XPeng Inc (9868) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$99.1B
Fair value as of: Jul 3, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −24.0% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range HK$45.67 – HK$108.71 · fair‑value band HK$28.67 – HK$56.95 · the HK$51.80 price screens above the HK$42.81 fair value. As of Jul 3, 2026.
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XPeng Inc (9868) currently trades at HK$51.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$42.81 — implying the stock looks roughly 17.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, XPeng Inc generated revenue of HK$73.9B at a net margin of -3.1%. Revenue declined 17.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -7.6%. Net debt stands at HK$6.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 3, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
XPeng Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and markets smart electric vehicles (EVs) in the People's Republic of China. The company offers P7 and P7i, a four-door sports sedan; G9, a smart EV and a mid- to large-sized sport utility vehicle (SUV); G7 for families and individual consumers seeking advanced technology and comfort; G6, a smart EV and a coupe SUV; X9, Smart EV and a large seven-seater multi-purpose vehicle (MPV); MONA M03, an all-electric hatchback coupe; Next P7, an all-new coupe sports sedan; and P7+, smart EV of XPeng series. It also provides XOS Tianji, smart in-car operating system; Powertrain; and SEPA 2.0, a smart electric platform architecture. In addition, the company offers various services, including services embedded in a sales contract, supercharging, maintenance, technical support, technical research and development, and second-hand vehicle sales services; and insurance technology support, and automotive loan referral and auto financing services. XPeng …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
XPeng Inc reported revenue of HK$74.7B in FY2025 versus HK$21.0B in FY2021, a compound +37.4%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$1.1B in FY2025.
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Recent news
- XPENG Announces Vehicle Delivery Results for June and Second Quarter 2026
- Tesla Under Pressure Again: Is the Bear Case Getting Overplayed?
- XPeng (XPEV) is Amongst the 10 Oversold Stocks That Look Attractive
- XPeng Inc (XPEV) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: AI Transition and International Expansion ...
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.