Giant Manufacturing Co (9921) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TW · Market cap 32.7B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from 40.59 TWD to 41.01 TWD (+1.0%) since Jul 12, 2026. Share price +24.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 56% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (51.26 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 65.30 TWD – 344.56 TWD · fair‑value band 30.75 TWD – 51.26 TWD · the 92.40 TWD price screens above the 41.01 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Giant Manufacturing Co (9921) currently trades at 92.40 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 41.01 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 55.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Giant Manufacturing Co generated revenue of 55.9B TWD at a net margin of 0.3%. Revenue declined 25.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.0%. Net debt stands at 2.6B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 30.75 TWD (bear case) to 51.26 TWD (bull case); at 92.40 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at -56%, 9921 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (208.62 TWD) versus Earnings-Based (29.56 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Giant Manufacturing Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of bicycles and electric bicycles in Taiwan, the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally.
Full company description
Giant Manufacturing Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of bicycles and electric bicycles in Taiwan, the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company offers bikes products, such as road racing, triathlon racing bikes, flat handlebar road bike, sport commuter car, folding bicycle, and E+ road bike; dual-shock mountain bike, single-suspension mountain bike, mountain bike, E+ off-road mountain bike; gravel road bike, crossover multi-functional bicycle, E+ mixed-road vehicle; and children's balance bike. It also provides accessories, including inner garment, sunglasses, gloves, helmet, bicycle jacket, shoes, cycling pants, raincoat, windproof vest, sleeves and leg covers, shoe covers, headscarves and caps, sock, apparel, power meter, bicycle speedometer, bicycle child seats, bicycle lights, bicycle lock, car bags, automotive parts, training platform, shelves, air pump, mini tools, tubeless tire accessories, lubricating oil and cleaning agent, hand grip and handle strap, tire, cushion, seatpost, handle, driver's cup assembly, driver pole, parking rack, braking system, electric vehicle parts, pedal, and wheelset products. It offers its products through retail stores. Giant Manufacturing Co., Ltd. was founded in 1961 and is headquartered in Taichung, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Giant Manufacturing Co reported revenue of 60.3B TWD in FY2025 versus 81.8B TWD in FY2021, a compound −7.4%/yr. Reported net income was 723M TWD in FY2025, compounding −40.9%/yr from FY2021.
9921 screens 56% overvalued. Compare with ANTA Sports Products Limited →
Peer Group
Leisure · 192 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Leisure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ANTA Sports Products Limited 2020 | HK$74.15 | HK$119.29 | +61% |
| Pop Mart International Group 9992 | HK$160.20 | HK$227.30 | +42% |
| Amer Sports, Inc AS | $36.44 | $16.16 | -56% |
| Hasbro, Inc HAS | $81.55 | $83.38 | +2% |
| Life Time Group LTH | $42.15 | $16.15 | -62% |
| Acushnet Holdings GOLF | $114.78 | $37.79 | -67% |
| Li Ning Company 2331 | HK$14.80 | HK$29.26 | +98% |
| Benefit Systems S.A BFT | 5,255 PLN | 3,714 PLN | -29% |
| Ninebot Limited 689009 | ¥37.82 | ¥39.17 | +4% |
| Asmodee Group ASMDEEB | kr 145.70 | kr 41.90 | -71% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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