Arabica Star Company establishes and (9617) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 27, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Arabica Star Company establishes and stock SAR 14.54, price SAR 24.93, upside -41.7%, quality 19 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value 30%+ above price?No
Quality 50+?No
In an uptrend?Unknown
Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with oneYes, for free
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
11‑month range 22.00 SAR – 41.16 SAR · fair‑value band 11.28 SAR – 20.20 SAR · the 24.93 SAR price screens above the 14.54 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 24, 2026.
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Arabica Star Company establishes and operates coffee shops under the Arabica Star brand in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company also engages in restaurants with service, mobile food trucks, food service, ice cream shops, fresh juices, cold drinks, and food products.
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In addition, the company offers beverages and healthy snacks. Arabica Star Company was founded in 2004 and is based in Buraydah, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
Arabica Star Company establishes and (9617) currently trades at 24.93 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 14.54 SAR, 41.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 84.74 SAR per share, and 3 of the 8 models we run sit above the 24.93 SAR price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at 16.84 SAR, and 5 of the 8 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 11.28 SAR (bear) to 20.20 SAR (bull), the price of 24.93 SAR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 19/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Arabica Star Company establishes and reported revenue of 50.1M SAR in FY2025 versus 55.0M SAR in FY2022, a compound −3.1%/yr. Reported net income was −3.1M SAR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 34.3M SAR (≈ $9.1M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.62 · EPS (TTM) −1.90 SAR · Net margin −5.0% · Return on equity −7.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.0% · Operating margin 3.0% · Revenue (TTM) 52.3M SAR.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 20 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −42%, 9617 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear11.28 SARFair Value 14.54 SARBull20.20 SAR
Price 24.93 SAR · Upside -41.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF12.83 SAR16.84 SAR23.76 SAR76
Growth DCF13.27 SAR17.10 SAR23.20 SAR73
5Y Revenue Exit6.87 SAR8.00 SAR9.60 SAR68
All 8 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF12.83 SAR16.84 SAR23.76 SAR76
5Y Revenue Exit6.87 SAR8.00 SAR9.60 SAR68
5Y EBITDA Exit41.38 SAR67.70 SAR102.54 SAR68
10Y Revenue Exit9.28 SAR10.32 SAR11.27 SAR63
10Y EBITDA Exit29.10 SAR45.14 SAR62.71 SAR63
Multiples
EV/EBITDA60.86 SAR84.74 SAR108.63 SAR64
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)13.10 SAR17.55 SAR26.19 SAR51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF13.27 SAR17.10 SAR23.20 SAR73
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.12/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−7.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.1%
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
10.3% (2022) → −1.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+37.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Saudi Arabia: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +34.2% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Restaurants · 210 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score19 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−41.7% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−4.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−5.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)3.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)9.4% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.95× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months)0.66× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow112.5× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA5.4× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)47· sector 21
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 59
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Arabica Star Company establishes and Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9617
Frequently asked questions
Is Arabica Star Company establishes and (9617) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 14.54 SAR versus a price of 24.93 SAR, about −42% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 9617?
Our model-based fair value for Arabica Star Company establishes and is 14.54 SAR (as of Oct 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 24.93 SAR.
What is the quality score of 9617?
Arabica Star Company establishes and has a Quality Score of 19/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Arabica Star Company establishes and (9617)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 14.54 SAR (as of Oct 24, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario 11.28 SAR, optimistic scenario 20.20 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Arabica Star Company establishes and stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 14.54 SAR, about −42% upside versus a price of 24.93 SAR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 11.28 SAR, optimistic scenario 20.20 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Arabica Star Company establishes and (9617)?
Arabica Star Company establishes and reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 52.3M SAR (latest available figure, as of Oct 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Arabica Star Company establishes and (9617)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Arabica Star Company establishes and would have to grow free cash flow by +37.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew -3.1 % per year. As of Oct 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 9617 use?
Our models discount Arabica Star Company establishes and at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Saudi Arabia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Arabica Star Company establishes and that is +37.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Arabica Star Company establishes and (9617) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at Arabica Star Company establishes and grew -3.1 % a year. The price currently implies +37.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Arabica Star Company establishes and (9617) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Arabica Star Company establishes and (+37.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Arabica Star Company establishes and (9617)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.89 %: that much free cash flow Arabica Star Company establishes and produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Arabica Star Company establishes and (9617)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Arabica Star Company establishes and it is 14.54 SAR per share (as of Oct 24, 2026), against a price of 24.93 SAR. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Arabica Star Company establishes and stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 24, 2026, 9617 trades above its calculated fair value: price 24.93 SAR, fair value 14.54 SAR, a gap of about −42% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9617?
No. The price is what the market pays today (24.93 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (14.54 SAR). For Arabica Star Company establishes and the two are 10.40 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Arabica Star Company establishes and worth?
The market values Arabica Star Company establishes and at about 34.3M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 24, 2026). Per share that is 24.93 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 14.54 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9617?
Our models span a range for Arabica Star Company establishes and: cautious scenario 11.28 SAR, base 14.54 SAR, optimistic 20.20 SAR per share (as of Oct 24, 2026, price 24.93 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Arabica Star Company establishes and (9617)?
Balance-sheet figures for Arabica Star Company establishes and (as of Oct 24, 2026): return on equity −7.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 19/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Arabica Star Company establishes and?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value McDonald's Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, Yum! Brands, Inc, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Arabica Star Company establishes and stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 24, 2026: price 24.93 SAR, calculated fair value 14.54 SAR (−42%), Quality Score 19/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9617 calculated?
We run Arabica Star Company establishes and through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 14.54 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Arabica Star Company establishes and itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Arabica Star Company establishes and (9617)?
The closing price on Oct 27, 2026 was 24.93 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 14.54 SAR, about −42% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Arabica Star Company establishes and right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (20.20 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (19/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Arabica Star Company establishes and
How large is the market capitalisation of Arabica Star Company establishes and (9617)?
The market capitalisation of Arabica Star Company establishes and is 34.3M SAR (≈ $9.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Arabica Star Company establishes and (9617)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Arabica Star Company establishes and is 0.62 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Arabica Star Company establishes and (9617)?
Earnings per share at Arabica Star Company establishes and are −1.90 SAR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Arabica Star Company establishes and (9617)?
The net margin of Arabica Star Company establishes and is −5.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Arabica Star Company establishes and (9617)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Arabica Star Company establishes and is −7.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Arabica Star Company establishes and (9617)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Arabica Star Company establishes and is 7.0% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Arabica Star Company establishes and (9617)?
The operating margin of Arabica Star Company establishes and is 3.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Arabica Star Company establishes and (9617)?
Revenue at Arabica Star Company establishes and is growing +9.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Arabica Star Company establishes and (9617) carry?
The net debt of Arabica Star Company establishes and is 14.8M SAR (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 48.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Oct 24, 2026