
42‑month range 13.00 SAR – 81.00 SAR · fair‑value band 11.38 SAR – 21.13 SAR · the 15.50 SAR price screens below the 16.26 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 29, 2026.
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Ghida Al-Sultan Company engages in the sells fast food and manages restaurants in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It offers burgers under the Sultan Delight Burger and Foil burger brands; pizzas; and crispy chicken under TNDR Tender brand.
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The company provides fast food, including pizza, and produces, cuts, prepares, and packages fresh meat and poultry. It is also involved in franchise business. Ghida Al-Sultan Company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Jeddah, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
Ghida Al-Sultan Company (9567) currently trades at 15.50 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 16.26 SAR, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 4.7%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 72.08 SAR per share, and 14 of the 24 models we run sit above the 15.50 SAR price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 9.69 SAR, and 10 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 11.38 SAR (bear) to 21.13 SAR (bull), the price of 15.50 SAR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Ghida Al-Sultan Company reported revenue of 209M SAR in FY2025 versus 107M SAR in FY2021, a compound +18.2%/yr. Reported net income was 2.0M SAR in FY2025, compounding −39.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 49.6M SAR (≈ $13.2M) Micro · P/E ratio 24.6 · P/S ratio 0.24 · EPS (TTM) 0.6300 SAR · Net margin 0.2% · Return on equity 0.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.8% · Operating margin 3.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 30 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at 5%, 9567 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear11.38 SARFair Value 16.26 SARBull21.13 SAR
Price 15.50 SAR · Upside +4.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.5247 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.85/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+15.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−25.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−25.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 1%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−28.2%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Saudi Arabia: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −29.6% a year for the price.
Compare Ghida Al-Sultan Company with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Restaurants · 209 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Below median
Fair Value upside+4.9% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)0.8% · Below median
Return on assets1.3% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)0.2% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)3.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−3.5% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ghida Al-Sultan Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9567
Frequently asked questions
Is Ghida Al-Sultan Company (9567) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 16.26 SAR versus a price of 15.50 SAR, about +5% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 9567?
Our model-based fair value for Ghida Al-Sultan Company is 16.26 SAR (as of Oct 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 15.50 SAR.
What is the quality score of 9567?
Ghida Al-Sultan Company has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ghida Al-Sultan Company (9567)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 16.26 SAR (as of Oct 29, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 11.38 SAR, optimistic scenario 21.13 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ghida Al-Sultan Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 16.26 SAR, about +5% upside versus a price of 15.50 SAR (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 11.38 SAR, optimistic scenario 21.13 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ghida Al-Sultan Company (9567)?
Ghida Al-Sultan Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 205M SAR (latest available figure, as of Oct 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into Ghida Al-Sultan Company (9567)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ghida Al-Sultan Company would have to grow free cash flow by -28.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +26.5 % per year. As of Oct 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 9567 use?
Our models discount Ghida Al-Sultan Company at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Saudi Arabia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ghida Al-Sultan Company that is -28.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ghida Al-Sultan Company (9567) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Ghida Al-Sultan Company grew +26.5 % a year. The price currently implies -28.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ghida Al-Sultan Company (9567) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ghida Al-Sultan Company (-28.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ghida Al-Sultan Company (9567)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 33.52 %: that much free cash flow Ghida Al-Sultan Company produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ghida Al-Sultan Company (9567)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ghida Al-Sultan Company it is 16.26 SAR per share (as of Oct 29, 2026), against a price of 15.50 SAR. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ghida Al-Sultan Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 29, 2026, 9567 trades below its calculated fair value: price 15.50 SAR, fair value 16.26 SAR, a gap of about +5% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9567?
No. The price is what the market pays today (15.50 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (16.26 SAR). For Ghida Al-Sultan Company the two are 0.7600 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ghida Al-Sultan Company worth?
The market values Ghida Al-Sultan Company at about 49.6M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 29, 2026). Per share that is 15.50 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 16.26 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9567?
Our models span a range for Ghida Al-Sultan Company: cautious scenario 11.38 SAR, base 16.26 SAR, optimistic 21.13 SAR per share (as of Oct 29, 2026, price 15.50 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 9567?
Ghida Al-Sultan Company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 24.6 (as of Oct 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 16.26 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.2, P/S 0.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ghida Al-Sultan Company (9567)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ghida Al-Sultan Company (as of Oct 29, 2026): return on equity 0.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 9567 from its 52-week high?
Ghida Al-Sultan Company trades at 15.50 SAR, about 52% below its 52-week high of 32.12 SAR and 19% above the low of 13.00 SAR (as of Oct 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 16.26 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ghida Al-Sultan Company?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value McDonald's Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, Yum! Brands, Inc, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ghida Al-Sultan Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 29, 2026: price 15.50 SAR, calculated fair value 16.26 SAR (+5%), Quality Score 52/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9567 calculated?
We run Ghida Al-Sultan Company through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 16.26 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Ghida Al-Sultan Company currently trades 5 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ghida Al-Sultan Company (9567)?
The closing price on Oct 29, 2026 was 15.50 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 16.26 SAR, about +5% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ghida Al-Sultan Company right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (11.38 SAR to 21.13 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Ghida Al-Sultan Company
How large is the market capitalisation of Ghida Al-Sultan Company (9567)?
The market capitalisation of Ghida Al-Sultan Company is 49.6M SAR (≈ $13.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ghida Al-Sultan Company (9567)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ghida Al-Sultan Company is 0.24 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ghida Al-Sultan Company (9567)?
Earnings per share at Ghida Al-Sultan Company are 0.6300 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 24.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Ghida Al-Sultan Company (9567)?
The net margin of Ghida Al-Sultan Company is 0.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ghida Al-Sultan Company (9567)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ghida Al-Sultan Company is 0.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ghida Al-Sultan Company (9567)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ghida Al-Sultan Company is 11.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ghida Al-Sultan Company (9567)?
The operating margin of Ghida Al-Sultan Company is 3.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ghida Al-Sultan Company (9567)?
Revenue at Ghida Al-Sultan Company is growing −3.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +12.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ghida Al-Sultan Company (9567)?
Earnings per share at Ghida Al-Sultan Company are growing −36.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Ghida Al-Sultan Company (9567) carry?
The net debt of Ghida Al-Sultan Company is 13.5M SAR (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 0.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Oct 29, 2026